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Models allowing you to Read a Business Like a Book!

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The Worst Tech Stock People Trade Today | NASDAQ:GPRO

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GoPro annual report 2021.

Let’s start with the four essential stock filters:

  1. Understanding: we need to be able to understand the business. That does not mean we need to know how to navigate the menu on a GoPro camera, it means we understand the underlying models surrounding the economy around outdoor cameras.
  2. Moat: if someone was given a billion dollars to build a competitor to our business, would they succeed?
  3. Management: if the economics is favourable and the moat solid, we do not require overly talented management not to screw the business up — we merely need management with tons of integrity.
  4. Price: no matter how wonderful the business is, we require a price that makes sense. We will, however, prefer an outstanding business at a fair price over a mediocre business at a dirt-cheap price.

Understanding

I will support my analysis using the following notions:

  1. No-brainers: are there any self-evident remarks about the company and the business it is in?
  2. Numerical fluency: do the numbers make sense for a profitable business?
  3. Reverse thinking: after thinking about the investment problem in one direction, can we consider the same problem thinking backwards?

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Business Modeling
Business Modeling

Published in Business Modeling

Models allowing you to Read a Business Like a Book!

Jakub Smrček
Jakub Smrček

Written by Jakub Smrček

Qualitative investment analysis is about understanding a business before taking out your calculator. This blog teaches you how to do it for common stocks.

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