Supply Chain Optimization with Python
Find the optimal locations of your manufacturing facilities to meet customers’ demands and reduce production costs.
Supply chain optimization best uses data analytics to find an optimal combination of factories and distribution centres to match supply and demand.
Because of the current surge in shipping costs, companies are starting to challenge their current footprint to adapt to the post-COVID “New Normal.”
How to use python to automate this analysis?
In this article, we will present a simple methodology using Linear Programming for Supply Chain Optimization, considering
- Fixed production costs of your facilities ($/Month)
- Variable production costs per unit produced ($/Unit)
- Shipping costs ($)
- Customer’s demand (Units)
Should we keep outsourcing with shipping costs that have tripled in the last 12 months?
Summary
I. How do you design a supply chain network with Python?
1. Problem Statement
II. Results
1. Scenario 1: Initial Scenario
2. Scenario 2: Outsourcing to low costs regions
3. Scenario 3: surging shipping costs due to container shortage
III. Build your Model
1. Declare your variables, parameters and model
2. Define the objective and add constraints
3. Solve your model and analyze the results
IV. Conclusion
1. Generative AI: GPT x Supply Chain Optimization
2. Implement Sustainable Sourcing
3. Go Beyond
Design a supply chain network with Python
Problem Statement
As the Head of Supply Chain Management of an international manufacturing company, you want to redefine the Supply Chain Network for the next five years
It would be best to consider the recent increase in shipping costs and the forecasts of customers’ demand.
Your Supply Chain Network
- 5 markets in Brazil, USA, India, Japan, Germany
- 2 types of manufacturing facilities: low-capacity and high-capacity sites
- Shipping costs ($/container)
- Customer’s demand (Units/year)
What about the costs of producing and delivering?
Manufacturing Facility Fixed Costs
- Capital Expenditure for the Equipment (Machines, Storage, ..)
- Utilities (Electricity, Water, ..)
- Factory management, administrative staff
- Space Rental
These costs depend on the country and the type of plant.
Production Variable Costs
- Production lines operators
- Raw materials
For instance, the variable cost of a unit produced in Germany is 13$/Unit.
Does that mean we should always outsource to overseas?
No, check the transportation costs.
Shipping Variable Costs
- Cost per container ($/Container)
- Assumption: 1 container can contain 1000 units
For instance, shipping a container from Germany to Japan will cost 1,231 ($/Container).
Can we produce only the optimal locations?
No, we have limited capacities.
Manufacturing Capacity by Site
For instance, a high-capacity factory in Brazil can produce 1,500,000 (Units/month).
Customers' demand per market
The supply should meet the demand.
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Results
Let us try three scenarios
- Scenario 1: initial parameters
- Scenario 2: we increase the production capacity of India (x2)
- Scenario 3: surging shipping costs due to container shortage
Let set up the baseline.
Scenario 1: Initial Scenario
- Brazil plant is producing for the local market and the USA
Facilities: 1 high capacity plant
('Brazil','Brazil') = 145,000 (Units/Month)
('Brazil','USA') = 1,250,000 (Units/Month)
- India plants produce for all countries except Brazil
Facilities: 1 high capacity plant and 1 low capacity plant
('India','Germany') = 90,000 (Units/Month)
('India','India') = 160,000 (Units/Month)
('India','Japan') = 200,000 (Units/Month)
('India','USA') = 1,550,000 (Units/Month)
- Japan needs to produce locally because of the limited capacity of India
Facilities: 1 high capacity plant
('Japan','Japan') = 1,500,000 (Units/Month)
- Final Costs
Total Costs = 62,038,000 ($/Month)
What if we want to minimize the costs by increasing India capacity?
Scenario 2: Outsourcing to low costs regions
Let us try to double the size of the India High Capacity plant, assuming that it will double the fixed costs.
- Brazil plant is still producing for the local market and the USA
Facilities: 1 high capacity plant
('Brazil','Brazil') = 145,000 (Units/Month)
('Brazil','USA') = 1,250,000 (Units/Month)
- India plants produce for all countries except Brazil
Facilities: 2 high capacity and 1 low capacity plants
('India','Germany') = 90,000 (Units/Month)
('India','India') = 160,000 (Units/Month)
('India','Japan') = 1,700,000 (Units/Month)
('India','USA') = 1,550,000 (Units/Month)
- Japan does not produce locally anymore.
Final Costs
-19.4(%) vs. Scenario 1
Total Costs = 51,352,000 ($/Month)
COVID arrived 👉 shipping costs increased.
What happens?
Scenario 3: surging shipping costs due to container shortage
What if we have container costs multiplied by 5?
- Brazil is producing for the local market only
Facilities: 1 low capacity plant
('Brazil','Brazil') = 145,000 (Units/Month)
- The USA started to produce for the local market, and Japan
Facilities: 1 high capacity plant
('USA','Japan') = 200,000 (Units/Month)
('USA','USA') = 1,300,000 (Units/Month)
- India closed its low-capacity factory
Facilities: 1 high capacity plant
('India','Germany') = 90,000 (Units/Month)
('India','India') = 160,000 (Units/Month)
('India','USA') = 1,500,000 (Units/Month)
- Japan starts to produce for its local market
Facilities: 1 high capacity plant
('Japan','Japan') = 1,500,000 (Units/Month)
Because of their limited production capacity, Japan and the USA still rely on the Indian plant.
Final Costs
Total Costs = 92,981,000 ($/Month)
Do you want to try it yourself?
This model has been implemented in a web application,
Access it here, 👇
If you prefer to watch, you can have a look at the video version of this article
Build your Model
We will be using the Python PuLP library.
PuLP is a Python modelling framework for linear (LP) and Integer Programming (IP) problems maintained by the COIN-OR Foundation (Computational Infrastructure for Operations Research).
Declare your variables, parameters and model
- LpMinimize: Your objective is to minimize your costs
- lowBound =0: You cannot have negative values of units produced
What do we want to achieve?
Define the objective and add constraints
How do we get the results?
Solve your model and analyze the results
The results are now available and can be printed.
You can find the full code in this Github repository 👇
Conclusion
This model allows you to simulate several scenarios influencing operational and commercial parameters.
- What if the demand explodes in India?
- What if we have to close our plant in Brazil?
- What if we triple the production capacity in Japan?
Scenario 3 is an example of a shipping cost surge that could lead companies to adopt a more local footprint.
This simple model can help you get the potential of linear optimization for supply chain network optimization.
What about the environmental footprint of your supply chain?
Implement Sustainable Sourcing
A similar approach can be used to select your suppliers, considering an objective function that will minimize the environmental impact.
Sustainable sourcing is the process of integrating social, ethical and environmental performance factors when selecting suppliers.
Use data analytics to automatically select the best supplier with a mix of economic and environmental constraints
This article will explore using data analytics to design an optimal Supply Chain Network that minimizes costs and environmental impacts.
Have you heard about Generative AI?
Generative AI: GPT x Supply Chain Optimization
Following the trend of Generative AI with large language models (LLMs), I shared to experiment with their usage with this prototype
This LangChain Agent, powered by GPT and connected to a TMS, can answer operational questions autonomously by querying a database.
What if we create a super agent for Supply Chain Optimization?
The idea would be to equip a GPT agent with
- Advanced optimization models in Python in a core module
- Documentation, articles and context to understand how to use them
Let us imagine agents who can interact with the users to obtain data, understand the constraints, and run the solution to analyse the results.
For more details,
About Me
Let’s connect on Linkedin and Twitter. I am a Supply Chain Engineer who uses data analytics to improve logistics operations and reduce costs.
For consulting or advice on analytics and sustainable supply chain transformation, feel free to contact me via Logigreen Consulting.
If interested in Data Analytics and Supply Chain, look at my website.
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References
[1] Computational Infrastructure for Operations Research, Optimization with PuLP (Documentation), Link