Understanding TerraClassicUSD (USTC): Its Potential Return to $1 Value

CoinUnited.io
CoinUnited.io
Published in
7 min readDec 5, 2023

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understanding-terraclassicusd-ustc-its-potential-return-to-1-value

Understanding TerraClassicUSD (USTC): A Cryptocurrency Overview

TerraClassicUSD, or more commonly known as USTC, is a noteworthy player in the cryptocurrency field with a reputation that’s steeped in intrigue. Operating on the Terra Classic (LUNC) blockchain, USTC was initially engineered to hold a 1:1 ratio with the U.S. dollar, fulfilling the role of an algorithmic stablecoin.

From Stability to Volatility: The Shift in USTC’s Trading Value

Despite its intended function as a stablecoin, USTC’s performance has seen significant fluctuations, particularly since the collapse of its forerunner, UST, in May 2022. Instead of holding its designed value, its trading value mostly fluctuates around a handful of cents, leading to a loss of most defining characteristics of a stablecoin.

The Unique Mechanism of USTC

Unlike asset-backed stablecoins such as USDT or USDC, USTC leveraged a different method for maintaining its peg to the dollar. The underlying method employed a burning and minting mechanism to adjust the digital currency’s price dynamically.

UST: The Predecessor to USTC

UST, the precursor to USTC, had effectively sustained its dollar peg for more than eighteen months until May 2022. The key to such consistency lay within Terra’s novel approach: a system which burnt and minted in synergy with its native governance token, LUNA.

To illustrate, in order to generate UST, individuals were required to buy it using LUNA, which would subsequently be ‘burned’ or removed from the circulation pool. The reverse was also true — to acquire more LUNA, a process of minting, payment with UST, and subsequent UST ‘burning’ was utilized.

The automatic swap mechanism Terra adopted facilitated its smooth operations, continually minting and burning LUNA and UST to uphold the UST peg whenever deviations from the $1 occurred.

The Resurgence: USTC Post-May 2022

Following the dramatic crash of UST and the subsequent rebirth under the label of USTC in May 2022, the formerly functional mint and burn strategy was deactivated. However, this alteration in mechanism has not adjusted public perception significantly, as many reputable online publications still categorize USTC as an algorithmic stablecoin, resulting in a somewhat misleading portrayal of its current state in the cryptocurrency space.

The Evolution of TerraUSD (UST) into TerraClassicUSD (USTC)

In the dynamic world of blockchain, 2018 saw the unveiling of a revolutionary idea by a pair of South Korean innovators, Do Kwon and Daniel Shin. They introduced Terra, a blockchain platform designed to provide stablecoins with algorithmic peg rates. A year later, the platform launched its mainnet to widespread applause. In September 2020, Terra rolled out its first algorithmic stablecoin, the U.S. dollar-pegged TerraUSD (UST). The rate of this stablecoin was held steady by a UST/LUNA swap mechanism.

Concerns Regarding the Viability of Terra’s Model

As far back as 2018, even before the mainnet went live, several industry analysts cast doubts on Terra’s model. Cyrus Younessi, an industry pundit, raised questions about a significant flaw in UST’s peg maintenance system. He pointed out that the stability of the coin hinged on the LUNA token to rectify any drastic deviations from the $1 peg caused by panic. As Younessi warned, if a wave of panic were to grip UST investors, it would not spare LUNA either, setting the stage for mutual havoc.

The Precipitous Descent of UST and LUNA

The grim prophecies came true in May 2022, when UST and LUNA values nose-dived to near extinction. As the month started, UST was valued as any robust dollar-pegged stablecoin should be — at $1. LUNA, at the time, was trading above $80. The fortunes for both tokens took a dramatic turn for the worst by mid-May, as their values plunged to less than a cent, essentially rendering them valueless.

From Terra to Terra Classic

In the aftermath of this severe downturn, the Terra blockchain underwent a rebranding exercise to emerge as Terra Classic. Simultaneously, UST and LUNA rechristened their tickers as USTC and LUNC respectively. However, the mint/burn swaps based stablecoin rate maintenance feature was suspended, effectively relegating USTC to the status of an algorithmic stablecoin only in name. The token now bears a variable, and sometimes erratic, rate influenced directly by market forces.

Despite the turbulent journey, it would be erroneous to dismiss USTC as an asset devoid of potential. Despite adversities, its unpredictable market dynamic could yet prove a tantalizing prospect for some investors.

Understanding the Supply Dynamics of USTC Cryptocurrency

In the complicated world of cryptocurrencies, supply trends often play a paramount role in shaping the value of a specific token. Reflecting on the transition from UST to USTC, the crypto token experienced somewhat of a stabilization in its supply flow. This stabilization resulted primarily from the decision to discontinue the perpetual minting and burning exercise.

Actions Taken to Strengthen USTC’s Stability

Halting of New USTC Minting

In an intriguing turn of events, during September 2023, the Terra community took an exceptional decision. They unanimously voted to suspend the generation of new USTC tokens. The main premise behind this decision was to enhance the prospects for the token to achieve parity with the U.S. dollar.

Suggested USTC Burn Events

Adding more credence to the strategic choices for USTC’s stability, the community not only endorsed the halt of new token production but also backed proposals for burn events in the preceding months. These actions signified a collective endeavor to regulate the token’s supply.

Current State of USTC Supply

Drawing a close on our exploration of USTC’s supply dynamics, as of December 4th, 2023, the total supply of USTC has risen to approximately 9.8 billion. Simultaneously, the volume of tokens in circulation has climbed to about 9 billion, presenting an insightful view into the status of this compelling cryptocurrency.

Forecasting the Future Price of TerraClassicUSD (USTC)

In late November 2023, TerraClassic USD’s (USTC) former stablecoin witnessed a value around $0.01. This was a price point where USTC had generally regained its balance following the upheavals of May 2022. However, a radical price surge recently unfolded with the coin’s value leaping to an impressive $0.065 by December 4, 2023. The graphical representation beneath exhibits the progress of USTC prices for the span of two weeks ending on December 4, 2023, spotlighting a significant price spike triggered on November 26, 2023.

The Status of USTC Among Major Crypto Price Predictors

Despite USTC being categorically treated as a stablecoin, at least from a historical perspective, it is important to note that many leading cryptocurrency prediction websites refrain from issuing long-lasting projections for it. The few platforms that do present long-term forecasts for this token fail to anticipate it achieving equality with the US dollar.

For example, the crypto-forecasting platform, DigitalCoinPrice, anticipates that USTC will sustain its price in the ballpark of $0.064 even extending into 2030. In a contrasting perspective, CoinCodex strikes an optimistic chord towards USTC’s long-term prospects, envisaging its value to escalate up to $0.1198 by the year 2030.

Could USTC Regain Its One Dollar Value?

The sustained surge in USTC’s price, combined with recent limitations imposed on its distribution by the Terra Classic governance community, have rekindled optimism that it might reclaim its equivalence with the USD in the foreseeable future. After the catastrophic events that befell the original Terra blockchain, talk of USTC potentially approaching $1 once more has surfaced, sparking considerable debate. The backdrop to these conversations, we believe, is less rooted in rationality and more powered by emotional fervor.

The Impact of Halting USTC Creation and Reducing its Circulation

The fervor and escalating price trends are mainly fueled by the decisions to cease the production of USTC and to lessen its circulation by burning some of it. However, if USTC is to ever attain the $1 milestone, an extraordinary event must happen.

Possibility of a Gargantuan Capital Injection

This unprecedented occurrence could possibly take shape as a colossal capital injection — potentially running to several billions of dollars — into USTC. Nonetheless, it’s unlikely that many investors would be willing to venture into such a daring move, especially given the current predicaments facing the Terra Classic network and its associated tokens, USTC and LUNC.

Should You Consider Investing in USTC?

Although reaching parity with the dollar may seem a far stretch for USTC, this affirmative axiom doesn’t imply that the potential for investment in the token is absent. A considerable number of cryptocurrency analysts and investors have had an unhealthy obsession with the parity issue and have thus overlooked the overall growth prospects that USTC holds.

The Impressive Progress of USTC

USTC reported a remarkable surge of 400% within the short time frame from the 25th of November to the 4th of December, 2023. It’s crucial to note that this enormous progression wasn’t solely a result of exuberant enthusiasm; USTC dismissed the chimerical nature of a purely speculative investment.

Factors Favoring Further Price Escalation

Several considerations could bolster USTC’s future price advancement. Predominantly, USTC might be an appealing asset for those abridged-term, and potentially, medium-term crypto investors who are not daunted by high-stake investments.

USTC: Risk and Reward

Currently, amidst the tumult and substantial growth enveloping it, USTC presents both significant risks and promising returns on investment.

Trading USTC: The Platform

If you are yet to join the vast pool of cryptocurrency traders on CoinUnited.io, it’s a straightforward process to sign up and start exploring the trading options. The platform provides a repository of hundreds of cryptocurrencies ready for trading in both the Spot and Derivatives markets.

Parting Reflections

As witnessed in the early days of December, the remarkabale surge of USTC is still in progress. This ascendant trend is unlocking massive earning potential for traders who relish short-term speculation involving substantial risk. However, for more longterm market participants, the future feels somewhat uncertain. The present upswing might continue to gain momentum for perhaps weeks or months, or it could suddenly lose steam at the same rapid pace it first gained. Even though the possibility of USTC achieving equivalence with the US dollar seems marginal for now, the prospect for significant positive yields in the future are certainly plausible.

An Uplifting Factor for Terra Classic

A particularly uplifting element related to the Terra Classic initiative is the renewed serious consideration it has received from the cryptocurrency market. This is a first since the disaster-struck May of 2022. Indeed, both USTC and the Terra Classic blockchain simultaneously have regained their position in the spotlight.

#Explainers #Stablecoin #Altcoins #Crypto #Bitcoin

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