Photo by Jacob Culp on Unsplash

Statistics

Introduction to Monty Hall Problem — How More Information Can Affect the Probability

Why we should switch the door in the long run for a better opportunity in winning the game show

Published in
7 min readOct 3, 2022

--

Monty Hall's problem is one of the veridical paradoxes in Statistics that have been discussed among statisticians in the world after Marilyn vos Savant published a column in Parade Magazine related to the strategy for winning the Let’s Make a Deal game show. A lot of letters arguing Marilyn’s statements came from professors in Mathematics and Statistics.

Marilyn’s statement related to the game show is counter-intuitive and discloses the traditional paradigm of the probability theory. That’s what you will get after reading this short article and of course, you can demonstrate it for validation.

The Background of Monty Hall's Problem

The Monty Hall problem is a counter-intuitive paradox in Statistics that created a massive controversy among statisticians. It comes from Monty Hall, a TV show host for Let’s Make a Deal — a TV game show in which people were asked to guess the door randomly where they believe the prize is and if their guessing is correct, they will find a car and could take it home. What a…

--

--

Data Scientist. Tech Writer. Statistics, Data Analytics, and Computer Science Enthusiast. Portfolio & social media links at http://audhiaprilliant.github.io/