What to build (climate edition)
I was inspired by Marc Andreessen’s fantastic piece called It’s Time To Build this weekend. Give it a read. It’s great.
But then there’s this bit:
Solve the climate crisis by building — energy experts say that all carbon-based electrical power generation on the planet could be replaced by a few thousand new zero-emission nuclear reactors, so let’s build those. Maybe we can start with 10 new reactors? Then 100? Then the rest?
There’s a strain of nuclear idealism that permeates parts of Silicon Valley. I’ve never quite been able to explain it, but I think it displays the limitation of first-principles thinking. If you’re outside the sector and you see a (theoretically) low-cost, (effectively) infinite zero-carbon resource, you think you’ve solved the climate change problem. But the reality is far more complex, and nuclear’s destiny in decarbonization is more likely to be a tool in a fairly large and varied toolkit.
This is not to malign nuclear power — I’m all for it. It’s just not the panacea that the statement above implies.
Not to fear: Marc knew that pedants like me would take issue with the details of his otherwise-grand and sweeping call to action. He also wrote:
I expect this essay to be the target of criticism. Here’s a modest proposal to my critics. Instead of attacking my ideas of what to build, conceive your own!
So, in that spirit…
What to build (climate edition)
Start with a zero-carbon electrical grid. Build:
- A fleet of GHG-free generation: solar, wind, geothermal, hydro, and (yes) nuclear
- A massive network of HVDC transmission to move those electrons around
- Lots and lots of grid flexibility: batteries, pumped hydro, smart thermostats, water heaters, etc.
Turn renewable intermittency into an asset. Build:
- At-scale green hydrogen production via electrolysis
- Infrastructure to support hydrogen storage and transportation
- Demand via natural gas infrastructure, industrial uses, & some transportation
Make sure that grid is resilient. Build:
- Backup generation for critical facilities (hospitals, grocery, nursing homes, etc.)
- Microgrids for communities and remote areas
- Underground power lines
- Distribution grid monitoring, intelligence and automation
Reinvigorate public transportation. Build:
- Expansion of both inter- and intra-city transit networks: bus, rail
- Expansion of access to transit via new modes: dynamic last-mile routing, micromobility, autonomous
- Redesign of street network for safety, equity & dynamism
Electrify, electrify, electrify. Build:
- New electric vehicle models in every class, from scooters to semi-trucks (and airplanes!)
- Charging infrastructure to eradicate range anxiety and provide universal access
- Electricity-based homes, buildings, ports
Decarbonize industry. Build:
- Additive manufacturing capacity
- Admixtures & alternative chemistries for cement
- New materials & processes for steelmaking
- Bioplastics & improved chemical processes
Decarbonize agriculture. Build:
- Meat alternatives
- Systems for reduced food waste & ag supply chain efficiency
- Silvopasture
- Managed grazing, intercropping, agroforestry
Remove carbon from the atmosphere. Build:
- Point-source carbon capture capacity
- Direct air capture systems at scale
- 1 trillion trees
- Storage/sequestration capacity
- Carbon-to-value infrastructure. Turn CO2 into useful products (cement, CO, carbon black, etc.)
Never forget energy efficiency. Build:
- Low material use/lightweight products
- Universal energy audit & retrofit system
- Financing tools to enable as-a-service mode of sales w/ immediate customer benefit
- Ultra-high efficiency buildings with sustainable materials
Ensure carbon transparency. Build:
- Ubiquitous, transparent carbon accounting framework
- Carbon labeling on products
- Carbon visibility & optionality on purchase decisions
- Supply chain GHG reduction tools
- Robust corporate ESG reporting (emphasis E)
Point to any one of these ideas and I’ll show you a multi-billion dollar opportunity. To once again quote Marc Andreesson:
“The problem is desire. We need to *want* these things. The problem is inertia. We need to want these things more than we want to prevent these things.”
Let’s go.
Shayle Kann (@shaylekann) is Managing Director at Energy Impact Partners, the leading venture capital fund investing in the future of energy and infrastructure. Get in touch: decarb@energyimpactpartners.com.