Ahead of the Curve: The Predictive Power of Your Brain

Bethany Ranes, Ph.D.
Firing and Wiring
Published in
5 min readMar 2, 2024

Imagine if our brains waited to react to incoming information until after it had already happened. For most folks, that is precisely how we think our brains work, but if it were true, we’d be history! Luckily, our brains are ahead of the game, not just reacting to incoming stimuli, but constantly predicting what’s next. This superpower, known as predictive processing, is crucial to our survival. It’s what kept our ancestors one step ahead of saber-toothed tigers so they could pass their fabulous genes on to you!

If predictive processing is a new concept to you, fret not, you aren’t alone. Most folks don’t realize our brains work this way, believing instead that we’re just reacting in real-time (since that was the predominant theory of the brain for many decades). Let’s peel back the curtain on this fascinating concept, showing how it influences everything from what we see, hear, and smell to how our bodies reflexively react, and uncover how it plays into our everyday moments.

Why Predictive Processing is a Game-Changer

At its core, predictive processing is not just a mechanism for survival instincts; it’s the brain’s way of streamlining our interaction with the world. This system works tirelessly, using every experience to refine its predictions about what will happen next. Whether it’s the anticipation of a melody’s next note or the automatic adjustment of our stride when walking on uneven terrain, predictive processing is at play. Our brains are constantly cataloging experiences, referencing past events to build more accurate models for future scenarios. This intricate process allows for a more efficient response to similar situations down the line. By drawing on a vast database of prior experiences, the brain fine-tunes its predictions, ensuring that our interactions with the world are as seamless and effective as possible, while cutting energy costs down significantly (if you thought your dad was a stickler about cutting energy costs when you were a kid, I assure you that he’s got nothing on your brain!). This dynamic, ongoing process highlights the brain’s remarkable ability to learn from the past, adapt to the present, and anticipate the future.

When our experiences don’t align with what our brains have predicted, an automatic response kicks in. This response is a crucial neural mechanism that draws our attention to the discrepancy, signaling that something important and unexpected has occurred. Our brains pump extra energy and attention into noticing the unexpected new information so we can be sure to add it to our predictive model and increase our likelihood of getting it right next time. And you may be surprised to hear that you’re already very familiar with this automatic reaction — you’ve just always called it surprise! Moments of surprise prompt our brain to pay extra attention, using this unexpected information to adjust our existing predictive models. It’s a fundamental part of the learning process, enabling us to update our understanding and expectations based on new evidence, ensuring that our predictions become more accurate over time.

Making Predictive Processing Work for You

Putting this fascinating concept of predictive processing into action can enhance your daily life in several tangible ways. Here are some strategies:

  • Embrace Novelty: Regularly introduce new experiences into your life. This helps refine and expand your brain’s predictive models, making you more adaptable.
  • Lean into Surprises: When faced with unexpected situations, instead of resisting, lean into the surprise. Reflect on what your brain predicted versus what actually happened to enhance learning and adaptation.
  • Practice Mindfulness: Mindfulness helps you become more aware of the present moment, including how your expectations shape your perceptions. This awareness can make you more adaptable and less reactive.
  • Engage in Deliberate Practice: When learning something new, focus on the process rather than the outcome. This approach helps your brain make more accurate predictions over time, improving skill acquisition.
  • Cultivate Flexibility: Work on being open to changing your mind. When new information presents itself, allow your predictive models to adjust. This flexibility is key to growth and understanding.

By incorporating these practices, you can harness the power of your brain’s predictive processing to live more fully, adapt more readily, and connect more deeply with the world around you.

Diving Deeper into Predictive Processing

For those who are intrigued by the science behind predictive processing and want to tackle a more technical explanation of it, I highly recommend this paper by Kevin S. Walsh, David P. McGovern, Andy Clark, and Redmond G. O’Connell. It is a treasure trove of insights, although be aware that it is a bit of a dense read if you don’t have a background in science. Their work dives deep into the mechanics of how our brains predict and adapt, providing a fascinating look at the underpinnings of our thoughts and actions. If you’re keen to explore the scientific nitty-gritty, their paper is a must-read.

Bringing it All Together

Predictive processing might sound like a complex neurological principle, but it’s truly what makes us human. It shapes our perceptions, our reactions, and even our relationships. By understanding and embracing this concept, we can navigate life more effectively, making better decisions, enjoying richer experiences, and connecting more deeply with those around us.

Call to Action

How does this information resonate with your own experiences? Each article in “Firing and Wiring” will conclude with a Call to Action. After reading, share your thoughts and experiences in the comments here on Medium, or on social media. Here is the call to action for “Ahead of the Curve: The Predictive Power of Your Brain” – How have you noticed your brain’s predictions shaping your reality? Now that you better understand how it all works, in what ways do you now see that your brain’s predictions influence your own daily life and decisions?

As we continue to explore the wonders of our brain on “Firing and Wiring,” remember: understanding the predictive nature of your mind is the first step toward living a more conscious and fulfilling life. Stay curious, and keep exploring the endless possibilities of your brain’s power.

Your brain is constantly creating and updating a predictive blueprint for what it expects to encounter at any given time, using the sensory signals you’re getting compared to sensory signals you’ve gotten in the past.

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Bethany Ranes, Ph.D.
Firing and Wiring

Making neuroscience practical and approachable for all. Join me at my blog, “Firing and Wiring,” for all your go-to brain insights. No Ph.D. required.