Geek Culture
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Geek Culture

Overconfidence Bias, Hindsight Bias, Availability Bias

The human brain spontaneously underestimates variance. For whatever reason, humans seem hardwired for this, sometimes with disastrous results.

Overconfidence (Wikimedia)

Overconfidence bias is the tendency to have excessive confidence in one’s own answers to…




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Bent Flyvbjerg

Bent Flyvbjerg

Professor at University of Oxford and IT University of Copenhagen. Writes about project management.

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