MathBox Tells It Like It Is — Week 12 Fantasy Football Rankings based on Machine Learning
No holds barred takes on Week 12 Studs and Duds, Streamers and Busts, Minuses and Plus — Machine learning projections in PPR and Standard scoring leagues for the 2019 NFL season
To view our product line, visit us on our gumroad page. For daily updates, follow us on twitter.
At Fantasy Outliers, we believe that machine learning combined with human expertise leads to better results than either by itself. While some of these projections may seem odd, outlandish even, most of the time, MathBox has a reason for its decisions — and beat ESPN for likely starters (also, tied Vegas in predicting game winners).
That said, the machine learning models are focused on relevant players, so projections are less accurate for benchwarmers. Also, situational things come up, which require folks like you and me to adjust some of the models’ projections every week.
These models are projecting using DraftKings PPR scoring, which is a little higher on average than ESPN PPR scoring — so keep that in mind when making comparisons between the two
Okay, let’s get to it…
Quarterback Rankings based on Machine Learning
- It’s fascinating to see MathBox bump up its Jimmy Garoppolo rating this week. It must be expecting a shootout against the Packers.
Running Back — Rankings in Standard and PPR based on Machine Learning
- MathBox has been high on Joe Mixon for the past couple of weeks. Not the best matchup this week against the Steelers, but at a low 289 $/point in DraftKing, is worthy of a consideration
Wide Receiver — Rankings in Standard and PPR based on Machine Learning
- MathBox is high on Alshon Jeffrey at 16.4 points (versus ESPN’s 12.3) for 298 $/point in DraftKings
Tight End — Rankings in Standard and PPR based on Machine Learning
- MathBox has been high on George Kittle recently (even though he’s been injured). It’s a risky first game back, but worth a consideration.
Defense/Special Teams Rankings based on Machine Learning
- Defense/Special Teams projections are taking a bye week this week!
Kicker Rankings based on Machine Learning
- Get some sneaky points at Kicker, y’all!
We have products geared towards fantasy leagues, DFS players, and NFL bettors. Check ’em all out on our gumroad profile page.
Performance analysis:
- Can machine learning help improve your fantasy football draft — Comparison of Fantasy Outliers’ yearly models’ 2017 fantasy football draft performance versus ESPN and Expert Consensus Rankings
- How Artificial Intelligence (AI) beat ESPN in Fantasy Football — Summary of results of Fantasy Outliers’ weekly predictive models vs. ESPN during Weeks 6–16 of the 2017 NFL regular season
- We Tied Vegas in Our First Attempt at Predicting NFL Game Winners Using Machine Learning — How Raw, Unedited Machine Learning Models With Information Known Early in the Week Tied Final Vegas Game Winner Projections and the Spread
To stay in touch, please, join us by following us on Twitter (@fantasyoutliers) or subscribing to our weekly newsletter. We’re a small team, so let’s grow together!