Data-Driven Crypto Investigations: Study Reveals 96% Case Connection Rate

Ervin Zubic
Coinmonks
3 min readApr 21, 2024

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Learn how law enforcement can tackle crypto asset crimes more effectively. New study uncovers surprising case links and offers tools for success.

Black and white pencil sketch depicting interconnected networks and silhouetted figures representing law enforcement, analyzing a globe surrounded by cryptoasset symbols.
Networked Justice. Image created using DALL-E.

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Law enforcement faces unprecedented hurdles as cybercrimes involving cryptocurrencies surge. The research paper “Increasing the Efficiency of Cryptoasset Investigations by Connecting the Cases,” authored by Bernhard Haslhofer and colleagues from various institutions, delves into these issues, focusing on the interconnectedness of crypto asset cases. Published in 2023, this paper explores innovative ways to enhance the investigation process by leveraging the connections between different cases.

Summary of the Research Article

The study investigates whether recognizing and acting upon connections between different crypto asset-related cases can streamline investigative processes. The researchers analyzed a dataset containing 34 cyber fraud and 1793 sextortion spam cases, finding significant overlap with 41% of cyber fraud and 96.9% of sextortion cases being interconnected. The methodology hinged on identifying common crypto asset addresses and utilizing common collector wallets, thereby linking cases that might otherwise be treated as isolated incidents.

A major innovation presented is a crypto asset case management tool that enables investigators to identify and share connections effectively. This tool integrates into existing forensic workflows, demonstrating a potential for significant efficiency improvements by promoting collaboration across jurisdictions and crime types.

Summary of cryptoasset investigation cases.
Figure 1. A table with data summarizing cases and addresses related to crypto asset investigations, divided into categories of ‘Cyberfraud’ and ‘Sextortion Spam.’ Source: Increasing the Efficiency of Cryptoasset Investigations by Connecting the Cases, pg. 5.

Critical Analysis

The study’s strength lies in its empirical approach and the practical application of its findings. Introducing a straightforward method to detect case links addresses a genuine need for more efficient investigative processes. However, the study’s findings are currently limited to data from the Bavarian Central Office for the Prosecution of Cybercrime (January 2021 — July 2023); a broader dataset could enhance their generalizability.

The Most Surprising Aspect

Arguably, the most intriguing aspect of the research is the high percentage of interconnected cases, particularly the 96.9% connectivity in sextortion spam cases. This high linkage rate highlights the routine nature of cybercrime and suggests that much of this activity is more organized and interconnected than previously assumed.

Visualization of Cybertrading Fraud Case Connections.
Figure 2. The network of cyber trading fraud cases is depicted with color-coded elements: green nodes indicate individual cases, orange nodes denote addresses involved, purple nodes are entities identified by employing the common entity heuristic, and red nodes symbolize common collector entities. Source: Increasing the Efficiency of Cryptoasset Investigations by Connecting the Cases, pg. 7.
Network Graph of Sextortion Spam and Cybertrading Fraud Cases.
Figure 3. Sextortion spam case network visualized with color codes: cases are marked with green nodes, addresses with orange nodes, entities identified by the common entity heuristic are in purple, and common collector entities are indicated with red nodes. Source: Increasing the Efficiency of Cryptoasset Investigations by Connecting the Cases, pg. 9.

Implications and Potential

The implications of this research are profound, suggesting that law enforcement agencies across the globe could significantly enhance their efficiency by adopting a collaborative and data-informed approach to investigating crypto asset-related crimes. Future research could expand on these methods to include other types of cybercrime and explore the integration of machine learning techniques to rapidly predict and identify case connections.

Conclusion

This study makes a compelling case for integrating advanced data analysis tools in law enforcement, specifically within crypto asset-related crimes. Demonstrating how interconnected many of these cases are paves the way for a new era of cybercrime investigation that is smarter, faster, and more collaborative. The findings encourage further academic research and practical law enforcement applications, promising significant improvements in the management of cybercrime investigations globally.

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Ervin Zubic
Coinmonks

Writing about cyber threat intelligence, OSINT, financial crime, and blockchain forensics. Follow me on Twitter for the latest insights.