NFL Week 11

Josh
Josh Picks Football
7 min readNov 19, 2023

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No early game in Europe this week so I worked a little later on this one. Looking at the matchups, there are quite a few lopsided lines! There are going to be a couple close games again this week. I took a dip in the Win accuracy column losing 4 points from 70% down to 66% overall since week 8s post. We’ll dig in and see if we can call the close ones and choose which lopsided matchups could end in upset!

Make sure to read the game specific information below for how the outcomes may shift. (f) denotes an alternative outcome posted at the end of the article.

Pick of the week: Miami Dolphins

DAL wins 35–16 in CAR

Coming off a monstrous game against New York, Dallas doesn’t look like easing up in Carolina. Rico Dowdle has been flagged as questionable but as an RB2 this doesn’t look to affect the Cowboys offense too much. Bryce Young will a miracle at home to stay competitive in this game. Dallas Wins, Covers -10, and Over 42.

NYG lose 13–27 at WAS

The battle at the bottom of the NFC East. Sam Howell vs Tommy DeVito is a no brainer on paper. Washington has remained competitive against some good teams. The Giants don’t quite fall into that category at this time. The crushing defeat against Dallas last week only puts salt in their wounds. Tommy DeVito needs to post a QBR…

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