Feb 11th 2021 — What Happened?
So, the night started off great with both Toronto and Atlanta covering, giving us a 2–0 record with 3 games left. Charolette and Indiana both forgot how to play basketball, so with just the Bucks left it looked like we were going for a 3–2 day.
Then the Bucks decided to take a win and give it away allowing the Suns to end the 4th on a 20–3 run and win the game by one point. That is a rough loss, that really shouldn’t have happened. But life moves on and with 5 games tonight lets pick some winners.
The season record is 91–85, with the BFF record at 17–17.
Toronto is hot right now, and have been playing great basketball since their 2–8 start to the season. Nick Nurse has figured out a great rotation with Chris Boucher and Norm Powell coming off the bench as a great 6/7 duo that causes problems for teams. They are 10–5 their last 15 games and 5–1 their last 6, the Raptors are feeling themselves and are making a solid push for a top 5 spot in the East. Toronto is 4–1 ATS their last 5, Boston is 2–3 ATS their last 5. This is a great test for both teams, but give me the team that is hot right now.
My model has Toronto -7.5 and covering the +3.5 spread 96 percent of the time.
IND -2.5 & ML -140
Indiana bounce back game anyone? They just got murdered by the Brooklyn Nets last night, the boxscore might say they only lost by 10, but they were down by 30 at half time. They are 1–4 ATS their last 5, and have a 1–4 record in the same time. They need to win soon if they want to be treated as a legit team in the East, and Detroit might be the perfect team to get back on track against. Give me Indy and the points
My model has Indiana -3 covering the 2.5 spread 55 percent of the time.
Fade Philly on the road. Even with Enes Kanter defending Joel Embiid, the last time these guys played Portland won by 20, and that was without Dame. I expect Dame to carry these guys to a win, Portland is in the head of Philly and should be able to cover here.
My model has this as a Pick ’Em and Portland covering the +5.5 spread 83 percent of the time.
Only one pick today after daPwesident went 4–2 yesterday.
Joel Embiid Double/Double and Philly win -104
Good luck and happy betting
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