Burger King Bets on the Impossible

Earnest Research
Earnest Research
Published in
3 min readJun 5, 2019
Image: Burger King

You have likely heard of the Impossible Burger, the plant-based patty that bleeds but harms no cows, and might play a major part in saving the planet. Burger King is not the first restaurant chain to feature the miracle burger on its menus, but it is the biggest. By making it available for purchase in its St. Louis locations, the fast-food giant may be tapping into a new base of customers.

Whopping Sales for the Impossible Whopper

Before the introduction of the Impossible Whopper, sales at St. Louis Burger King locations were mostly consistent with nationwide trends. Since adding the new burger to its menu in April, sales at the St. Louis locations have increased markedly, outpacing the national average by more than 30%.

Weeks end on Wednesday

Growth Drivers

Following the introduction of the Impossible Whopper, Burger King sales in St. Louis grew over 36% in April compared to March. A portion of this growth can be explained in part by a 7% rise in average ticket price, reflective of the Impossible Whopper costing $1 more than the conventional burger. However, this sales jump was driven mostly by an increase in unique customers — with 24% more customers eating at Burger King in April than in March.

April defined as 4/4/19 -5/1/19 and March defined as 2/28/19 — 3/27/19

New Customers Are Part of the Story

Additionally, Earnest data shows that 20% of this added sales growth can be attributed to new Burger King Customers, defined here as customers who have not made a purchase from Burger King in more than one year.

Whopper Bump defined as the sales growth seen in St. Louis after the Impossible Whopper rollout in April

Who Are These New Customers?

Earnest data indicates that historical spending habits of these new Burger King customers differ from those of the standard St. Louis Burger King patron. On average these new customers spend 52% more at Starbucks in a year, while also spending more at QSR chains such as Panera Bread, Chipotle and Potbelly. As one might expect, these new customers also spend less money at more traditional fast food restaurants like KFC, McDonald’s and Taco Bell.

Outside of restaurants, Earnest’s analysis uncovered that the new Burger King customers spend 150% more at Whole Foods and Nordstrom than their counterparts. These preferences suggest that these new Burger King customers are more affluent and health conscious, which may explain why the Impossible Whopper attracted them to a chain they may not normally consider.

*New Customers acquired after the introduction of the Impossible Whopper (between 4/3/19 and 5/1/19)

Impossible Burger in More Locations

If you’re curious about how the Impossible Whopper measures up against the flame-broiled beef classic, you may not have to wait very long to find out. On the heels of its success in St. Louis, Burger King has now made the burger available in more locations and is rolling out nationwide soon. Other major fast-food chains have also started experimenting with non-meat versions of beloved products, so while Burger King is one of the first to try an item like the Impossible Burger on so large a scale, it may not be an outlier for very long.

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Methodology

Earnest data is derived from the credit, debit and bill pay activity of millions of anonymous U.S. consumers. For more information or to schedule a demo, visit us online.

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Earnest Research
Earnest Research

Earnest Research transforms the purchase data of millions of anonymous U.S. consumers into actionable insights for business and investment professionals.