Does a declining smartphone market reflect the economic downturn, or is something else going on?

Enrique Dans
Enrique Dans
Published in
3 min readJan 29, 2023

--

IMAGE: A pair of hands holding a smartphone and typing
IMAGE: Elly Brian — Unsplash

If there is one thing that the figures for the consumer electronics industry have shown over the past year, it’s that there’s been a sharp drop in sales of its flagship product, the smartphone.

A 9% drop in the second quarter of 2022 was followed by an 11% drop in the third quarter, and an even bigger drop of 18.3% in the fourth quarter, very unusual since, traditionally, the fourth quarter is the best one of the year. Overall, 2022 has seen a decline of 11.3%, and in some markets, it is the fifth consecutive year of decline.

The crisis, however, is not the same for everyone: Apple, despite the decline, overtook Android to regain leadership of the US market, also positioning itself as the second brand in China, where its decline, of only 3% over 2021, is much more moderate than that of its competitors.

What’s going on in the smartphone market? On the one hand, the anticipation of a strong economic downturn, which generally leads consumers to postpone significant spending decisions and cut back on high-volume purchases such as a smartphone. But on the other hand, it seems reasonable that after a few years of strong innovation, which led users to feel relatively uncomfortable when they did not keep up with the pace of updates…

--

--

Enrique Dans
Enrique Dans

Professor of Innovation at IE Business School and blogger (in English here and in Spanish at enriquedans.com)