Humanity on the move.
Lost in the mental turmoil, pressures, grief, and anger at Putin’s dictatorial damage, is a significant realisation.
Governments of all persuasions (and none), whether or not stable, talented or intellectually sound, or indeed any of the swarms of media pilot fish that feed on their scraps, have yet to compute the after-maths.
It is not that the opportunity to think beyond the immediate horizon is some startling new requirement — just that collectively we routinely flunk it. This time, courtesy of Vlad, we get another (possibly final) chance to ask, ‘Whatever next?’
The mass displacement of people is obviously a consequence of physical combat — but will also be a major consequence of our climate crisis. The immediate example of people fleeing Ukraine is a universal wake-up call. But that is not all. Repair of the physical damage will keep minds busy but that is trivial compared to the eventual restitution of the entire Ukrainian population or the intense guidance needed for the post-Putin rehab for Russian people in the context of mass populations on the move in order to survive climate meltdown.
Underlying post-war rehabilitation of Russian peoples and physical reconstruction of Ukrainian cities, and the mass accommodation by the global north of the climate- disadvantaged souls displaced from the global south — lurks an even greater challenge — the near global addiction to wilfully unmoderated capitalism.
One of the reasons that climate change deniers have delayed remedial action is that naysayers cannot accept either the guilt or the cure — even whilst scorning those with drug dependencies (AKA oil/gas/coal energy addictions). This is an educational problem that will require more than an entire century of dedicated effort and transition, but only if we have that luxury. Schoolchildren studying economics are currently fed a diet of economic growth hormones and, for many, their sights are directed towards a goal of personal wealth accumulation.
If Putin’s perversity holds any lessons for your world, it is that we are all duty bound to ask, ‘Whatever next?’ and learn to use our brains to search for the common good.
This note is written as part of the Groupe Intellex Governance series.