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The Japanese Crisis No One Sees Coming: A Massive Threat to The World Economy

12 min readJun 3, 2025

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How did Japan , a country of just 2% of the world’s population, gain the power to potentially crash the entire global economy?

As someone who has been working in investment firms for years and investing for 20 years, I’ve analyzed countless market risks. But this situation is different. It’s not just another market correction — it’s a domino effect decades in the making.

For those short on time, here’s the butterfly effect already set in motion:

Phase 1: The Setup
Japan’s 30-year zero-rate experiment + aging crisis → Massive government debt spiral → 236% debt-to-GDP bomb

Phase 2: The Leverage
“Carry trade” explosion: Borrow cheap yen → Buy US assets → Japan becomes #1 US foreign investor ($1.3T)

Phase 3: The Trigger
Japan’s inflation rises → Bank of Japan forced to raise rates for the first time in decades

Phase 4: The Domino Effect
Japanese rates spike → Carry trade implodes → Massive US treasury selloff

Phase 5: The Meltdown
US bond yields surge → Mortgage rates explode → Housing market freezes → Consumer spending crashes → Credit defaults cascade → US markets crash → Global recession

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Limitless Investor
Limitless Investor

Published in Limitless Investor

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Henrique Centieiro & Bee Lee
Henrique Centieiro & Bee Lee

Written by Henrique Centieiro & Bee Lee

👑8X Medium Top Writer | ✍🏻AI, Tech, Crypto, Money, Investing, Mindset | 🧠Be part of our Be Limitless community: https://www.skool.com/be-limitless-4003/about

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