Could Ethereum and L2s surpass Bitcoin in active addresses in the near future?

Alannaelga
GamingArena
Published in
6 min readMar 28, 2024
ethereum layer 2

In the dynamic landscape of cryptocurrency, Ethereum and Layer 2 solutions are emerging as formidable contenders to Bitcoin’s dominance in active addresses. As decentralized finance (DeFi) and blockchain scalability become increasingly crucial, the spotlight is turning towards Ethereum’s adaptability and the promise of Layer 2 Solutions For Ethereum. This introduction sets the stage to delve deeper into the evolving narrative of cryptocurrency adoption and usage patterns.

Market Dynamics Today

In today’s market dynamics, Bitcoin has maintained relative stability with a modest 2.1% increase, currently trading at $67,000. Meanwhile, Ethereum has seen a slight uptick of 1.4%, indicating steady movement in the top two cryptocurrencies. Among altcoins, Internet computer (ICP) has emerged as the top performer, surging by 20%. Close behind is the pupper with the woolly hat (WIF), boasting a 16% bounce. Other notable gainers include Quant (QNT), NEAR, and TON (TON), each recording gains ranging from 11% to 15% over the past day.

However, not all cryptocurrencies have fared well today. eCash (XEC), ronin (RON), and stacks (STX) have experienced declines between 4.2% and 6.5%. These fluctuations underscore the dynamic nature of the cryptocurrency market, with some assets showing resilience and growth while others face temporary setbacks.

On-chain Insights

The latest on-chain insights reveal a notable shift in monthly active unique addresses between Ethereum mainnet and Polygon PoS. For the first time, Polygon PoS has surpassed Ethereum mainnet in terms of active addresses, marking a significant milestone for the layer-2 scaling solution. While Ethereum’s mainnet is experiencing a gradual decline in active addresses, Polygon PoS has seen a surge, indicating growing adoption and utilization of layer-2 solutions within the Ethereum ecosystem. This trend underscores the importance of scalability solutions in addressing network congestion and accommodating the increasing demand for decentralized applications and transactions on the Ethereum blockchain.

Ethereum Mainnet vs. Layer-2s

The comparison between Ethereum Mainnet and Layer-2 solutions highlights a shifting landscape within the Ethereum ecosystem. While Ethereum’s Mainnet has been experiencing a decline in active addresses, its Layer-2 solutions have been gaining momentum, attracting more users and transactions. Layer-2 solutions such as Arbitrum, Optimism, Base, and zkSync are witnessing significant growth, outpacing Ethereum’s Mainnet in terms of active addresses since mid-2022.

This trend emphasizes the importance of scalability solutions in addressing congestion and accommodating the increasing demand for decentralized applications and transactions on the Ethereum network. As a result, the combined activity of Ethereum’s Mainnet and Layer-2 solutions is on track to surpass Bitcoin in terms of active addresses, signaling a potential shift in dominance within the cryptocurrency space.

Bitcoin and Ethereum over the past five years

Credits: Blackworks Research

Over the past five years, Ethereum’s active addresses initially lagged significantly behind Bitcoin’s, but a notable reversal occurred as Ethereum doubled its count over two years, driven by increasing interest in decentralized applications. However, the most significant shift emerged in mid-2022 with Ethereum’s accelerated growth, fueled by the adoption of Layer-2 solutions, which offered lower fees and faster transaction speeds. This surge propelled Ethereum’s combined active addresses, including Mainnet and Layer-2 solutions, to surpass Bitcoin’s. This evolution reflects changing user preferences toward scalable blockchain solutions, positioning Ethereum as a leader in DeFi and NFT sectors, while Bitcoin maintains its status as a store of value.

Rise of Layer-2 Solutions

The rise of Layer-2 solutions, such as Arbitrum, Optimism, Base, and zkSync, marks a significant development in addressing scalability issues on the Ethereum blockchain.

  1. Arbitrum: Arbitrum employs optimistic rollups, a scaling technique that allows for off-chain computation and later submission of a single proof on-chain, significantly reducing gas costs and increasing throughput. Its compatibility with Ethereum smart contracts makes it a seamless solution for developers looking to migrate existing applications to Layer-2.
  2. Optimism: Optimism also utilizes optimistic rollups, aiming to increase Ethereum’s throughput and reduce transaction fees. It provides Ethereum developers with a familiar environment by maintaining compatibility with existing tools and infrastructure, offering an efficient pathway to scale decentralized applications while maintaining decentralization and security.
  3. Base: Base focuses on providing scalability solutions specifically tailored for decentralized exchanges (DEXs). By utilizing a unique technology called Validium, Base offers high transaction throughput and low latency, enabling DEXs to operate efficiently without sacrificing security or decentralization.
  4. zkSync: zkSync employs zero-knowledge proofs to achieve scalability and privacy on Ethereum. By bundling multiple transactions into a single proof, zkSync drastically reduces the cost and time required to settle transactions on the Ethereum blockchain, making it an attractive solution for users and developers alike.

Understanding Polygon PoS

It’s crucial to clarify misconceptions about Polygon PoS, often mistaken as a layer-2 network for Ethereum. In reality, Polygon PoS operates as a layer-1 network with its own set of validators, distinct from Ethereum’s layer-1 or layer-2 solutions. Understanding Polygon PoS’s unique role in the broader blockchain landscape is essential for accurately assessing Ethereum’s growth and potential to surpass Bitcoin in active addresses.

Crypto Stock Performance

Analyzing the performance of specific crypto-related stocks reveals varying trends. Cipher Mining and MicroStrategy have shown notable gains, with Cipher Mining up by 50% over the past month and MicroStrategy seeing a 6.57% increase as of the latest close. These gains indicate positive investor sentiment towards companies involved in cryptocurrency mining and investment. However, Griid has experienced volatility, evidenced by a 9.3% decline following a rollercoaster session. Such fluctuations underscore the inherent risks associated with investing in crypto stocks, influenced by factors like market sentiment, regulatory developments, and company-specific news.

Bitcoin’s Relationship with Tech Stocks

Examining the correlation between Bitcoin and tech stocks like QQQ, it’s evident that their relationship has been dynamic. Initially, Bitcoin’s correlation with QQQ, which tracks the tech-heavy Nasdaq 100, reached 68% on March 14, indicating a relatively strong positive correlation as both assets hovered near their all-time highs. However, this correlation has since decreased, with Bitcoin now only 10% correlated with QQQ, potentially signaling a shift towards inverse correlation.

Coinbase’s Role

Coinbase’s role in the cryptocurrency market extends beyond its platform as it influences and reflects market dynamics. The correlation between Coinbase and tech stocks, as well as Bitcoin, has been noteworthy. Historically, Coinbase’s correlation with tech stocks has fluctuated, reaching its lowest point at -65% last month, before rebounding to 68% over the past week. This suggests that while Coinbase’s performance may sometimes diverge from that of tech stocks, there are periods of alignment. Moreover, Coinbase’s correlation with Bitcoin has remained strong, with both assets trading practically in tandem at a 94% correlation, the highest since January 2022.

COLLABORATE WITH ETHEREUM LAYER 2 SCALING SOLUTIONS PROVIDER

Collaborating with Ethereum layer 2 scaling solutions offers a promising avenue for addressing the network’s scalability challenges. By leveraging layer 2 technologies such as rollups and sidechains, Ethereum can significantly enhance its transaction throughput while reducing costs and congestion on the mainnet. This collaboration fosters a more efficient and accessible ecosystem for decentralized applications (DApps) and smart contracts, opening up new possibilities for innovation and user engagement.

Final Thoughts

In conclusion, the trajectory of Ethereum and Layer 2 solutions towards potentially surpassing Bitcoin in active addresses highlights the ongoing evolution of the cryptocurrency ecosystem. As technological advancements continue to shape the landscape, the dynamics of user engagement and adoption are subject to constant change. Whether Ethereum and Layer 2 solutions ultimately outpace Bitcoin remains to be seen, but their growing prominence underscores the importance of innovation and adaptability in the realm of digital assets.

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Alannaelga
GamingArena

Passionate wordsmith fascinated by Layer 2 Ethereum and blockchain tech. Eager to contribute to innovation and adoption in the evolving world of DeFi.