Developing a Future Vision

Transition Design Seminar, Spring 2018

Robert Managad
Apr 20, 2018 · 14 min read

Group Members

TC Eley, Christi Danner, Yidan Gong, Robert Managad

Assignment Brief

This assignment builds on the concepts from previous classes and in formulating vision, Team should address how the following may have contributed to the resolution of the wicked problem in the future: large events (cultural, environmental, technological), changing social/cultural norms and beliefs, changes in the ways in which individuals and communities satisfy their needs, reintegration of place-based wisdom and ways of life, changes in practices and behaviors, systems dynamics (within social and socio-technical systems) and the recent phenomenon of a globally interconnected world. Transition Design argues that a powerful way for stakeholders to transcend their differences in the present is to co-create visions of a future they agree upon. Backcasting from this future to the present creates a ‘transition pathway’ along which ‘interventions’ serve as steps toward that desired future. This assignment aims to introduce long-term visioning as part of the Transition Design approach.

Introduction

With this fourth assignment, our team has embarked upon a new phase of our project. The first three assignments that our team completed comprised the research and analysis stage. Now, we have the opportunity to apply our insights and imagine what a world would be like without the rising negative consequences of Social Networking Sites (SNS).

Existing Beliefs, Assumptions and Paradigms

1. SNS is free to use! The old assumption is that money is at the center of business transactions. Because users don’t pay money, they don’t pay anything at all. In fact, information is a new form of capital, which users hand over from the moment they sign up.

Future Visions

Present, left; Future, right
Present, left; Future, right
Present, left; Future, right

Future Vision System and Narrative

Precursor

As a precursor for context, we developed a narrative for a future vision scenario that follows the everyday practices of a future city resident. Below is the outlined future system in terms of scale.

future vision diagram system

Narrative

Process

It was a refreshing working experience to shift from an analytical mindset to a creative mindset. We had an initial, brief meeting after class to discuss initial ideas and agree on what we would each prepare — some examples of future visions and a list of existing assumptions, beliefs, and paradigms around SNS.

Team SNS is playing The Thing from the Future to warm up before our visioning exercise
Cards from The Thing from the Future
Max-Neef’s Theory of Needs applied to the present day and our future vision of SNS

Reflection

MLP continuation

  1. Unpacking the metaphors of the wicked problem.
  2. A preferable Max-Neef Theory of Needs for the future condition.
  3. World building support (science fiction world building questions and world building guides, as well as future world building resources such as The Thing from the Future, Stuart Candy might be able to point us in the direction of other games/activities based in Future Studies).
  4. Use the Futures Wheel to think through secondary and tertiary consequences of the ideas in the emerging world.
  5. Update the vision of the world using the secondary and tertiary consequences as the catalyst to add further detail and depth to the world.
  6. Repeat starting at step 3 to create as many possible worlds as desired to show the plurality of the future.
  7. Continue the Multi-Level Perspective from where we ended in Assignment 3 to one of the future worlds. This can be filled in more detail in Assignment 5 and 6.

Negative Effects of Social Networking

A group publication for the Transition Design Seminar at…

Negative Effects of Social Networking

A group publication for the Transition Design Seminar at Carnegie Mellon University, focused specifically on the effects of social networking.

Robert Managad

Written by

I’m a social and communications designer… Bachelor of Design candidate at Carnegie Mellon University.

Negative Effects of Social Networking

A group publication for the Transition Design Seminar at Carnegie Mellon University, focused specifically on the effects of social networking.