Week 10 waiver wire reactions
Our MathBox™-centric assessment of this week’s trendiest waiver adds based on our Value Over Replacement metric.
There’s hope yet on the waiver wire as we journey further into the latter half of the season. Come join as we dive into a few of the notable performances from last week and if they’re relevant in Week 10 and beyond.
Note: Listed rankings and insights are based on MathBox’s preliminary Week 10 rankings from the information available going into Week 9. Every week, MathBox makes projections through Week 17. Although we’ll have updated Week 10 projections coming out this Thursday, we wanted to post waiver wire suggestions before those new projections were available so you would have time to make moves in your league.
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Jared Goff, Los Angeles Rams
We can keep this really brief because Goff was listed in our Week 9 waiver article and has been in others. He put up 311 yards and four touchdowns with no picks on Sunday against the New York Giants, so take that for what it’s worth. MathBox has Goff outside the top 20 for Week 10 against a Houston defense that seems to be trying to make quarterbacks look good. We say roll with Goff this week.
Jacoby Brissett, Indianapolis Colts
Speaking of quarterbacks that looked good against Houston, Brissett was this week’s beneficiary, tallying 308 yards and two touchdowns. That’s two consecutive weeks of two scores and no interceptions for Brissett, although, we’re a bit more inclined to chalk that up to the matchups more than anything. He probably won’t favor so well in Week 10 against the Pittsburgh Steelers, MathBox’s third-ranked defense against QBs. MathBox also has Brissett’s numbers for the rest of the season projected pretty low compared to just about every other starter, so this is still probably a pass unless you’re desperate.
Corey Clement, Philadelphia Eagles
Corey Clement, owned in a whopping 1 percent of games, turned in a fantasy performance to remember and completely overshadowed Jay Ajayi’s debut for the Eagles. Clement carried 12 times for 51 yards and two scores and added another touchdown on his only reception of the day. Clement outcarried Ajayi 12–8, but that was probably to be expected since Ajayi just arrived in Philly days ago. Clement didn’t even make MathBox’s Week 10 projections and was an afterthought in the Week 9 rankings. This probably tells us that MathBox thinks that Ajayi is going to take opportunities from Clement. Saying that though, Clement scored in a variety of ways, and it looked like the Eagles trusted giving him the ball near the goal line. He’s not worth the pickup this week, but monitor this situation.
Matt Forte, New York Jets
Forte’s Week 9 included his first two touchdowns of the season and a very impressive 6.4-yard average per carry. Forte’s value has been in the passing game, definitely making him viable in PPR, but not so much so in standard. MathBox has Forte projected ranked the mid-30s in both formats for Week 10, and isn’t terribly far behind Bilal Powell in the total season projections. Saying that, this is still an iffy pickup considering Forte rushed 14 times and his previous season high was nine. This performance is more than likely a blip.
Rob Kelley, Washington Redskins
Wanted to hit this quickly… Kelley has had three touchdowns in two weeks, but these have all been on 1-yard runs. His yards per carry is atrocious, and he’s not remotely a part of the passing game. MathBox has him just below Forte in Week 10. The good news is that he’s pretty much sure for these goal-line situations, the bad news is he’s not valuable anywhere else.
Marqise Lee, Jacksonville Jaguars
A couple underwhelming performances in Weeks 4 and 5 probably scared some people away from Lee, as well as the fact that he had yet to score a touchdown until this past week against the Bengals. However, he’s got three double-digit outings in a row. He’s projected pretty low for a No. 1 option (No. 34 in both formats in Week 10), but he’s owned in only 35 percent of leagues. His upside and upward trend is probably worth a spot on your roster.
Terrance Williams, Dallas Cowboys
Nine catches and 141 yards. Woo boy. After seeing a pretty measly amount of targets for a few weeks and having his fantasy output reflect that, Williams was all over the field, especially after Dez Bryant exited the game with an ankle injury. Unfortunately, Williams also suffered some sort of injury toward the end of the game. He’s listed as questionable as of Monday night. Williams’ value will heavily depend on Bryant’s availability as well as his own. Although MathBox’s preliminary projections aren’t aware of these injuries, Williams is an afterthought if Bryant plays. The sample we have going into Week 10 pretty much confirms this.
Robert Woods, Los Angeles Rams
Woods finally saw the end zone for the first time this season — twice (is there an echo in here?). He also now has his first back-to-back games with double-digit points in PPR. Obviously his performance is tied to Goff’s, but he continues to lead the team in a few statistical categories, and MathBox doesn’t see him as terribly far behind fellow wideout Tavon Austin in the projections for Week 10. He’s projected in the mid-30s in both formats, so if you’re in need of WR help or looking for a flex option, he might be your guy.
Deonte Thompson, Buffalo Bills
Seven catches for 81 yards and a score. We’d love where this is going if the Bills didn’t just trade for Kelvin Benjamin. MathBox wasn’t fond about Thompson’s prospects before that trade. There are better options if you’re in need of a spot start.
That’s it for this week. We’d love to hear what you think about our approach to the waiver wire — and how you think it can be improved.
We’re a team at Fantasy Outliers. Chris Seal and Jeremy Mobley contributed to these models.
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