UFC Fight Night 105 Predictions

Lewis vs Browne

Browne’s not going to give Lewis much trouble with Takedowns. Lewis defends over half of takedown attempts (56%) well. For every significant strike punch he takes, he gives out three. This is big. Derrick Lewis knocks out Browne in the standing position.

If the fight doesn’t end by end of Round 1, Lewis has got a better shot of winning the judges’ decision.

Hendricks vs Lombard

Hendricks lands about 30% more significant strikes per minute than Lombard. Hendricks also lands more than 2X takedowns per fifteen minutes than Lombard does. Hendricks by split decision.

Hendricks will rebound from a terrible stretch.

Tucker vs Sicilia

There’s no data on Tucker, but it’s clear that he’s a raw talent, but with Sicilia you already know what you’re getting. Tucker by split decision.

Ferreira vs Theodorou

Theodorou takes care of Ferreira in standing position. KO.

McMann vs Mazany

McMann will take out a rusty Mazany in the first round by KO.

Ricci vs Felder

Felder’s just clearly superior to Ricci across striking, clinching, and on the ground. I wouldn’t want to be Ricci in this one. TKO by submission.

Ponzimmbio vs Taleb

Taleb’s going to put Ponzimmbio on the ground easy with takedowns and win by a split decision.

Markos vs Esparza

Esparza brings Markos down with takedowns and gets an early KO by submission.

Viera vs Zahabi

Not a lot of data on Zahabi, but Viera’s a middling fighter who won’t know what to expect with Zahabi. Zahabi by split decision.

Santos vs Marshman

Santos is going to give out more significant strikes than he takes. Plus he has a strong takedown defense. Marshman’s going to struggle across the board. Santos by split decision.

Meerschaert vs Janes

Janes is just going to take more hits than he can take. Meerschaert wins by split decision.