Exploring Medical Data: Predicting Diabetes Risk through Clustering Analysis

Larissakimberly
INST414: Data Science Techniques
4 min readApr 15, 2024
  • Introduction

In the field of healthcare, identifying individuals at risk of developing certain medical conditions is crucial for early intervention and personalized treatment planning. One such condition is diabetes, a chronic disease that affects millions of people worldwide. In this Medium post, we will explore how clustering analysis can be utilized to identify patterns within medical data and predict the risk of diabetes in patients.

  • Insight and Decision-Making

In healthcare, stakeholders, including providers and researchers, aim to uncover the nuanced interplay of demographic and medical factors influencing diabetes risk. Beyond the obvious correlations, the non-obvious insight lies in identifying subtle interactions between variables such as age, gender, BMI, and lifestyle factors, which may contribute differently to diabetes susceptibility across diverse populations. This nuanced understanding guides tailored interventions and resource allocation, optimizing diabetes prevention and management efforts. By leveraging clustering analysis on comprehensive medical datasets, stakeholders can unearth these hidden relationships, driving informed decision-making and personalized healthcare strategies to mitigate the rising burden of diabetes effectively.

  • Data source, software and collection

In this analysis, we utilized the Diabetes Prediction Dataset sourced from Kaggle, containing vital medical and demographic information. Features like age, gender, BMI, hypertension, and more provide insights into diabetes risk factors. For our analysis, we employed various software tools such as Pandas which enabled efficient data manipulation, while scikit-learn facilitated KMeans clustering implementation. Matplotlib aided visualization, creating informative plots such as cluster distribution graphs. NumPy supported numerical computations, enhancing analysis efficiency. Lastly, scikit-learn’s StandardScaler ensured data uniformity for accurate clustering. This comprehensive approach allowed us to explore diabetes risk patterns effectively, highlighting the significance of each feature in predicting diabetes risk.

  • Data Cleanup and Limitations:

During the data preprocessing phase, we cleaned the dataset by filtering relevant features, handling missing values, and addressing outliers. However, common bugs others might encounter include data inconsistency, such as inconsistent formatting or encoding errors. To address these issues, thorough data validation and normalization techniques should be employed.

  • Feature and k value selection

In our clustering analysis, we selected pertinent features such as age, BMI, blood glucose level, and hypertension status. Initially, we attempted to gauge similarity between data points using Euclidean distance, but it required significant memory space to process. Therefore, we opted for an unspecified distance metric instead. To determine the optimal number of clusters (k), we employed techniques such as the elbow method or silhouette score. These methods helped us pinpoint the ideal k value, ensuring maximization of intra-cluster similarity while minimizing inter-cluster dissimilarity. This approach facilitated more accurate and insightful clustering results.

  • Interpreting Cluster Results:

Each cluster in the dataset represents a distinct group of patients with similar characteristics. Cluster 0 comprises relatively younger individuals with a lower average age of approximately 18 years, a moderate BMI of around 22.4, and relatively normal blood glucose levels. This cluster may represent individuals with a lower risk of diabetes due to their younger age and healthier BMI and blood glucose levels.

Cluster 1 consists of middle-aged individuals with an average age of about 48 years, a higher BMI of around 28.7, and slightly elevated blood glucose levels. These characteristics suggest a moderate risk of diabetes among individuals in this cluster, given their older age and higher BMI.

Cluster 2 encompasses older individuals with an average age of approximately 56 years, a higher BMI of around 30.2, and significantly elevated blood glucose levels. This cluster likely represents individuals at a higher risk of diabetes due to their older age and unhealthy BMI and blood glucose levels.

  • Conclusions and Limitations

Concluding our analysis, it’s crucial to address certain limitations and potential biases. Firstly, our clustering analysis was based on a restricted set of features like age, BMI, and blood glucose level, potentially overlooking other pertinent factors such as genetic predispositions or lifestyle habits that could influence diabetes risk. Moreover, the accuracy and completeness of the dataset may have impacted our clustering results, as missing or erroneous data points could introduce bias.

Additionally, there’s a risk of sampling bias, as the dataset may not be representative of the entire population, potentially skewing our findings. Furthermore, our choice of clustering algorithm (K-means) and parameters could introduce algorithmic biases, affecting the interpretation of diabetes risk profiles. Despite these challenges, clustering analysis remains a valuable tool for uncovering insights into diabetes risk factors and guiding targeted interventions. Addressing these limitations through comprehensive data collection and robust analysis techniques will be essential to enhance the reliability and applicability of clustering-based approaches in healthcare decision-making.

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