NFL Week 12 — Turkey Day Football
Thursday bringing us three games and a Friday game special this week! Will leave this one brief as we prepare for the holidays.
Raw data in the game narratives instead of perspectives this go around. Consume and conquer!
GB lose 20–33 in DET
Green Bay (4.1)
Score lines 10–28
Jordan Love ~230YDs passing and 1 or fewer TDs
AJ Dillon expected to be RB1 at around 45 yards
Aaron Jones is out this game
Detroit (1.25)
Score lines 18–36
Jared Goff ~255YDs passing and 2 TDs or more
Gibbs and Montgomery split the RB workload for 115YDs
Packers lost to the Lions in week 4 with a score of 34–20
Model predictions
4/4 DET Win
3/4 DET Cover -8
4/4 Over 47.5
WAS lose 21–35 in DAL
Washington (5.75)
Score lines 10–28
Sam Howell ~255YDs passing and 1 or fewer TDs
RBs may accumulate 82YDs
Antonio Gibson Questionable
Dallas (1.14)
Score lines 20–40
Dak Prescott ~275YDs passing and 2 TDs or more
Pollard and Dowdle split the RB workload for 90YDs
Model predictions
4/4 DAL Win
4/4 DAL Cover -13
4/4 Over 48.5
SF win 27–17 in SEA
San Francisco (1.29)
Score lines 16–34
Brock Purdy ~250YDs passing and 1 or 2 TDs
McCaffrey rushing up to 90YDs
Seattle (3.8)
Score lines 10–28
Geno Smith ~235YDs passing and 1 or fewer TDs
Charbonnet around 55YDs
Kenneth Walker III injured Oblique
Model predictions
4/4 SF Win
2/4 SF Cover -7
2/3 Over 44
MIA wins 33–17 at NYJ
Miami (1.24)
Score lines 16–34
Tua Tagovailoa ~250YDs passing and 2 TDs or more
Raheem Mostert for 65YDs on the bet lines
Tyreek Hill, Raheem Mostert, De’Von Achane all questionable
New York (4.3)
Score lines 8–26
Tim Boyle First start expected less than ~200YDs passing
Breece Hall and Dalvin Cook for 60YDs rushing
Model predictions
4/4 MIA Win
4/4 MIA Cover -9.5
4/4 Over 41
Disclaimer: Most of the above is a personal opinion and carries no guarantee. As a human, I make mistakes. In my error, I owe nothing. The team names and trademarks utilized in the narrative above do not imply nor aim to imply any association with their respective owners. AI was used to generate the images in these posts but not used for any research or content generation.
