Andrew Yang is currently running in sixth place nationally in aggregated polling for the Democratic Party’s nominee for President of the United States.
Here is the aggregation of polls breakdown:
The first five leading in the polls are:
Polling like this tends to have a major flaw — it doesn’t account for strong opinion by small interest groups, or for sensitive background information that may limit the overall potential of a given candidate.
With that said, let’s analysis the top five…
The top three of the five are all over 70 years old. Now of course, until superlongevity treatments are available which reverse the aging process, we decline with age. There is a very sound reason that the voluntary retirement age is 65, and that in some professions, like pilot and judge, there is often a mandatory retirement age (although not on the Supreme Court, conspicuously). I think it’s fair to say that being President is — and should be — a job that can often be mentally taxing and physically draining.
On Inauguration Day, January 20, 2021, current poll leader Joe Biden will be 78, next is Bernie Sanders who will be 79, and third is Elizabeth Warren, who will be 71. All three would have been considered way too old to be entering the Presidency just a generation ago. When Ronald Reagan became President at 69 and ran for reelection at 73 years old. Democrats openly decried Reagan’s age, to which Reagan famously quipped, “I will not make age an issue of this campaign. I am not going to exploit, for political purposes, my opponent’s youth and inexperience.” Yet, reality nevertheless struck Reagan, who most likely suffered from early symptoms of Alzheimer’s disease in his second term. Democrats, and voters generally, were right to be concerned.
Even well before the election, Biden is already showing signs of memory loss, i.e., dementia and senility. Preposterously, when confronted with the evidence, Biden’s hubris seems to have no limits. In yet another of his famous gaffes, Biden said, “We choose truth over facts”. Later, in response to a plethora of errors in a story he relayed, he said, “Those details are irrelevant” and that only “The point I was making was relevant”. On the more reasonable side, Biden has also said, “I think it’s totally appropriate for people to look at my age”, and so we should. That applies to the other two septuagenarians as well.
Kamala Harris is currently polling in 4th place, but this doesn’t reflect that she has been in freefall since at least the last debate. There are several problematic issues that Harris may need to face if she is to win over voters. They are:
- The strong perception that her political views change based on who she is talking with at a particular moment. That those views are opportunistic, economically inept overpromising and even demagogic concerning racial and social issues, and that she doesn’t seem to believe them herself when it comes to both her personal life and how she worked as a public prosecutor.
- Harris was appointed significant oversight roles by her powerful boyfriend at the time, San Francisco mayor Willie Brown. Then, later, Brown aided her in her run for S.F. district attorney. Depending on who you ask, these favors may be a violation of ethics and possibly law.
- More than a few people think Harris has at least as annoying voice and at least as unfunny as Hillary Clinton and that she often speaks condescendingly to people who disagree with her on complicated issues.
On to Peter Buttigieg. Mayor Pete, as he is called, will be 39 if and when elected on Inauguration Day — the youngest President by about three years. He’s the mayor of a modest-size rustbelt city with significant problems that his tenure has not improved much if at all. On the plus side, Mayor Pete has a solid resume in other, not political areas, including his military service and his education.
But all that is not what is Buttigieg’s primary obstacle with the average American voter. Remember what I said is the problem with most polling? It doesn’t account for strong but limited interest groups, such as the gay Democrat population, which is heavily donating and strongly backing Buttigieg — who is gay if you didn’t catch on — probably more out of a push to normalize his candidacy than going for the win this time around.
Finally, that brings us to Andrew Yang, the highest polling viable Democratic Party candidate. Yang is pulling in impressive numbers for a political outsider — a position that was previously unthinkable before businessman President Donald Trump made it a reality. More important, Yang has a real platform rather than a vague gesture of one like so many of the other candidates. Yang is not a radical, he is not annoying, he is not a screwball, etc. Yang has impressive credentials in education and work accomplishments. Yang is personable, outgoing, honest and realistic. Yang thinks about the future, writes books about it, and proposes innovative plans which he presents to average people in comfortable terms that sound reasonable and doable.
For instance, Yang is proposing to give nearly every adult American citizen a monthly stipend from a permanent government fund to be set up he calls the Freedom Dividend. Yang is best at explaining this and his other proposals, so this writer suggests heading over to yang2020.org and the many extended videos of him on the Internet.
While you may have heard of Andrew Yang and even heard he managed to get in to the fall debates along with at least ten others, you may not have realized he has surpassed several previously much-heralded names, including Beto O’Rourke, Tulsi Gabbard and Julian Castro, not to mention several national-level politicians who have already dropped out. All this adds up to evidence that Yang is the odds on favorite for the Democratic Party 2020 nominee for President.