Hidden gems and upcoming electoral opportunities — analysis of the 2019/2020 Croatian presidential elections

As we all know, Zoran Milanović won the Croatian presidential elections and became the fifth president of Croatia. But how it actually happened? How did people vote and whose votes brought victory to Mr. Milanović?

I’ve created a thorough statistical data science-backed analysis of the recent Croatian presidential elections. The presented data is heavily visualized and shows several crucial moments of the electoral battle. There’s a lot of healthy conclusions to be drawn from this analysis, especially when it comes to trends between the two electoral rounds, regional distribution of new voters, regional distribution of invalid ballots, specific relationships between Grabar-Kitarović’s, Škoro’s and Milanović’s voters in both electoral rounds, etc. We detected around 70 000 people who changed their vote for Miroslav Škoro from the first round to Zoran Milanović in the second round and more than half of them were from county Slavonia. A lot of hidden gems for those who know how to find them.

For the whole interactive analysis click here.

Croatian parliamentary elections are around the corner, followed by local elections next spring. Here at Kraken, we’ll be happy to produce multi-level prescriptive analyses for you, based on both dozens of previous electoral rounds on all levels, as well as ongoing Croatian social media activity. What’s in it for you? Hidden voter pools to conquer and imminent voter trends to catch. Before it’s too late.

Originally published at https://krakensystems.co on March 2, 2020.