The carrot and the stick
The technological advance is inevitable, because humans always use their best tool to evolve: the brain.
Accumulating knowledge is not enough, it is necessary to make use of it, and the end product of this process is understanding, more important than the accumulation of data.
Let’s do an exercise. Remember the society, the one close to you, before 2010, or even more so, before 2000. Imagine that I met you in those years and told you about today’s technology, and told you that in a few years, we will have mobile phones that enter in the palm of your hand, and that you speak to them to give orders, they guide you with geolocation technology, and that you can communicate with anyone in the world instantly and all with (relatively) little money. Surely you would have told me to stop watching science fiction movies.
Needless to say, if I told you that by 2030, we will have a decentralized global technology for peer-to-peer retail (p2p), where people who do not know each other, from anywhere in the world, will be able to make deals, without third-party intermediation, with decentralized identity that each one manages to maintain a reputation for credit and commercial conduct, sharing what is necessary to preserve privacy, with transmission of information from point to point and without having intermediaries, or companies that will govern themselves with smart contracts, which will manage your inventory and sales logistics through smart grids, sending supply, collection and payment orders, among many other advances.
Communications advanced rapidly with the internet tool web 1.0 (static) in the 2000s, web 2.0 (interactive), in the 2010s, or web 3.0 (applications, and blockchain) in this decade, which will be revolutionary. , and many of us will enjoy it, but like the moon, it has its dark side.
Communications technology gave a lot of power to the people, but much more to the central power. When I speak of central power, I am not only referring to the politicians of the moment, but more importantly, to the establishment, enduring in time, institutionalized. The concentrated information that the central power has on the entire society, its tastes, ideologies and way of thinking (big data analysis), is of concern.
Imagine what AI (artificial intelligence) will bring. Our near future is very interesting, as dangerous in the sense that I am defining.
a- Blockchain bets on decentralization
b- AI bets on network intelligence
c- IoT bets on device autonomy
a + b + c = bets on?
Think seriously about it.
The combination is the decentralization of intelligence, transmitted in networks, causing self-learning (Machine Learning) and giving greater autonomy to the devices.
There will be those who are disturbed, and others, who are excited.
Would you be left with only the household knife to chop food?
Would you dispense with the butcher’s invention of the saw to cut large pieces with bone?
The second technology is very useful, but more dangerous than the first.
Then let’s evolve. A laser that cuts the pieces without any waste, without damaging them, cauterizing the cut, so there is not so much “dirt”. But of course, it is a laser, we know how dangerous it is.
We could debate for a long time about technological evolution, its pros and cons. But the reality, we know that it is not that, but that technological evolution will increase, and with exponential growth.
So, in order not to “waste time” in a philosophical discussion, let’s be pragmatic, and understand how we are going to develop in the technology that is coming for the next 20 years, which although we do not fully know, we know that it is coming. Did you think in the year 2000 that today you would be making payments with electronic money?
The limit of AI, like the advancement of all technology, is “morality.”
Every time we have less than “that value” in society, therefore, the knife in my example, in the hands of a wild monkey, and the human tied to a tree, is not a good combination.
On the other hand, decentralization has more advantages than defects, in generic terms, because the main basic concept it has is the distribution of power to the detriment of concentration.
Under this concept they want to instill fear (FUD) to control the “speculative casino” that develops around the crypto industry.
The central power is promoting that, and will do it more, why? Because they should keep us distracted with money instead of letting us see (and think) about all the benefits that blockchain has as a p2p tool.
Moreover, it is the perfect excuse, arguing that they must impose more regulations to “protect” society from scammers and large losses of money. Exactly what they need to retain their power.
Technological evolution has a tendency towards autonomy (Internet of things) directed by artificial intelligence (a network that is learning and adapting to needs).
The cornerstone in the advancement of the best technology is in the communion of two concepts, decentralization and governance. It will be what defines how the crypto industry develops, from a human point of view.
Hopefully we will soon see truly decentralized governance models that demonstrate their efficiency compared to traditional governance, which we already know what they have: growing corruption.
The best tool we have, as I said at the beginning, is our brain, and using it to learn and develop understanding is the best we can do.
Don’t let them tempt you with the carrot. Of course money is important in our lives, but that’s why I don’t think most of us will kill a person if they pay us money (I said, I don’t think most of us will).
The crypto industry is novel, and it needs its learning curve, and although like any promising industry, it leaves great profits at the beginning (remember the “dot com” companies in 2000), but we must not get blinded by it and lose sight of the usability potential it has, beyond the immediately economical.
Don’t let that central power manipulate you with the carrot and stick.