College Football Week 9 Gambling Picks
Get ready for 12–0
Well what did I tell you? I knew it was going to be a good week last week and we ended up going 8–3. And guess what? I feel great about this week too; there are some great lines floating around out there. I have 12 games on the docket this week, and I just don’t see any other possible outcome but 12–0. So buckle up and get ready to rock and roll, it’s going down in week 9.
Without further ado, here are the picks:
Vanderbilt -1 at Arkansas Noon SECN
Funny story, when this game first opened up on betonline, Vanderbilt was accidentally listed as a 21 point underdog. It was only up for about 30 minutes before it got taken down, but I envy those that were able to take advantage of it. Anyways, none of that matters, be it 21 points or one points, Vandy is still going to win this one outright. One point is basically a pick em, and Vandy is the right pick. Go with the Dores here.
Purdue +1 at Michigan State Noon ESPN
I get the idea that Purdue might be hungover after a big upset over Ohio State, but 29 points isn’t even an upset, its an ass whoopin’. I think it just goes to show how good of a team Purdue really is. They’ve won three in a row, and they are a better team that Michigan State. Sure, it’s on the road, but you’re getting a point here and again, they’re the better team. Take the Boilermakers.
Florida State +17 vs. Clemson Noon ABC
I love this line. First, this will be Trevor Lawrence’s first start in a hostile road environment so he could start out shaky. Second, Florida State may have started horribly, and I still don’t think Taggart is the guy, but they have played a lot better in the last four games. Third, this is a rivalry game, and those are always close no matter the talent gap. Fourth, it is a noon game, making it prime for an upset. Fifth, always take the double digit home underdog. Sixth, Clemson has never won in Tallahassee by more than 7 points IN THE HISTORY OF THE WORLD. Everything points to this one being much closer than 17.
Army +1 at Eastern Michigan Noon CBSSN
This is a classic overreaction to Army needing overtime to beat Miami (OH) last weekend. Eastern Michigan is definitely a good football team, but Army has become one of the best mid-major teams in America. Eastern Michigan gives up more than 200 yards a game on the ground. In case you didn’t know, that is really really bad. Army won last weekend without attempting a single pass. That is not a good combo if you’re an Eagles fan. The wrong team is favored here, and the Knights are going to pull out a close one, putting us at 4–0 by the time the noon slate is up.
Florida +6.5 vs Georgia 3:30 CBS
Look, I told y’all a few weeks ago that Georgia is an overrated, and very beatable team and look what happened. LSU came out and curb stomped them. Now I don’t care if they’re coming off a bye, they still aren’t better than Florida. Georgia is going to lose three games this year and loss number two is coming Saturday. Florida is going to dominate the line of scrimmage on both sides of the ball and make just enough plays in the passing game to pull this one out. Getting 6.5 points is a no-brainer; take the moneyline if you’re feeling ballsy, because the Gators are going to win this one.
USF +8.5 at Houston 3:30 ABC
I’m not gonna lie, I don’t feel great about this one just because of my distrust of Charlie Strong, but I feel like if a currently undefeated team that’s only lost two games in two years is an 8.5 point underdog against a conference foe, you’ve got to take it. (Hell of a run-on sentence right there). USF is a really good football team, and so is Houston. When teams like this meet, I think it’s fair to expect a one possession game. USF should keep it within a touchdown.
Kentucky +7.5 at Missouri 4:00 SECN
Kentucky will win this game, and find themselves in the driver’s seat for the SEC East. Everyone loves the Tigers, despite them consistently underperforming this season. Now I know that Drew Lock has been missing some of his top targets for a handful of games now, and they may be coming back this week, but that still doesn’t justify them being a 7.5 point favorite against one of the better teams in the country. Lock hasn’t handled pressure well all season, and now he’s going to see one of the best pass rushers in the nation in Josh Allen. Furthermore, I just don’t see the Tigers slowing down Benny Snell. If Kentucky does end up losing, it won’t be by m0re than seven points.
North Texas -30 at Rice 4:00 ESPN+
Yeah, I know this line is huge for a conference game, but Rice couldn’t even crack the top 25 in the FCS, and North Texas has played a lot of good football. Rice hasn’t lost a game by single digits all season. This week they are down to their 5th string quarterback, who currently has a negative career quarterback rating. This is a beating waiting to happen and the Mean Green easily cover. Poor Owls :(
Texas A&M +1 at Mississippi State 7:00 ESPN
The wrong team is favored. The Aggies are going to show up to Starkvegas on Saturday night and beat the Bulldogs into submission. I expect a 20+ point victory. The only thing Mississippi State can do is run the ball. All Texas A&M does is stop the run. Mississippi State could end up getting shut out Saturday night. It is really a shame that one of the best defenses in the country is being wasted by an abysmal Bulldog offense. The only way the home team stands a chance in this one is if the playcalling gets better, or Nick Fitzgerald gets benched. This is the lock of the week.
FIU -3.5 at Western Kentucky 7:30 ESPN+
I really just don’t understand this line at all. Here you have one of the best teams in the Conference-USA playing one of the worst teams in the conference and the line is only 3.5 points?!!! The Panthers have football guy Butch Davis at the helm, and they aren’t going to overlook the Hilltoppers. They should win this game quite easily and by double digits. Easy cover here.
UAB -15.5 at UTEP 7:30 ESPN+
UAB will be up by 15 by the time the first quarter. It’s crazy that a football program that was dead just a few years ago is now one of the best mid-majors in the nation and in the driver’s seat for their division in the Conference USA. UTEP, on the other hand, has made a big improvement from being the worst team in the FBS last year to just being a really bad team this year. All UAB does is blow teams out and all UTEP does is lose. UAB is going to whoop the minors and then get the hell out of El Paso because EL Paso is a terrible place.
Navy +24 vs Notre Dame 8:00 CBS
What a great game to end a great day of gambling. Call me crazy, but I think Navy is going to win this game outright. However, even if the upset doesn’t happen, 24 points is way too many. First off, triple option teams have historically been very successful as big underdogs because they just run the ball and completely control the pace of the game. Look at Army taking Oklahoma to overtime earlier this season. Second, Navy is at home, and it’s at night so it’ll be rocking. I love a double digit home underdog. Third, Notre Dame has shown time and time again that they will play down to their competition. I just don’t see them being capable of winning by more than 24.
Well, that’s all we have for this weekend. Looks like 12–0 if I’ve ever seen it. This is the week we get back over 60% on the year.
Share this with your friends and family, they deserve free money too. Happy Gambling!
