The Relationship Between COVID-19 and Urbanization

Geographic factors play a crucial role in epidemic dynamics and transmission patterns.

sergey avetisyan
City Science
5 min readOct 17, 2023

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During the COVID-19 pandemic, I started a project where I collected articles about COVID-19’s impact on urbanism, economics, and various other aspects. While I’m not an epidemiologist, my assessments are based on an analysis of literature. The primary sources of literature include Bloomberg CityLab, The New York Times, and Medium, covering a wide range of urban cases in scientific journals and books.

The study reviews the extensive impact of the COVID-19 pandemic on cities and urban planning. It thoroughly examines the potential lasting effects on urban economics, planning, and design. The emphasis is on the significance of urban economics during the crisis and the necessity to rethink design and organizational principles for cities. The pandemic has underlined the vulnerability of urban areas and emphasized the urgent need for more robust digital infrastructure for cities.

One critical aspect highlighted is how infectious diseases spread in cities, capitalizing on our innate desire for social interaction. Historically, infectious diseases have significantly impacted urban areas, at times leading to their decline. The pandemic has disrupted urban life, challenging the perceived benefits of residing in cities. Urban centers have suffered economically, and the crisis may reshape urbanization trends.

Effective policy-making and urban management are crucial during pandemics. Understanding the variations in urban and pandemic cases is vital for successful policymaking. The pandemic has stimulated a surge in urban thinking, exploring new ideas and solutions for urban challenges within the context of pandemics.

Transportation and public spaces in urban areas have been significantly affected by the pandemic. Rapid population growth, urbanization, and health disparities in cities necessitate a redefinition of public health approaches. The spatial dynamics of influenza epidemics in cities are influenced by population size, structure, and density. Geographic factors play a crucial role in epidemic dynamics and transmission patterns.

The COVID-19 crisis challenges previous strategies of spatial isolation in dealing with social problems. Cities have historically been viewed as essential for human survival, and their role remains significant despite the challenges posed by the pandemic. The pandemic’s impact on urban spaces has sparked discussions about the future of cities and the potential for a more equitable and sustainable urban future.

Photo by Luca Bravo on Unsplash

Urban Centers: Pioneers in Pandemic Response Historical insights affirm that cities have historically played a central role in effectively countering pandemics. Their rapid adoption and utilization of essential utilities like electricity, telephones, and indoor plumbing drove progress and positioned them at the forefront of epidemic control. Cities are the primary drivers in overcoming acute practical challenges and fostering innovation to address emerging issues. Abundant local goods and services are critical resources to tackle major problems that become acute within urban settings.

In response to the COVID-19 pandemic, there has been a surge in people advertising their homes as “COVID-19 Safe Houses” in heavily affected cities. This trend indicates a shift in safety perceptions and underscores the critical role cities play during health crises. However, it’s crucial to recognize that rural areas, once considered safe havens during pandemics, face their unique set of challenges, including distinct health risks and limited healthcare access, especially for older populations.

Modern transportation networks have significantly diminished the once-protective barrier rural areas offered, as pathogens can swiftly travel from global hubs to sparsely populated regions. Dispelling the myth of rural areas providing absolute protection emphasizes the need for a nuanced understanding of pandemic dynamics. Meanwhile, cities with major airports play a pivotal role in importing cases, challenging the notion that escaping to rural areas guarantees safety.

Shaping the Future of Housing Markets Post-Pandemic The COVID-19 pandemic has instigated substantial shifts in housing market dynamics, with far-reaching economic implications extending beyond the immediate quarantine period. Social distancing measures have transformed homes into multi-functional spaces, accommodating offices, kindergartens, and gyms. The pandemic’s economic aftermath is poised to reshape the housing market in enduring ways, impacting factors such as mobility, demand for commercial real estate, and housing affordability.

The rise of remote work, facilitated by technology, is altering the dynamics of housing demand, favoring mid-sized technology hubs and potentially decreasing demand for commercial real estate. This shift could lead to economic growth in certain regions while posing challenges for others. Affordable housing remains a persistent concern, with rental and homeownership affordability already limited in many markets.

Cities in the Face of a Global Crisis The COVID-19 pandemic represents a profound economic, financial, and social shock of the 21st century. Cities, being home to over half of the global population, play a pivotal role in responding to the crisis, given their well-established healthcare infrastructure. However, they also face unique challenges due to high population density, making social distancing measures difficult to implement effectively.

Effective policy responses at the city level involve communication and awareness campaigns, workplace adaptations, targeted measures for vulnerable groups, and support for businesses and economic recovery. However, the effectiveness of these responses varies based on factors such as population size, regulatory frameworks, fiscal capacity, and infrastructure.

Anticipating Post-Pandemic Societal Shifts The COVID-19 pandemic has highlighted the delicate balance between the benefits of urban life and the risks posed by infectious diseases. The acceleration of urbanization, characterized by increased concentrations of people in cities and intensive animal farming, has heightened the likelihood of infectious disease outbreaks. Urbanization amplifies human contact, facilitating the spread of germs, historically leading to epidemics.

While cities offer numerous advantages, including diverse workforces and economies of scale, they also present challenges related to infectious diseases. The current pandemic underscores the need for global cooperation and preparedness to effectively respond to infectious threats. Balancing the advantages of urbanization with the risks posed by infectious diseases necessitates a comprehensive and collaborative approach, focusing on global pandemic preparedness and effective responses.

In conclusion, the current pandemic serves as a poignant reminder of the critical role cities play in economic, social, and healthcare domains. It underscores the need for a balanced approach that harnesses the advantages of urbanization while mitigating the risks posed by infectious diseases. Effective policy responses at the city level, coupled with global cooperation and preparedness, will be instrumental in shaping a resilient future in the face of pandemics.

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sergey avetisyan
City Science

is an economist and writer. My research interests lie in the field of urban economics, economic geography, and the financial stability of the banking sector.