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An archive of data science, data analytics, data engineering, machine learning, and artificial intelligence writing from the former Towards Data Science Medium publication.

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How to Effectively Forecast Time Series with Amazon's New Time Series Forecasting Model

12 min readApr 9, 2024

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I will discuss Amazon's new Chronos time series forecasting model [1]. The model can be used for a variety of time series forecasting tasks, such as predicting energy usage, traffic/congestion forecasting, or weather prediction. This makes it both flexible and powerful. I will discuss the model's performance, strengths and weaknesses, and how you can implement and run it locally.

Image from ChatGPT on visualizing time series forecasting. Image by ChatGPT. OpenAI. (2024). ChatGPT (4) [Large language model]. https://chat.openai.com

Motivation

The motivation for this article is to follow up on the latest models within machine learning. I learned about this model from looking at PapersWithCode, one of the sources I consistently check to keep up with the latest trends in machine learning. Whenever I find something interesting, I like implementing it and getting a feel for the model and its performance. This article will discuss how you can use this model yourself, which tasks you can apply the model to, and my thoughts on the performance of the model.

After running the model, you will be able to make forecasts for the model, like in the image you see below:

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TDS Archive
TDS Archive

Published in TDS Archive

An archive of data science, data analytics, data engineering, machine learning, and artificial intelligence writing from the former Towards Data Science Medium publication.

Eivind Kjosbakken
Eivind Kjosbakken

Written by Eivind Kjosbakken

Data scientist at Findable. Former CS Student at TU Delft and NTNU. I write articles about AI. Reach me at: https://www.linkedin.com/in/eivind-kjosbakken/