Oscars 2018: With 1 week to go, here’s every bet I’ve made this year

Lucien WD
Luwd Media
Published in
2 min readFeb 25, 2018

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Gambling is bad, don’t do it. But it’s also fun to make small, relatively inconsequential bets when Oscar season rolls around, and after winning a shiny €50 on Moonlight for Best Picture last year, I’ve staked my cash on a string of nominees this time around. Here’s where…

Best Picture Lady Bird 7/1

I made this bet on December 13, before I even saw Lady Bird, but at a moment when I felt its delightful feminist heart would be able to seize the #MeToo moment and make it the defining film of the year. This hasn’t quite happened, but everyone still loves it, because it’s fantastic. Will I win? Highly doubtful.

Best Picture Get Out 12/1

I don’t know why Get Out is only at 12/1, but I consider this an absolute steal: Jordan Peele’s film has a really strong chance of winning Best Picture at present. Will I win? Yeah, I might.

Best Director Christopher Nolan 6/1

Del Toro pretty much has this in the bag, but it’d be silly to underestimate Christopher Nolan of all people, and 6/1 is by no means the worst adversity he’s faced in his career. Will I win? Can’t see it happening tbh

Best Actor Timothée Chalamet 6/1

Same situation as Nolan. Chalamet 100% deserves this prize, because Gary Oldman is a bad actor giving a bad performance in a bad film. I made this bet when Timmy still had a chance. Will I win? Not too hopeful

Best Actress The Field vs Frances McDormand 11/2

To explain, this is a bet that any of McDormand’s 4 rival will win instead of her. Unlikely, but the combined forces of Saoirse Ronan/Meryl Streep/Margot Robbie/Sally Hawkins was too good to pass up at 11/2. Will I win? No, but Frances will.

Best Supporting Actor Willem Dafoe 5/1

Like Nolan, this is just me putting money on My Guy. Dafoe deserves this prize. Let’s be optimistic about his chances. Will I win? Sam Rockwell will win.

Best Supporting Actress Laurie Metcalf 4/1

I think Metcalf’s chances are pretty much exactly 4/1 right now. Will I win? Who knows.

To appear in person on stage at 2018 Oscars Kim Jong-Un 500/1

Seemed like a fun bet to make.

Best Animated Feature The Boss Baby 11/1

Proudest bet I’ve ever made. 11/1 is insanely optimistic for this film’s chances (it has none, nobody likes it except me and like 3 other people). But Boss Baby truly deserves its Oscar nomination, so this is my show of support. Will I win? With The Boss Baby, I always feel like a winner :)

Stay tuned to the site all week, I’ll be publishing my full Oscar predictions in EVERY category any day now!

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