Breakthrough
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Breakthrough

19/Jan/2018 - WEEK IN REVIEW- Brexit developments, Trump Presidency approaches 1 year anniversary, UKIP leader’s future in doubt and Oprah2020?

As the new year gets underway it’s becoming clear that politics is going to be just a busy, if not more so, in 2018 as it was in 2017.

Brexit Developments — EU Withdrawal Bill passes by 29 votes, but polling suggests Britain would STAY in the EU if given a second vote.

Embattled Prime Minister Theresa May was spared another political defeat, after two hours of debate in the Houses of Commons ended with the Government passing the EU Withdrawal Bill 324 votes to 295 and, seeing off a number of proposed amendments.

However public opinion may be moving against the government after a poll suggested only 16% opposed our membership of the Single Market, while 60% supported it, meanwhile only 35% think that Britain would still vote to leave if another referendum on EU membership was held today. This reflects recent polling showing that respondents consistently say that they believe Britain was wrong to vote for Brexit.

Are we better off In the EU? Every YouGov poll since September suggests that the British people believe so

Trump Presidency approaches one-year anniversary — tomorrow will mark a year since Trump’s inauguration but POTUS approaches this milestone with historically low approval ratings.

It would be understandable for the President of The United States to approach the one year mark of his presidency in a less than celebratory mood. POTUS, currently sits with a net approval rating of -15 (which is actually markedly better than it has been for some weeks), his party is down 9 points on polling for the election to The House of Representatives and, inspite of the Republican Party controlling the Presidency, the Senate and, the House, the US is on the brink of a Government shutdown — which would mean the possible delay of Visa and passport processing, a possible closure of National Parks and, hundreds of thousands of employees could take a forced leave of absence as a result.

Trump’s approval rating is not just low it is historically low, Trump is the only President since WWII to end his first year with a negative approval rating. Indeed, before Trump the lowest approval rating after a year as President was that of Gerald Ford who had a +5 rating. Yet, even this is considerably better than the President’s current rating.

UKIP leader’s future in doubt — Henry Bolton could be forced out of his job as party leader after texts between him and his girlfriend emerged

UKIP leader Henry Bolton has been in hot water this water as texts between him and his girlfriend was revealed in the press. In the texts, his girlfriend — Jo Marney — said black people were “ugly” and that she believed Meghan Markle would “taint” the royal family.

Despite having claimed to have split up with his girlfriend there were calls — even from within UKIP — for Bolton to resign. And, to add insult to injury Henry Bolton was seen dining with Marney days after he claimed they had broken up. As a result, Bolton’s future is in extremely uncertainty, after holding the title of party leader for less than four months.

Oprah2020? — An impressive Golden Globes speech has fuelled speculations about a presidential bid by Oprah Winfrey, but is she really going to run and could she actually win?

Oprah Winfrey, a TV host with a net worth of $3 billion, has long been a powerful force in America, with some estimating that her endorsement of Obama in the 2008 Democratic Primary won him over a million votes. But has she got her eyes set on the most powerful job in America? The Presidency? Some think so.

The speculation was fueled mainly by her speech at the Golden Globes where she said, “I want all the girls to know that a new day is on the horizon! And when that new day finally dawns, it will be because of a lot of magnificent women fighting hard to make sure nobody ever has to say Me Too again”. And, polling in the wake of her speech has suggested that in a vote between her and Trump she could win! However, another poll suggested that she could struggle to get the Democratic nomination, with Joe Biden polling higher than her and, we should remember that Oprah has previously ruled out running for higher office.

[If you want to read more about this you can see my piece here]

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Tom Williams

Tom Williams

Political analysis | Bylines: Rantt Media, Extra Newsfeed, PMP Magazine, Backbench, Dialogue and Discourse | Editor: Breakthrough

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