Navigating the rising recession risks Recession risks are now soaring as Central Banks prioritise curbing inflation over all else. Has been a unique cycle so far, with US equities and bonds lagging vs many prior slowdowns. Defensives like consumer staples, utilities, healthcare are our focus, to stay invested for the…

Compound and Polygon soar 50% as Bitcoin stabilizes DeFi revival turns altcoin market green Altcoins outperformed Bitcoin last week, with DeFi favorites making high double-digit gains as the largest cryptoasset found stability at $21K. The DeFi revival came on hopes that the global economy might avoid a recession. Federal Reserve Chairman Jerome Powell said on Thursday that economic downturn in the US is “not…

In April 2022, Netflix made a dramatic announcement that it had lost more than 200,000 subscribers in the first quarter of 2022. It was the first time that the streaming leader had lost subscribers in more than a decade. Even more damning was the outlook for the second quarter where…

Judging earnings versus valuations We present a valuation and earnings matrix to judge S&P 500 risks. Valuations fallen below average, limiting risks unless see a big recession. But earnings growth is still seen at a resilient 10%, and is the main risk now. Profits typically fall over 20% in a…

Crypto sell-off accelerates as Bitcoin tests $20K Unprecedented macro headwinds lead to 25% losses for BTC and ETH In one of the worst weeks ever for crypto, Bitcoin plunged 25% to test the previous all-time high of $20K. Markets began falling ahead of the Fed’s 0.75 bps rate hike on Wednesday, which represents the biggest rate increase since 1994 and is widely expected to trigger an economic slowdown…

One of the biggest innovations in the crypto, gaming, and blockchain world is that the participants are paid to be part of the project. Now this concept is moving into the fitness space with the move-to-earn concept. That’s right, you can make money by simply moving your body. …

The winning investment styles Dividends now; small caps later Getting the investment ‘style’ right matters, by 31% this year, and is never easier. High dividends (@DividendGrowth) led pack, and our ‘U-shaped’ recovery focus. Momentum (MTUM) and ‘quality’ (QUAL) have lagged, but the outlook is now better. Small caps (IWM) is…

Bitcoin retreats to $25K as inflation hits 40-year high Ethereum sinks 25% despite successful Merge test Ethereum fell below the highs of 2018 over the weekend, losing 25% as Bitcoin weathered the storm with 12% losses. The marketwide downturn was driven by both macroeconomic and crypto-specific events. US inflation figures came in hot on Friday, triggering turmoil across global financial markets as traders priced in the…

Oil is a volatile commodity. With the onset of Covid-19, the price of oil plummeted as economies shut down and movement was restricted. In April 2020, oil prices went negative as demand for oil dried up and oil firms were desperate to get the crude off their hands. …