Huobi Blockchain Big Data Weekly Insights (Vol.26 2018/11/28–2018/12/05)

HTX Research
HBUS
Published in
12 min readDec 10, 2018

All data in this report was captured and analyzed by Huobi Research; please cite the source “Huobi Blockchain Big Data” for reference.

This Week:

  • The number of active Bitcoin addresses has decreased for 4 consecutive weeks. Bitcoin transaction volume drastically increased, while the concentration of wealth drastically decreased. According to observations, most of Bitcoins transferred out were eventually transferred to 96 new addresses, with each address holding 8000 Bitcoins, which raises suspect that these transactions were conducted by the same institution or individual.
  • The number of active Ethereum addresses has decreased for 5 consecutive weeks, while the total transaction volume drastically increased.
  • Number of transactions, number of new addresses, and DApp activity of EOS all decreased to varying degrees.
  • Social Media Data:

BTC, EOS, Ethereum to be the top trending in China, while BTC, Ethereum, NANO were the top Cryptocurrencies overseas; In the Events category, “Bounce”, “Contract” and “Bear Market” were the hottest words in China, while “Fiat”, “Wallet” and “Decentralized” were the hottest words overseas; in the Exchange and KOL category, “BM”, “Huobi” and “Bitfinex” were the hottest in China, while “Binance”, “Coinbase”, and “Satoshi” were the hottest overseas.

Among Github repositories, ETH, BTC and EOS were the top Cryptocurrencies projects that received the most stars in a week; DASH, EOS and IOTA were the projects that received the most watchers in a week; NEO, ADA and ETH were the projects with the most code commit submission this week

  • Market Trading Data:

In the cryptocurrency market this week, the price of major cryptocurrencies all decreased to varying degrees, led by EOS which saw a weekly decrease in price of 33.12%. BNB was the only major cryptocurrency that received an increase in price of 12%.

1. On-Blockchain Data

1.1 Active Bitcoin Addresses

This week, the number of active Bitcoin addresses decreased by 2.6% to 3.44 million, declining in four consecutive weeks.

Active Bitcoin Address (in millions)

There were 1.218 million new Bitcoin addresses created this week, increased by 1.7% from last week’s 1.198 million.

New BTC Addresses

1.2 Bitcoin Transactions

The overall transaction volume on Bitcoin network was 10.321 million BTC, drastically increased by 28.9% from last week’s 8.005 million, reaching a new high for the past half a year. There were overall 1.726 million transactions this week, decreased by 4.7% compared to last week. The average trading volume per transaction increased by 35.3% to 5.98 BTC this week.

Left: BTC trading volume (in million BTC); Right: Number of transactions on BTC network (in million)

1.3 Bitcoin Transaction Fee

The overall transaction fee on Bitcoin network decreased from 264 BTC to 241.6 BTC this week. Average transaction fee was 0.00015 BTC, increased by 12.2% from last week.

Bitcoin Transaction Fee (BTC)

1.4 Concentration of Wealth on Bitcoin

Concentration of wealth on bitcoin drastically decreased. Top 10 addresses held 5.31% of all Bitcoins, 0.09% less than last week; top 10–100 addresses held 3.09% less Bitcoins than that of last week, showing a drastic decline; top 100–1000 held 2.57% more Bitcoins than that of last week; other addresses held 0.61% more Bitcoins than that of last week, reaching 64.52% of all Bitcoins.

Concentration of Wealth on BTC Network

With regard to the concentration of wealth on Bitcoin, it’s worth nothing that there were lots of head addresses clearing all Bitcoins they owned this week, including the 9th to 12th, 30th to 31st and 45th to 54th of the holding rank last week. According to observations, most of Bitcoins transferred out were eventually transferred to 96 new addresses, with each address holding 8000 Bitcoins, which raises suspect that these transactions were conducted by the same institution or individual.

1.5 BTC Large Transactions Monitor

Huobi Research defines “extra-large transactions” as individual transactions worth over 10,000 BTC, and “large transactions” as those worth between 1,000–10,000 BTC. This week, there were 18 extra-large transactions on Bitcoin network. The number of large transactions slightly decreased from 1051 to 1003 this week, leading to three consecutive weeks with great quantities of large transactions, rasing suspect that there were large amounts of Bitcoin laundering in recent three weeks.

Large and Extra-Large Bitcoin Transactions

1.6 Bitcoin Transaction Volume Distribution

Transaction volume remained at a relatively high level, increasing mainly for 0.1k-1k, in which the proportion of transaction volume increased from 27.4% to 32.6%.

left-Transaction Breakdown by Volume (in thousands); right-Weekly BTC Transaction Distribution

1.7 Active Ethereum Addresses

The number of active addresses in Ethereum has decreased by 2.8% from 0.983 million to 0.956 million, declining in five consecutive weeks.

Active Ethereum Addresses

1.8 Ethereum Transactions

The overall transaction volume on Ethereum has drastically increased by 110% to 45.3 million ETH. There were overall 3.882 million transactions this week, almost the same with last week; average transaction volume increased by 111.2% from last week to 11.67 ETH.

Left: Overall Trading Volume on ETH (million ETH); Right: Number of Transactions on ETH (in millions)

1.9 Ethereum TPS

The average transaction per second (TPS) on Ethereum network this week remained at 6.4 tps this week.

Ethereum TPS

1.10 Ethereum Transaction Fee

The overall transaction fee on Ethereum network has increased from 12.9k to 15.9k ETH this week, while the average transaction fee on Ethereum network was 0.0041 ETH, increased by 23.6% this week.

Ethereum Transaction Fee

1.11 Concentration of Wealth on Ethereum

The concentration of wealth on Ethereum network has drastically decreased compared to last week: top 10 accounts held 11.26% of all ETH, decreased by 1.78% from last week; top 10–100 addresses held 21.08% of all ETH, decreased by 4.5% compared to last week; top 100–1000 addresses held 30.36% of all ETH, increased by 5.87% compared to last week; the rest addresses held 37.29% of all ETH, increased by 0.41% from 36.88% of last week.

Concentration of Wealth on Ethereum

1.12 ETH Large Transactions Monitor

Huobi Research defines “extra-large transactions” as individual transactions worth over 50,00 ETH, “large transactions” as those worth between 10,000–50,000 ETH, “other transactions” as those worth less than 10,000 ETH. This week, there were 23 extra-large transactions and 422 large transactions (38 large transactions last week). This week, the amount of large transactions reached a new high for nealy a year.

Large and Extra-Large Transactions on Ethereum

1.13 EOS Transactions

There were 31.91 million transactions on EOS this week (including transfer, RAM collateral/purchase, CPU collateralization), drastically decreased by 21.2% from last week, terminating the previous rise in ten consecutive weeks. The number of EOS accounts increased by 23k this week, declining by 36.1% with regard to increasing rate from last week.

EOS Transactions (left) and EOS New Address Creation (right)

1.14 EOS DApp Activity

Based on transaction volume, FastWin, BetDice, BlackJack, Royal Online Vegas and EOS Knight were the 5 most popular EOS dApps this week.

Based on the information above, Huobi Research analyzed total number of transactions and total transaction volume of all 190 currently active EOS dApps. Currently, gambling dApps accounted for 82.8% of total EOS transaction volume (80.6% last week) and 93% of total number of transactions (93% last week), the most popular among all dApp categories. Its proportion in all the dApps kept increasing.

The activity of EOS dApps decreased by 11.44% this week. Meanwhile, the transaction volume decreased from 108 million by 32.8% to 72.6 million.

There were 9 gambling dApps and 1 game dApp (EOS Knight) among the 10 most popular EOS dApps this week, the same with last week.

EOS DApp Total Activity
EOS DApp Categorization(Left: By Transaction Volume; Right: By Number of Transactions)
Number of Transactions (left) and Total Transaction Volume (right) of EOS DApps

1.15 ETH DApp Activity

Based on transaction volume, CryptoKitties, IDEX, Dice2win, FCK and 0xProtocol were the 5 most popular ETH dApps this week.

Based on the information above, Huobi Research analyzed total number of transactions and total transaction volume of all 1191 currently active ETH dApps. Currently, cryptocurrency exchange dApps accounted for 57.42% of total ETH transaction volume and 28% of total number of transactions, the most popular among all dApp categories. Since the activity of CryptoKitties drastically rised, the activity of game dApps increased this week, accounting for 34.98% of total ETH transaction volume. The activity of ETH dApps increased by 2.1% this week.

ETH DApp Activity
ETH DAPP Categorization(Left: By Transaction Volume; Right: By Number of Transactions)
ETH DApp Total Activity by Time

2. Social Media Data

2.1 Keyword Analysis (China)

Huobi Research analyzed text using NLP Word Cloud to extract relevant keywords and understand the overall sentiments from China’s largest Cryptocurrency online community 8btc.com. Specifically, we break down the keywords to three categories: Cryptocurrencies, Events, and Exchanges/Opinion Leaders.

In the Cryptocurrency category, NLP World Cloud Analysis suggests Bitcoin, EOS, and Ethereum as the top Cryptocurrencies receiving the most widespread attention, for Bitcoin, discussions mainly focused on price and trading strategies, as well as the drastic decrease in mining difficulty. Discussions on EOS focused on the price crash and Daniel Larimer’s comment in EOS official telegram group. Discussions on Ethereum focused on price and trading strategies.

In the events category, NLP Word Cloud suggests “Bounce”, “Contract” and “Bear Market” as the hottest words of the week. “Bounce” refers to investors’ expectation for the bounce in price after the recent price crash. “Bear Market” refers to investors’ consensus regarding the current market condition. “Contract” refers to many investors shorting Bitcoin with future options.

In the Exchanges/Opinion Leaders category, NLP Word Cloud suggests “BM”, “Huobi”, and “Bitfinex” as the hottest words of the week. Discussions on BM focused on his comment on EOS official telegram group. Discussions on Huobi focused on trading strategies. Discussions on Bitfinex focused on its recent announcement to cancel USDT’s 1:1 USD-peg.

8btc.com Word Analysis

2.2 Keyword Analysis (Overseas)

We also performed NLP Word Analysis on Reddit’s r/CryptoCurrency Subreddit to understand the trending topics and overall sentiments overseas, and we similarly broke down the keywords into three categories: Cryptocurrencies, Events, and Exchanges/Opinion Leaders.

In the Cryptocurrencies category, NLP Word Analysis suggests Bitcoin, Ethereum, and NANO as the three cryptocurrencies that received the most widespread attention this week. For Bitcoin and Ethereum, discussions on mainly focused on price and trading strategies. Discussions on NANO focused on the project enlisted as one of the Golden Label Projects according to Binance.

In the Events category, NLP Word Analysis suggests “Fiat”, “Wallet”, and “Decentralized” as the hottest words of the week. “Fiat” refers to the discussion on whether cryptocurrency could replace fiat in the future; “Wallet” refers to the current development progress of major cryptocurrency wallets; “Decentralized” refers to the discussion on whethere DEX will replace centralized exchanges.

In the Exchanges/Opinion Leaders category, NLP World Analysis suggests “Binance”, “Coinbase”, and “Satoshi” as the hottest words of overseas this week, with the normal discussion on general topics among platform users. “Satoshi” refers to the recent update on Satoshi’s P2P foundation account.

r/CryptoCurrency Word Analysis

2.3 Github Code Activity

Among all GitHub repositories this week,

  • NEO, ADA and ETH were the projects with the most code rows;
  • BTC, ETH and EOS were the projects with the most forks;
  • TRX, EOS, and ETH were the projects with most code commit submissions;
  • IOTA, NEO and DASH were the projects with the most issue;
  • ETH, BTC and EOS were the projects with most stars;
  • DASH, EOS and IOTA were the projects with most watchers.
GitHub Code Activity

2.4 Overall Telegram Activity

We measured the vitality of telegram community by the chat volume among the relatively active community telegram groups:

The top three active telegram groups this week were: 1) EOS English group, 2) EOS China (Chinese group), 3) TRON English group.

Telegram Activity

2.5 Popular Cryptocurrency Telegram Activity

We measured the vitality of EOS community by the chat volume among the selected EOS community telegram groups: EOS General Chat (English technology/ ecology group), EOS China (Chinese group); and measured the vitality of TRON community by the chat volume of TRONnetworkEN.

The number of chats in EOS community telegram groups increased drastically from 15.2k to 23.0k number of chats this week; the number of TRON telegram groups increased by 400.

EOS(left)/TRX(right) Telegram Activity

3.Market Data

3.1 Rate of Return/ Trading volume

In the cryptocurrency market this week, the price of major Cryptocurrencies except for BNB received decrease to varying degrees. BNB’s price increased by 12%, while EOS’s price decreased by 33.12%, the largest decrease among all major cryptocurrencies this week. The trading volume of all major cryptocurrencies except for BNB received decrease to varying degrees.

3.2 Cryptocurrencies with the Largest Increase/Decrease in Weekly Trading Volume

Huobi Research captured cryptocurrency trading volume in major exchanges and calculated 5 cryptocurrencies that had the largest increase and decrease in their respective trading volume.

5 Cryptocurrencies with the largest increase in weekly trading volume: WAVES, XVG, BTM, ABT, MDA;

5 Cryptocurrencies with the largest decrease in weekly trading volume: INB, BIX, ELA, XRP, BTG.

3.3 Cryptocurrency Price Correlations

Correlation amongst assets is the degree to which they move in tandem. The matrices above show Pearson correlations and p-values that are computed from log-returns of volume-weighted average daily prices over the past week. The Cryptocurrency price correlations is relatively low this week, Cryptocurrencies price move in the different directions.

There were high correlations between the price movement of major cryptocurrencies except for TRON, of which BTC and IOTA had the largest correlation coefficient of 0.99, while TRON and EOS had the lowest correlation coefficient of 0.1.

Pearson Correlations Matrix of Top 10 Cryptocurrencies

Huobi Research

About us:

Huobi Research of Blockchain Application (Huobi Research) was founded in April 2016 and started research and explorations in various aspects in blockchain area since March 2018. We cover blockchain technology research, industry analysis, application innovation and economic model explorations etc. We aim to establish a research platform and to offer theoretical foundations as well as judgements of trends in blockchain to the public, ultimately promoting the development of the entire industry.

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Website: http://research.huobi.com/

Disclaimer:

1. Huobi Research does not have any form of association with blockchain projects or other third-parties mentioned in this report that could jeopardize the objectivity, independence and fairness of this report.

2. All outside information, data referenced in this report is from compliant and legitimate sources that we deem as reliable, and Huobi Research have conducted the due diligence concerning its authenticity, accuracy and completeness, but such due diligence does not provide any guarantee.

3. This report is only for reference purposes. Conclusions and viewpoints in the report do not constitute any form of investment advice on crypto assets. Huobi Research is not responsible for any losses resulting from the use of this report, unless stipulated by law. Under no circumstances should the readers give up their own investment analysis and judgements.

4. This report only reflects the opinions from Huobi Research on the day it was finalized. Future market condition changes may lead to updates of such judgements.

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HTX Research
HBUS
Writer for

Blockchain industry top think tank, affiliated to Huobi Group.