Decoding Patterns in Categorical Data: Independence Testing 101

Emre Yesilyurt
Machine Learning Turkiye
7 min readDec 19, 2023

Understanding and analyzing categorical data is crucial, especially when you’re getting into the complexities of multivariate analysis. This blog post aims to be a friendly guide, showing you how to find the association between two categorical variables. We’ll use chi-square tests along with examples to give you both theory and real-world insights.

Exploring the confusion of categorical variables proves to be indispensable in moulding the frameworks of widely-used language models. Processing categorical variables indeed plays a vital role in shaping the architecture of various popular language models. Understanding the statistical backgrounds of these models requires proficiency in processing categorical values. Also, these skills are fundamental in the field of data engineering; finding the association between the two categorical values can be a source of further analyses or multivariate forecasting.

Using the independence test on complex categorical datasets is key to constructing essential data for sophisticated multivariate analyses. In real-world industry scenarios, there are many categorical variables that are necessary and indispensable; absolutely, we can’t reckon without them.

What is The Independence Test?

The independence test statistical method is used to determine whether a significant association exists between two categorical variables. The fundamental question is whether changes in one variable influence the distribution of the other. A widely used technique for such analysis is the chi-square test.

This goes beyond mere numerical comparisons; the chi-square test involves constructing contingency tables to systematically compare observed and expected frequencies. Envision it as a magnifying glass, allowing for a close examination of intricate associations within categorical variables.

These tests offer more than statistical validation; they act as gatekeepers, unlocking subtle interplays between variables. The chi-square test, in particular, is a key to unravelling stories within categorical datasets, providing insights into their complex associations.

Chi-Square Test

The chi-square test assesses the independence between categorical variables. It helps us determine if changes in one category impact how another category is distributed.

So, how does it work? Well, the test relies on something called a contingency table. Think of this as a carefully organized grid that shows how often certain things happen. Each box in the grid represents a specific combo of categories for the two things we’re looking at. It’s like a visual map, with rows for one category, columns for another, and where they meet, we see how often it happens.

This Chi-Square Test isn’t just about numbers; it’s about understanding the association between categories. By comparing what we see in the grid with what we’d expect if things were totally independent, the test gives us insights into how these categories interact.

Before using the Chi-Square test, you should know some main concepts:

  • P-Value is a measure that helps us assess the evidence against a null hypothesis. In simpler terms, it tells us how likely the observed association between categories occurred by chance.
  • Significance Level often denoted as alpha (α), is the threshold that guides decision-making. If the calculated P-Value is less than or equal to the chosen Significance Level, commonly set at 0.05, we may reject the null hypothesis, indicating a significant association between the categorical variables.
  • Degrees of Freedom measure of the “freedom” or flexibility in the way the data can vary. It is a parameter that affects the shape of the chi-square distribution.
  • Critical value is determined based on the chosen significance level (α), which is often set at 0.05. The critical value is found in a chi-square distribution table or calculated using statistical software. The critical value is associated with the degrees of freedom (df) and the chosen significance level. Here’s a general guideline for interpreting the critical value:

— — — If the calculated chi-square statistic is greater than the critical value, you would reject the null hypothesis.

— — — If the calculated chi-square statistic is less than or equal to the critical value, you would not reject the null hypothesis.

This is the end of the theoretical phase; I will give you an example of usage for an independence test between two categorical data. Let’s dive into a simple example together.

Hypothetical Scenario:

Dataset Overview: This is the survey responses from individuals who preferred communication channels, and it categorised them into different age groups.

Research Question:

Is there a significant association between the survey respondents' preferred communication channel and age group?

Hypotheses Formulation:

  • Null Hypothesis (H0): There is no significant association between the preferred communication channel and age group.
  • Alternative Hypothesis (H1): There is a significant association between the preferred communication channel and age group.

Contingency Table Construction:

  • Create a contingency table that cross-tabulates the counts of respondents based on their preferred communication channel and age group.

Chi-Square Test Statistic Calculation:

The chi-square test statistic (χ²) is calculated using the formula:

  • Oij​ is the observed frequency in each cell of the contingency table.
  • Eij​ is the expected frequency in each cell of the contingency table.

Expected Frequencies Calculation:

The expected frequency for each cell (Eij​) is calculated as:

Chi-Square Test:

  • Calculate the chi-square test statistic based on the contingency table.
  • Determine the p-value associated with the chi-square statistic.

Chi-Square Test Statistic : 6.25

Degrees of Freedom (df):

The degrees of freedom for a chi-square test with r rows and c columns are given by (r−1)×(c−1) based on contingency table.

In our example, df=(3−1)×(3−1)=4.

P-Value:

p-value = 1 − CDF(χ2,degrees of freedom)

  • “CDF” is the cumulative distribution function, which gives the probability that a random variable (in this case, the chi-square statistic) will be less than or equal to a certain value.

Don’t worry about to find the p-value, you’d use statistical software, tables, or functions provided by programming languages like Python or R. In Python, the scipy.stats.chi2 module can be used for this purpose.

In this case the p-value is 0.1812398511965556

Once these calculations are complete, you can compare the p-value to your chosen significance level (e.g., 0.05) to make a decision about whether to reject the null hypothesis.

Critical Value:

  • For a significance level of 0.05 and 4 degrees of freedom, we would refer to a chi-square distribution table to find the critical value.

Interpretation:

Let’s remember the main working logic of critical value:

— — — If the calculated chi-square statistic is greater than the critical value, you would reject the null hypothesis.

— — — If the calculated chi-square statistic is less than or equal to the critical value, you would not reject the null hypothesis.

Since the calculated chi-square statistic (6.25) is less than the critical value., we can’t reject the null hypothesis. This means; there is no significant association between the preferred communication channel and age group.

Let’s make it using Python;

import necessary libraries;

import numpy as np
import pandas as pd
from scipy.stats import chi2_contingency

Preparing dataset;

data = {
'Category_A': ['Email', 'Phone', 'Social Media', 'Email', 'Phone'],
'Age_Group': ['Young', 'Middle-aged', 'Young', 'Senior', 'Middle-aged']
}

df = pd.DataFrame(data)

Create contingency table;

contingency_table = pd.crosstab(df['Category_A'], df['Age_Group'])

Perform the chi-square test;

chi2, p, dof, expected = chi2_contingency(contingency_table)

Display the results;

print(f"Chi-Square Value: {chi2}")
print(f"P-Value: {p}")
print(f"Degrees of Freedom: {dof}")
print("Expected Frequencies:")
print(pd.DataFrame(expected, index=contingency_table.index, columns=contingency_table.columns))
print()

Interpret the result;

alpha = 0.05
print(f"Significance Level (α): {alpha}")
if p < alpha:
print("Reject the null hypothesis. There is a significant association between Category_A and Age_Group.")
else:
print("Fail to reject the null hypothesis. No significant association between Category_A and Age_Group.")

Here is the whole code:

import numpy as np
import pandas as pd
from scipy.stats import chi2_contingency


# Hypothetical dataset
data = {
'Category_A': ['Email', 'Phone', 'Social Media', 'Email', 'Phone'],
'Age_Group': ['Young', 'Middle-aged', 'Young', 'Senior', 'Middle-aged']
}

df = pd.DataFrame(data)

# Create a contingency table
contingency_table = pd.crosstab(df['Category_A'], df['Age_Group'])

# Display the contingency table
print("Contingency Table:")
print(contingency_table)
print()

# Perform the chi-square test
chi2, p, dof, expected = chi2_contingency(contingency_table)

# Display the results
print(f"Chi-Square Value: {chi2}")
print(f"P-Value: {p}")
print(f"Degrees of Freedom: {dof}")
print("Expected Frequencies:")
print(pd.DataFrame(expected, index=contingency_table.index, columns=contingency_table.columns))
print()

# Interpret the results
alpha = 0.05
print(f"Significance Level (α): {alpha}")
if p < alpha:
print("Reject the null hypothesis. There is a significant association between Category_A and Age_Group.")
else:
print("Fail to reject the null hypothesis. No significant association between Category_A and Age_Group.")

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