Chaos & Leadership

Chaos is fair. (Batman)

Chaos throws up leaders faster than any situation. The beginning always seems a little distorted as less skilled leaders struggle until the right one steps in. Amidst strong individuals, you could have factions created immediately. But in a longer frame a clear one emerges depending upon

1. Who garners support; Again a function of Leadership
2. Who yields to whom; More a function of maturity, “vision of the end” and a desire to avoid conflict than real leadership

Often leaders who come up during chaos are not the most desirable ones; They just are the ones who took initiative with no or little challenge. Key thing they did establish a direction where none existed. This sometimes, is a bane, at other times, a boon.

Most people who follow are ones who want to be part of a herd. They are really are the cows listening to the farm dog. The dog does not know better about safety from wild animals or being lost, but he has his direction set for the time being by the farmer. Herd them into their sheds.

If the “farmer” here is “past experience and emotion”, they combine to form bias. So the leader’s vision is clouded. It becomes a function of probability. A game of chance. This would mean successful leaders have no vision and that their direction was purely luck. Not entirely true.

Successful leaders will minimize the probability of a loss with logical reasoning and adequate preparation. So it really is a function of “Also Luck”. Logical reasoning involves real,quantifiable and accurate data. Discrepancies in data can change your direction sometimes for your good and sometimes for the worse.

It really is, a group of people trying to find the best way out of a forest. You could hack your way out even with a wrong direction or slip and fall into a valley following the right one. Too far fetched, i know; but …. what if iam right?