Ignore Presidential Election Polls and Be Careful Saying Who You Voted For
Polls won’t be accurate due to Trump supporters staying silent because of backlash from the Left.
The 2020 election will be the most unpredictable in our memories. If you thought 2016 was wild, you haven’t seen anything yet. Democrats have never been more determined to win an election. Their hatred for President Trump makes Bush 43 look like a saint.
Democrats haven’t accepted they lost a fair election to Donald Trump. The Mueller Report proved that Trump didn’t collude with the Russians. They were hoping they wouldn’t have to win at the ballot box to get rid of him. They can’t go after him for false Russian theories, so they pull the race card at every opportunity.
This tactic will backfire if they use it too much. The average citizen doesn’t appreciate being called a racist for who they vote for. If Democrats make race the main issue in the election, few people will say they support Trump with company they don’t know.
Trump most likely will lose the popular vote again. Democrats get huge turnouts in the big coastal elite cities where the votes are a given for the Electoral College. Their volume of voters in those regions isn’t the same as battleground states. Most of those states split down the middle between Republicans and Democrats. Republicans prevailed in the mid-terms in Florida, so they have a small advantage there.
The Democrats will nominate a far-left candidate that won’t play well in the middle of the country. All the candidates will give Trump plenty of material in their debates to attack them with. Biden would be the most reasonable candidate, but would he fire up the far-left base that wanted Warren or Harris? The radical idea of abolishing private health insurance won’t play well in those areas.
They can’t go after him for Russia theories that proved wrong, so they pull the race card at every opportunity.
The reason you can’t believe the battleground polls is because many Trump voters are afraid to say they support him. Once you admit to supporting Trump, you open yourself up to hostile reactions. Then you get accused of supporting a racist, sexist, bigot, homophobe or whatever else they come up with. If you have a life, you don’t have time for that.
The social consequences aren’t worth the trouble. No one wants to get in a discussion that doesn’t go anywhere. You get ridiculed if you don’t support every social justice or environmental cause of the Left. You get portrayed as an evil person or science denier if you disagree. You can’t offer any solutions of your own. It’s easier to keep your mouth shut and nod your head.
If you do support Trump, the conversation must be a “hush hush” level by the water cooler at work. You don’t want to get into it with a with a peer you don’t have a solid relationship with. That’s bad for everyone in the office. We are getting to the point where your political beliefs can harm your career.
The pollsters in states won’t get accurate data from voters. They will lie about who they vote for or say they don’t support either candidate. It’s the safe and easy way out. I plan on doing the same if I get a call.
Once you admit to supporting Trump, you open yourself up to hostile reactions.
The number of people who won’t say they are voting for Trump in swing states is maybe up to 3%. In Midwest swing states and Florida that makes the difference. The enthusiasm on the Left is higher than ever before and no one will be afraid to say they are voting against Trump. People who vote for Trump may lie and say they are voting for the Democrat in the race to get the pollster off their back.
Politics used to be a small and segmented part of life. It didn’t get involved with sports and entertainment. We had respectful disagreements in the past and moved on. It wasn’t life or death for so many people. Every day is a new “crisis.” If you aren’t the one outraged, it’s easier to say quiet. Expect a lot of Trump voters to stay quiet and show up in big numbers at the polls in 2020.