The Arctic Circular

A publication and penguin desperately clinging to the centre-ground and old-fashioned liberalism in the chaos of the digital age. Sometimes humor, mostly fighting.

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Trump’s Chances Of Survival Are Low

And I’m not talking politically. It’s going to be an interesting four years.

Argumentative Penguin
The Arctic Circular
9 min readJan 27, 2025

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Over breakfast this morning, I outlined Trump’s survival chances between now and 2028 to the Significant Other Penguin. I put his chances of getting through the next four years at roughly twenty-five percent. Low perhaps, but I have a sinking feeling in the pit of my stomach about the 45/47 Orange combo.

For the record, I don’t think offing the tangerine menace is a good idea. For those of you insistent that Trump is perhaps the reincarnation of Adolf Hitler, I would instead urge you to consider he might be Ernst Rohm. There might be a big puffy-chested braggart at the forefront of many political movements — but it’s the sneaky guy just off-centre in the photographs you have to watch as though your lives depend on it.

Usually it does.

Most people couldn’t pick Reinhard Heydrich out of a historical lineup —he’s the social climber with the levels of cruelty even Hitler found ‘a bit much’. He’s the guy everyone should’ve been watching. Was he at the top of the pyramid? No. Would he have murdered his way to the top spot if Czech rebels hadn’t gunned him down in cold blood?

You bet your ass he would.

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The Arctic Circular
The Arctic Circular

Published in The Arctic Circular

A publication and penguin desperately clinging to the centre-ground and old-fashioned liberalism in the chaos of the digital age. Sometimes humor, mostly fighting.

Argumentative Penguin
Argumentative Penguin

Written by Argumentative Penguin

Playwright. Screenwriter. Penguin. Fan of rationalism and polite discourse. Find me causing chaos in the comments. Contact: argumentativepenguin@outlook.com

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