CHANGE IS INEVITABLE

Policy Lessons from the Population Pyramid

Unreal Constructs Produce Real Harm

Daniel McIntosh, PhD.
ILLUMINATION-Curated
12 min readFeb 21, 2023

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US Demographic Pyramid, 1900–2020, Kaj Tallungs (Wikimedia Commons)

A population pyramid is a basic presentation in demography, the study of populations. By convention, it divides a population by sex (not gender; that’s something else) and uses stacked bars to show the number of people in a population by age and sex. Since there are almost always more young people than old—more are born each year than die, and dead people are removed from the stack—the pyramid is usually larger at the bottom than at the top.

A significant disaster—such as war, plague, or an environmental crisis—can leave a hole that moves up the pyramid over time. The Soviet Union's losses in WWII left a scar that would last for generations.

The Demographic Transition

Economic development, by improving the odds of children and mothers surviving childbirth, creates a “population explosion.” This broadens the pyramid's base and floods a national economy with workers in years to come. On the other side of the demographic transition, assuming it is achieved, births will balance deaths and eventually be insufficient to meet the need for workers to support the aging population.

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Daniel McIntosh, PhD.
ILLUMINATION-Curated

Writer, consultant, public speaker. Tired of living in the Dark Ages. Working for something better. Top writer in politics and economics.