Thinking NEW and BIG about infrastructure

Beyond just fixing old roads, bridges and buildings

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Building a new America and world: A rendering of Google’s futuristic new headquarters. See more.

A special report from EraNova Institute, home of the Smart Green Deal™

Some business and technology leaders are asking a critical question:

“Why just patch up yesterday when we can build a fantastic tomorrow too?”

They realize that infrastructure should be more than a fix-up project … more, even, than a job creator or economic stimulant.

Steve Sack cartoon, Star Tribune, June 22, 2013

They know we all need to think bigger, much bigger; and better, much better.

In spite of government lethargy, they’re rising to the infrastructure challenge on their own, in two steps: first, considering the need to define “infrastructure” more broadly; and second, thinking how they might implement a program that’s big and bold enough.

Re-imagining and integrating the natural and built environments: Apple’s new Sunnyvale, California, campus.

The key is to see the challenge clearly enough and set our sights high enough.

I. DEFINING “INFRASTRUCTURE” MORE BROADLY

The Cambridge Dictionary defines infrastructure as “the basic structure of an organization or system which is necessary for its operation, esp. public water, energy, and systems for communication and transport.”

Note the key words “necessary for operation.” We’re talking about all the shared things we can’t live without or can’t maintain society without. These resources and systems fall into three categories:

  1. Conventional infrastructure. This includes transportation; water and waterworks; communication systems; energy and power delivery; and maintaining venues for essential shared services such as education and health care. Defense infrastructure is a part of traditional infrastructure mix too.
  2. Natural infrastructure. Good air is of course essential; without it, we’re goners in less than five minutes. Also vital are the ecosystems that provide our food, fresh water, and ambient living conditions. Now, thanks to our heavy footprint, Mother Nature is starting to have trouble supplying our needs. So a sound infrastructure plan must now include monitoring and nurturing the neglected systems we have taken for granted.
  3. Futuristic infrastructure. These are systems that already exist and are proliferating rapidly, but seldom make it into public policy discussions. They are becoming more and more essential for participating in and running everything at local, national, and global levels. They are mostly offshoots of communication and computer infrastructure, ranging from artificial intelligence to space-based technology.
Two upgrades in one: Road under construction in Tourouvre, France, will capture energy while supporting traffic. Solar-panel roads to be built on four continents in 2017.

II. BUILDING BIG AND BOLD ENOUGH

There’s a temptation to go slow. To do “first things first.” To fix the potholes and pipes and then, later, maybe get around to the futuristic stuff, like anything green, digital, or space-oriented.

Some projects do, of course, demand immediate attention.

We need to fix what’s hurting or endangering people NOW.

But there’s peril in fixing yesterday’s systems and thinking that’s enough. If we stop when the old pipes or roads are back to normal, tomorrow’s systems don’t get built and our natural infrastructure languishes. As a result we fail to meet the big challenge of our time, which is preserving the planet and taking humanity to the next level.

Building with a little green in mind. Good, but we can do better. 10 Hudson Yards, under construction in 2014. View from the High Line. Image: Steven Severinghaus

Fortunately we don’t have to choose between fixing the conventional infrastructure and building the new futuristic infrastructure; or between either of those and protecting our natural infrastructure.

With creativity and good planning, we can do more than one thing at a time, and we can do it without breaking the bank. The key is overlap and integration.

Multiphase infrastructure projects

For most upgrades or replacements of conventional infrastructure, we can incorporate environmental and futuristic features without undue cost or difficulty. In fact, ambitious projects needn’t cost more and could cost less.

Thanks to the economies of multiphase planning, multiple priorities, individually expensive, may be realized simultaneously. And other social benefits may also blossom.

For example:

Instead of just refurbishing the streets and parking spaces in our cities, refurbish them with self-driving vehicles and green features in mind. Don’t overbuild highways and streets. When shared, self-driving vehicles will require much less road space and almost no parking space. For the same investment, some streets could be re-built as pedestrian malls, urban-agriculture gardens, or cultural venues. The air would be fresher and less carbon would be released.

With shared self-driving cars, communities may get greener as traffic thins, with many impacts on infrastructure.

Another example:

Instead of expanding industrial farming, with its heavy environmental footprint, promote more urban agriculture for a greater supply of fresh, nutritious local food; and freshen the air at the same time.

Urbanana is a concept for a vertical banana plantation in Paris. It’s part of the urban agriculture revolution in cities around the world, from Newark and Havana to Lima and Hong Cong.

Another example:

Most towns and cities have lots of places where plants can grow. Good, but why not multiply the benefit by making those plants edible? In Todmorden, England, Pam Warhurst and her neighbors did just that, and transformed the community socially as well as economically. See her TED Talk on how they pulled it off:

How we can eat our landscapes, filmed May, 2012

Another example:

Go ahead and create millions of jobs for those who like manual work, but do it with emerging technologies, such as artificial intelligence, in mind. Realize that most of today’s jobs are candidates for automation; and simultaneously experiment with new ways of engaging and compensating people. For example, since millions already do “human” tasks such as parenting, eldercare, and community service for no pay, why not try paying some of them for it? We might learn a lot from a few test projects. Maybe the hot new “occupation” of the future is nurturing — of other people and the environment. See these two videos:

Former Secretary of Labor Robert Reich makes the case for a federal jobs guarantee.
The rationale for guaranteed basic income in an automated economy.

Another example:

Instead of just rebuilding flood water control systems, also plant greenery that utilizes some of that unwanted water. Spend less overall for better flood control, while adding beauty and fresher air.

Atlanta’s new plan treats stormwater as a resource, not waste

Another example:

When replacing anything old or building anything brand-new, forget conventional practices and design. Go 100% sustainable and forward-looking from the get-go. Apple’s new solar-powered headquarters is a model of sustainability:

A model of sustainability, Apple’s new solar-powered headquarters, in Cupertino, California, will accommodate 20,000. Drone video from Sexton Videography

Another example:

Instead of just beefing up infrastructure to fight forest fires, which are on the increase thanks to climate change, come at the problem from a new, multiphase point of view. Look for a way to manage fires along with other environmental problems. A Berkeley, California, startup (All Power Labs) has in fact done this. Their multiphase solution could avert the worst impact of fires through a process that sequesters carbon while turning biomass into usable electricity and heat. The solution amounts to positive, preemptive burning (savings billions in cleanup costs) while reducing atmospheric carbon, generating clean energy, and keeping residents safer.

2013 Rim fire,Yosemite National Park, California. NASA/Forest Service Maps. Disasters like these may be ameliorated by a small-scale gasification process developed by All Power Labs in Berkeley, CA.
Powertainer Beta Unit at All Power Labs in Berkeley, CA

But upgrading conventional infrastructure, even while pursuing green and future-facing goals, may not be enough. A MAJOR project or so may be required. To get our juices flowing, we need oceans to cross and mountains to climb.

What GREAT, GRAND projects should we consider?

What bold and beautiful new things we might create NOW — while fixing traditional infrastructure as part of the mix?

Suitable projects should match and scale and pizzazz of past projects like Hoover Dam, the coast-to-coast rail and highway systems, electrification of the nation, going to the moon, and connecting people through the Internet.

Here are five candidates, supported by organizations ranging from SpaceX and Microsoft to the UN and NASA:

1.Establish the Universal Internet. Only about 40% of the world is now connected. Finish the project. Connect everyone, even the poorest and least documented in the U.S., Africa, everywhere. And do it in a way that bonds, educates, empowers, and motivates all of humanity while controlling those who would do harm.

One contender: SpaceX seeks FCC approval to launch high-speed 4,425-satellite network for universal internet.

2. Save the planet by beating UN’s sustainable development goals. Do it by a rapid shift to renewables, in a way that benefits people of all ages and walks of life; and compensates potential losers, like coal and oil industry workers.

Children from around the world stand with leaders in the General Assembly Hall at the UN in the signing ceremony for the Paris Agreement, April 22, 2016 in New York City. Photo: AFP

3. Implement AI as a public utility. Intelligent control is fast being added to industrial processes, consumer devices, and public infrastructure such as air and traffic control systems. Individual citizens need to know more about it and have easy access to its power. Let’s make sure artificial intelligence, including human intelligence augmentation, is an affordable, easy-to-use resource available to everyone.

Microsoft’s entry into the budding digital assistant market. Though interfaces such as this, will artificial intelligence start becoming the “public utility” envisioned by John McCarthy, the “father” of AI?

4. Replace money with supermoney. Implement a totally electronic system of value exchange, based on the “blockchain” technology of Bitcoin. This would happen in two steps: first, make international currency exchange instantaneous (yen to dollars, pesos to pounds); and second, skip the old currencies and use the blockchain bits only. This would speed everything up, allow people to receive compensation for more things, streamline society in all dimensions. Once implemented and mature, a super-money system could prevent currency crises such as the current ones in India and Venezuela. It could also conjoin informal and formal economies, and support alternatives to cumbersome, inequitable taxation.

Creating an internet of value: 4 ways blockchain technology will change the world

5. Establish a space colony. It could be a settlement on the moon or Mars, or an orbital space community. Why should this be a priority? To save earth and make it thrive, we may need to go beyond it. We are explorers and trail-blazers. There’s nothing like a new frontier to inspire us and bring out our best. Developers, many of them children, are at work on this now, as illustrated by the following National Geographic post:

NASA’s concept plan for KalpanaOne, an orbital space settlement. A view of interior.
NASA scientists say we could colonise the Moon by 2022… for just $10 billion, prior to colonizing Mars. Image: concept for a moon colony, NASA

(Which of the above projects would you vote for, or what others would you suggest? Please share your thoughts in Responses.)

How to get it done

All components of infrastructure may be impacted by anyone at these six levels:

  • International
  • National
  • State or regional
  • Community (city, town)
  • Interest group (work, school, association, etc.)
  • Individual and family

National politics can strongly influence infrastructure policy, but need not dominate when the winning legislation is off-base. There are rich options for action at the other five levels.

For example:

At the international level, a majority of nations can hold firm in protecting our natural infrastructure even if the United States withdraws from the Paris climate agreement. A key player is China, seeking to dominate the green technology market and tired of their gross levels of air pollution.

China pledges to clean up its power plants after cities struggle with record-breaking smog

Another example:

In the United States and globally, well-organized cities and states can prevail over federal infrastructure action or inaction. Along with others, former New York City mayor Michael Bloomberg is taking independent action. He is mobilizing mayors around the world to fight climate change regardless of national policy, pointing out that more than 70% of greenhouse gas emissions are produced by cities.

Another example:

At the personal and family level, most of us have lots of infrastructure under our direct control. How good is your drinking water and waste disposal? How fuel-efficient is your car, how fast your internet access? Thinking about solar? Infrastructure upgrades are possibly at many points during one’s life. And daily, one may impact nearby public infrastructure in small ways, such as reporting a pothole on the way to work. (There’s even an app for that, Spothole.)

In India, many residents use the Spothole app to report potholes and speed their repair.

No good action is too small to matter. Since we’re all connected, to act locally is to act globally

Can we afford it?

A big, bold infrastructure initiative won’t be cheap. Cost-benefit estimates are speculative and controversial, but let’s look at it this way.

An expensive program that works will be cheaper than the alternative: doing nothing or doing too little. Failing to build a bridge, or building an inadequate one, won’t bridge the chasm of disaster.

Bruce Plante Cartoon: The Crumbling U.S.infrastructure, Tulsa World, May 19, 2015

If we want to survive and thrive, we have no choice but to:

  • Make conventional infrastructure reasonably available to everyone, everything from clean water to reliable power. If we don’t, we’ll be courting discord ranging from perpetual protests to endless ISIS. Very expensive, ultimately unaffordable.
  • Protect the natural infrastructure that makes everything possible. We have no choice but to halt catastrophic climate change and deal with environmental factors of many types. That includes maintaining the health of even tiny components, such as the threatened honey-bee system that makes our trees and plants fruitful.
Bees and Wild Pollinators Are Threatened; What We Can Do to Help

If too much goes wrong, environmentally of socially, all bets will be off. No amount of money will turn things around. If we decide we can’t afford necessary infrastructure, we’re deciding we can’t afford a future.

It may also be necessary to build the futuristic stuff. Doing so may be the cheapest, best way to revive our spirits. That’s crucial. Without a future to believe in (to quote Bernie Sanders), all bets are off.

We can do it! If we don’t, it won’t be for lack of money, which can be redirected, or even lack of creativity, which abounds, or lack of knowledge, which can be supplied. It will be for lack of will and goodwill.

Motivation and mobilization required: Hundreds of thousands turn out for People’s Climate March in New York City, September, 2014. Photo: Brooke Anderson

To help all this happen, do we need an “interactive infrastructure initiative”?

It would be a glorified expansion of this article: a website allowing participants to post, share, organize, make connection, and promote infrastructure projects of all types at all levels.

It would include:

  • Brief write-ups of infrastructure-promoting organizations.
  • Member directory, including the skills and resources offered.
  • Lists of issues, project plans, and entrepreneurial opportunities.
  • Lists of infrastructure-related organizations, from the United Nations to local planning boards and ad-hoc action groups.
  • News of progress.
  • Calendar of events ranging from public gatherings and street fairs to planning parties and pilot project openings.

(Please share your thoughts about this, in Responses. And if there are projects, resources, or solutions you’d like to include, please let us know.)

For related trends and opportunities, see this overview: Future Alerts … 5 supertrends.

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