How smart will A.I. become in 2050?

FACEBOOK shut down an artificial intelligence experiment after two robots began talking in a language only they understood.

Some of the media that originally offered a very scandalous version of this event eventually edited the content to be less dramatic

The “chatbots” Alice and Bob modified English to make it easier for them to communicate — creating sentences that were gibberish to watching scientists.

A robot expert said the revelation that machines had spoken in their language was exciting — but also incredibly scary.

UK Robotics Professor Kevin Warwick said: “This is an incredibly important milestone, but anyone who thinks this is not dangerous has got their head in the sand.

We do not know what these bots are saying. Once you have a bot that has the ability to do something physically, particularly military bots, this could be lethal.

“If one says, ‘Why not do this,’ and the other says ‘Yes’ and it’s a military bot, you have a difficult situation.

“This is the first recorded communication, but there will have been much more unrecorded.

“Smart devices right now can communicate, and although we think we can monitor them, we have no way of knowing.

The Real Truth

As Facebook engineers noted, it could have worked better if the scoring function had also included a language check, rather than only the total value of items received after the negotiation. But it didn’t. The fact that the language degenerated is neither surprising nor exciting in any way. It happens to every scientist working on these types of problems, and I am sure Facebook engineers expected that result. They just turned off the simulation once it degenerated too much, after many iterations, and after it stopped providing useful conclusions.

AI in Decision making

From tarot cards to time machines and more, the quest of man to know the future has been relentless. The ability to make decisions based on a knowledge of the outcome is no more fantasy, however. AI has brought this to the realm of reality and has revolutionized business decision making.

In the recent past, we have embraced analytics-driven decision making. Along with ever-increasing data storage and computing power, AI has the potential to augment human intelligence and enable smarter decision-making. AI could eliminate the huge costs of a wrong decision because it can practically eliminate social biases and errors. This could, in turn, speed up the decision-making process. The focus of the next few points is to highlight how AI can make a difference in business.

AlphaGo

Google Deepmind AlphaGo is a program that you may have heard about. It was the first AI to beat a professional Go player. And it is a perfect example of reinforcement learning in action.

AlphaGo started learning from real games played by real people. It analyzed and scored each possible move based on this knowledge. This alone made AlphaGo capable of playing, albeit very poorly — it did not understand the game, but it had a way to score the moves based on previously analyzed games.

But, Go is relatively easy to simulate. We have a specific set of rules, and we have a worthy goal for the AI — to win the game. So we can create two instances of such an AI and let it play against itself. Since we have a lot of computing power available, it can easily play millions of games to train, many more than any human ever could. It then updates the probabilities of a win for each move based on all of these simulated results, getting better and better at scoring the steps well.

An AI learned to play hide-and-seek. The strategies it came up with on its own were astounding.

By seeing the scenarios of the present world, AI will become smarter by 2050

Note: Some of the facebook chatbot articles would let you believe that this was very close. Scientists at Facebook barely shut down the AI before it could take over the world.

Image Credits & Info: Google

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