If Trump Runs in 2024.
What another Trump bid for the Presidency means for not only Republicans, but the Democratic party as well.
Since his loss to Joe Biden has only been solidified in his fruitless efforts to overturn the results of the election in his favor, it should come as a surprise to no one that Donald Trump has already begun to float the possibility of not just a media network, but another run in 2024. With Donald Trump signaling that he would leave the White House, but refusing to formally concede, it seems all but guaranteed that his intentions are indeed to run again, with some outlets reporting that he could announce a run before the end of this year. With the looming possibility of not only another four years of Trump in the near future, but four years of campaigning to get there, it seems important to discuss what that would mean not only for Republicans, but Democrats as well.
Naturally, as if it wasn’t at all likely to begin with, another Trump run should make it clear to Joe Biden and the Democratic party that the Republican party certainly is not going to “see the light” and change course any time soon. Considering no one has harnessed and exploited the frustrations and anger of the right wing base more effectively than Trump in decades, it feels safe to assume that no other Republican lawmaker is going to dare cross him after 93% of their base voted for him. While some might characterize it as a sort of hostage situation in which the lawmakers are powerless to stand against him, I would tend to disagree. Rather, much like Trump has exploited the anger and frustration of the base, he has all too easily simply exploited the craven desire for politicians to stay in power. The longer we pretend as if there’s any chance the majority of his fellow politicians care about anything else, the better.
As for the Democratic party, the idea of having to consider what they and their loyal voters will be like under four years of Trump campaigning against Joe Biden and Kamala Harris is almost unbearable to think about.
Arguably ever since Donald Trump took the lead in the Republican party in 2015, any dissent or aired legitimate grievances against the Democratic Party have been shut down and silenced by liberals with the all too familiar chorus of “are you trying to help Trump get elected?”, or “can’t this wait? it’s only helping Donald Trump”. Now with the nightmare of four years of Trump in the White House and possibly another four years of paranoia that he would be able to get to that position again, the left won’t be able to make a peep without liberals ignoring their critiques or responding in anger quicker than ever before. For Joe Biden’s team, the threat of another four years of Trump as the ultimate cushion might very well be the ultimate dream come true. With any objections to his actions being silenced for the entirety of his term by liberals claiming with more earnest than ever before that it only helps Trump, he would probably be right to assume there is little he wouldn’t be able to get away with.
Donald Trump’s chances of actually succeeding on the other hand, I would argue remain unclear. In all likelihood, it depends on who, if anyone, dares to challenge him. While someone like John Kasich or Mitt Romney would almost be guaranteed to lose against him, someone like Tom Cotton would probably fare much better. That being said, Tom Cotton or anyone intelligent enough to acknowledge and understand all the various ways in which Trump has succeeded is probably savvy enough to know that their chances of securing the Republican nomination bode much better if they merely waits another few years.
All things considered, there isn’t any disputing the fact that Trump was merely the symptom of the much larger problems at hand, and anticipation of how both political parties would handle a second run seem to only reinforce those concerns. It seems all to clear that across both party lines, no one has seemed to learn the lessons in the aftermath of his reign as President, and that — above all else — is what should concern us. If it isn’t Trump, we can all but guarantee someone else will be more than willing to fill his shoes.