Modi Factor Illusion or Reality?

Mahek Jain
INNOVEAU
Published in
2 min readNov 13, 2019

BJPs current win in Haryana has been on the part of the majoritarian middle class however it remains to be a coalition between the BJP and JJP raising questions of the popularity of the government. Despite claiming that it would win 70 (of the 88) seats in Haryana, the BJP and the Congress were neck to neck.

The very fact that the BJP hasn’t been able to maintain a vast majority is because it is losing its Popularity amongst the farmers, the unemployed youth and businessman due to the increased inconvenience faced by them.

Indian state of Haryana has the country’s highest unemployment rate at 28.7%. One reason to this can be the rise in the aspiration levels of educated youth with the rise in education levels in the economy and rise in household income levels.Thus they may no longer be willing to join the labour force or work force requiring low skills and low remuneration.

‘Economics of promise’ in action

Unemployed people casting their votes in favour of Congress can be because Congress favours an employment guarantee scheme over unemployment allowances because of the economics of promise.

Also, failing to counter the dominance of the Jats,the caste-based voting ultimately proved costly for the saffron party.

Therefore in order to maintain its stance in the Indian political spectrum it is imperative that the BJP acknowledges these conditions. “The Modi factor” worked very well for the BJP in the general election, but in state election, local, regional and personal issues are more important than national issue.

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