The Red State Murder Problem Hoax

Brian E. Wish, PhD
Curated Newsletters
8 min readFeb 8, 2023

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Photo by Campbell Jensen on Unsplash

Examining Third Way’s partisan hackery

Third Way bills itself as a new kind of organization. Unabashedly center-left, it hopes to forge solutions that average Americans can support, a new kind of thinking to solve real problems.

“Our competitive advantage lies in our high-impact advocacy campaigns that combine rigorous policy research with a unique and incisive understanding of the vast American middle…”

Their actions speak otherwise because their “rigorous policy research” is misleading. The organization published a report and spent the last year banging a drum trying to disprove the Republican crime narrative of dangerous liberal cities. They followed up again in January with an expansion on their theme. Their central argument, that crime is higher in red states, may be technically true but disproves nothing.

Somehow, we are to believe the Trumpy-ness of these states elevates the homicide rate above that of the blue states. Don’t look at the cities, nothing to see here, murders increased, everywhere, across urban, suburban, and rural areas. Ignore decades-old research; this has got to be a Republican “Red State” problem.

Ultimately, there are two main problems:

  1. Third Way’s state-level analysis is deeply flawed, ignoring most city…

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Brian E. Wish, PhD
Curated Newsletters

I do a lot of things. Some of them I even do well. But what I really want to do is share ideas. Check brianewish.com or https://www.linkedin.com/in/brianwish/