No Risk, No Consequences

Friederike
From Empire to Europe
2 min readMay 11, 2016

Only 43 days do the Britons have left until they have to decide on their country’s future. Will Great Britain leave the European Union or will they stay part of it? The latest poll of polls shows the campaigns in a dead heat: 50%:50%. The race about In or Out is tighter than ever.

But let’s take a look again at the past polls and the development of the Brexit and Remain blocs. In September 2015 the IN voters started at 50 per cent, whereas the OUT voters were situated at 37 per cent. During the months passing, speeches were held, both sides could convince undecided voters, Cameron changed sides and even Obama intervened and appealed to the British citizens to stick together with the EU. In April 2016, the Brexit voters were able to celebrate a minor, but considerable succes with overtaking the competition with 51 per cent to 49 per cent for the In voters. Up to May 2016 the In voters positioned theirself at 46 per cent, the Brexit bloc increased up to 43 per cent and the undecided almost always held their position at 11 per cent. The final result will be a question of the decision of the undecided!

6,000 people were polled across the European continent (France, Belgium, Germany, Italy, Spain, Poland, Sweden, Hungary) about their country leaving the EU. Surprisingly, 45 per cent stated that they’d want their own referendum and one third said that if they had the option for a referendum, they’d opt to leave the European Union. Furthermore, interestingly half of the people polled believe Britain to leave the EU, making Brexit happening. That is almost more than the Britons believe itself.

If Brexit takes place, what does it mean for other countries of the EU? What will be the consequences? If more countries are to decide to leave the EU, then there won’t be a EU no longer.

Never in hisory before has a country opted to leave the EU. UK would be the first to set new standards and no poll is able to foresee what will be the consequences if Brexit takes place. The polls suggest a tight result, but all we can do is wait and see.

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