Over Half of US Millennials Think Trump Will be Impeached

A recent petition calling for the impeachment of President Trump has amassed nearly 1 million signatures as Trump’s presidency struggles to deal with the many obstacles presented so far. Criticism of recent actions has come from Congressional members belonging to both sides of the aisle and Trump’s dismal 26% approval rating among millennials (compared to a 56% disapproval rating) is evidence of the growing frustration among constituents. While impeachment may seem like an unrealistic possibility given that only two presidents in US history have ever faced it, it does not seem far-fetched to the majority of US millennials.

Whatsgoodly recently surveyed over 1,900 US millennials on whether they believe President Trump will be impeached during his presidency. The results are stunning as the majority of millennials (51%) believe that he will be impeached while only 49% think he will not.

According to a survey of over 1,900, 51% of millennials believe Trump will be impeached

Breaking down the results, it is clear that girls see the possibility of an impeachment as much more realistic than guys. 64% of girls believe that that Trump will be impeached at during his presidency compared to only 39% of guys.

Controversy is not new to the Trump Presidency: millennials have opposed many of his recent executive actions including the border wall and the immigration ban. We will have to wait to see what happens with President Trump, but it is not an encouraging sign when half of US millennials, the largest generation in the US, expect him to be impeached. Then again, Trump defied all expectations to win the presidency and could defy expectations again.

Methodology:

Results for this Whatsgoodly poll were collected between January 30, 2017, and February 14, 2017 from 1,935 millennial respondents aged 18–24. Whatsgoodly weights its samples by gender and region. Demographic weighting targets are based on the “2015 Annual Estimates of the Resident Population” US Census Bureau Report for the aged 18–24 years US population. For results based on the total sample of national millennials, the margin of sampling error is ±2 percentage points at the 95% confidence level.

Update (3:52 PST, 2/16/16): An earlier version weighted the responses by the the aged 14–24 years US Population. After the mistake was noticed, the responses were weighted for the aged 18–24 years US population according to the US Census Bureau Report in order to more accurately represent the survey respondents. The graph was updated and the change from the previous weighting was 0.1%.

Note:

Whatsgoodly correctly predicted the millennial vote of the 2016 election within 0.3% based on exit polls conducted by Edison Research.

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