INCERTO
Published in

INCERTO

The Masks Masquerade

Incompetence and Errors in Reasoning Around Face Covering

SIX ERRORS: 1) missing the compounding effects of masks, 2) missing the nonlinearity of the probability of infection to viral exposures, 3) missing absence of evidence (of benefits of mask wearing) for evidence of absence (of benefits of mask wearing), 4) missing the point that people do not need governments to produce facial covering: they can make their own, 5) missing the compounding effects of statistical signals, 6) ignoring the Non-Aggression Principle by pseudolibertarians (masks are also to…

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Chapters in Progress from The Incerto Collection (The Black Swan, Antifragile, etc.)

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Nassim Nicholas Taleb

Nassim Nicholas Taleb

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