A recent Change Research poll of registered voters nationwide found that very few Americans believe that abortion should be fully outlawed, in the wake of new laws passed in several Southern states that make abortions harder than ever to obtain.
- Very few voters believe that abortion should be fully outlawed. Only 9% of all voters believe that abortion should be made illegal in every case, including only 20% of Republicans, meaning that few (even among conservatives) agree with the new law in Alabama that completely outlawed abortion.
- In fact, the majority of voters believe abortion should be legally available in most cases. 61% of all voters feel that it should be legal all cases or in most cases (with the exception of partial birth abortions and abortions for minors), including 95% of Democrats, 60% of Independents, and 23% of Republicans.
- Republicans are more likely than Democrats to believe that Roe v. Wade will soon be overturned. 39% of Republicans think that the Supreme Court will probably or certainly overturn Roe v. Wade in the next five to ten years, while only 11% of Democrats and 20% of Independents feel the same.
- There is a strong partisan divide on whether states should be able to enact laws that overrule Roe v. Wade. Strong majorities of Democrats (96%) and Independents (63%) don’t believe states should have the ability to enact these laws, while two-thirds of Republicans (67%) believe they should. However, all voters agree that these new restrictive abortion bills are establishing test cases to challenge Roe v. Wade: 84% of Democrats and Republicans, and 82% of Independents.
Change Research surveyed 2,904 registered voters nationwide from May 18–21, 2019. The survey was conducted online, using Change Research’s Bias Correct Engine. Change Research reaches voters via targeted online ads that point people to an online survey instrument. The Bias Correct Engine dynamically delivers large samples that accurately reflect the demographics of a population. Post-stratification was done on age, gender, ethnicity, and 2016 presidential vote. The margin of error, as traditionally calculated, is ± 1.8%.
This is one of over 100 polls Change Research will be conducting this year as part of our 2020 Change polling series. Full poll data is available for purchase. Please contact us at firstname.lastname@example.org for more information.