Political Fluctuation

Ethena Mothi
MUNner’s Daily
Published in
5 min readApr 8, 2020

So what exactly happened in Madhya Pradesh? Amidst the whole COVID19 pandemic that has entrapped the country nevertheless the whole world along with it; the state of Madhya Pradesh had its entire state government displaced.

So what did happen?

The Madhya Pradesh state government led by the politician Kamal Nath came into power only 15 months ago, which then had been a tremendous win for the Congress party.

Elections to the Madhya Pradesh assembly were held in November 2018. This was months ahead of the Lok Sabha elections. The Congress won, but the margin in Madhya Pradesh was hairline. Congress required only 2 more members to have a majority which they achieved by roping independents.

The results were: In the 230-member assembly, Congress had won 114 seats and was in power with the help of 2 Bahujan Samaj Party (BSP) MLAs and one Samajwadi Party legislator, and four independents. The BJP had won 107 seats.

The fact that the difference in seats between the BJP and the Congress was thin compounded with the fact that the government was surviving on the support of seven non-Congress MLAs, four of them being Independents, was a major vulnerable factor.

The other prompt for the rift was that the 2018 assembly election was instilled within the Congress itself when Kamal Nath was named as chief minister instead of Jyotiraditya Scindia, who was then the president of the party's election campaign committee.

Kamal Nath

CM Kamal Nath

Jyothiraditya Scindia

Over the next 15 months, Scindia sidelined alongside BJP on few issues and things got worse for the politician when he lost his own Lok Sabha seat {Guna}. His family especially his Aunt is important BJP leader- Vasundhara Raje Scindia, who lost elections in Rajasthan when INC won MP.

Scindia was also refused the Rajya Sabha seat by the Congress party. As a result, Scindia left the congress party and signed with the BJP party and made the 22 MLAs loyal to him resign resulting in the fall of the Kamal Nath government.

The BJP party had moved the Supreme Court for a floor test after the Madhya Pradesh Speaker decided to adjourn the Assembly over the fears of coronavirus on Monday, 16th March 2020. Kamal Nath tried multiple times to dodge the floor test. The Supreme Court ordered the government to conduct floor tests on Thursday, 19th March 2020.

An image of the floor test.

A whole of 22 MLAs had resigned and then they joined BJP later on.

This meant the numbers were against Kamal Nath in the house whose strength had reduced to 206.

On Friday, 20th March 2020, the Chief Minister of Madhya Pradesh announced his resignation. It came out as a massive blow for the congress party.

The MP episode followed a script not very different from the one that played out only a few months ago in Karnataka, another state where the Congress was in power and had to vacate power in less than two years. Earlier, the same script played out in Arunachal Pradesh and was attempted in Uttarakhand, Meghalaya and Manipur.

It was almost determined by the kingmakers that the Kamal Nath government fall. It was not a question of ‘will it?’, but rather ‘when?’

The most crucial fact was that Jyotiraditya Scindia, an influential and prominent Congress leader from Madhya Pradesh who had rebelled against his party to join the BJP and he convinced his supporters.

This incident gives us an overview of what exactly is happening in Indian politics. The game is changing. Parties are starting to do anything to remain in power, starting from keeping the competent away from the position he/she deserves to make the representatives of the public go against their own party.

Kamal Nath’s resignation letter.

In his resignation letter, Former chief minister stated that “In my 40-year-long public life, I have always done politics of purity and valued democratic norms, and given priority to it. But what transpired in the last two weeks is a new chapter of devaluation of democratic values."

BJP to throne

Shivaraj Singh Chauhan, the senior leader of BJP in MP, took oath post the resignation of Mr Kamal Nath.

The Congress party which has been around for decades is falling or will they rise again, give us unexceptional politicians as they did in the past or will it be the BJP party who will reign over the country following the traditional values they want to keep up in the country or will someone else rise and be a surprising factor in the game.

Only time will tell.

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