The first Bitcoin ETF trades for $1.5 billion, as the GBTC ‘discount’ mirrors the $69,500 BTC price

Shantanu Gupta
Coinmonks
3 min readOct 29, 2023

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The excitement surrounding potential regulatory changes in the United States has led to a surge in activity for Bitcoin investment products, with ProShares and Grayscale leading the way. In particular, the ProShares Bitcoin Strategy ETF (BITO) and the Grayscale Bitcoin Trust (GBTC) have witnessed significant trading volumes, signaling a growing appetite for Bitcoin investment vehicles. Here’s a closer look at the recent developments in the cryptocurrency market.

Record Inflows and Growing Demand

Recent data from sources, including Bloomberg, indicates that Bitcoin exchange-traded funds (ETFs) and related investment options have seen substantial inflows, nearing record levels. BITO, the first futures-based ETF to receive regulatory approval in the U.S. in 2021, traded $1.7 billion during the trading week through October 27. Grayscale Bitcoin Trust (GBTC) also experienced a boost with $800 million in trading volume, reducing its discount to the Bitcoin spot price to a two-year low. In total, BITO and GBTC collectively traded $2.5 billion, ranking them among the top 1% of ETFs in terms of trading volume.

The Impending Spot Bitcoin ETF

The recent surge in trading activity can be attributed to growing optimism surrounding the approval of a Bitcoin spot price-based ETF in the United States. This development has not only impacted Bitcoin’s price action but also benefited the broader cryptocurrency ecosystem, including exchanges and mining firms. Institutional investment options that have faced challenges in recent times are now experiencing a resurgence in demand.

GBTC’s Remarkable Comeback

GBTC, in particular, has seen a remarkable comeback in recent months, even before Bitcoin’s price gained 15% in a week. Legal victories that paved the way for the conversion of GBTC into a spot ETF provided the impetus for this resurgence. Grayscale’s product now trades with an implied share price that is just 13.1% below the Bitcoin spot price, the lowest discount level since November 2021 when Bitcoin reached its all-time high.

Investor Sentiment and Future Developments

The narrowing of the GBTC discount has not gone unnoticed among cryptocurrency traders and investors. Some have speculated that traditional finance may have insights or information yet to be publicly disclosed. Investment management firm ARK Invest, which plans to launch a Bitcoin spot ETF, has reduced its GBTC holdings as the share price of GBTC has increased. GBTC currently accounts for 10.24% of ARK Next Generation Internet ETF, marking the first change since November 2022.

GBTC premium vs. asset holdings vs. BTC/USD chart (screenshot). Source: CoinGlass

While the future of Bitcoin ETFs in the U.S. remains uncertain, the recent surge in trading activity and the narrowing discount of GBTC suggest that there is a strong demand for these investment products. As investors eagerly await potential regulatory changes, the cryptocurrency market continues to evolve, and traditional finance players are closely watching these developments for cues on the future of Bitcoin in the mainstream investment landscape.

Please note that this article is for informational purposes only and does not constitute investment advice. Readers should conduct their own research and exercise caution when making investment decisions.

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Shantanu Gupta
Coinmonks

Hey, I am a Day Trader. I trade Futures, I also Invest in Cryptos to make some significant profits. Here i am sharing some of real crypto investment.