Driving a car will be illegal within our lifetimes

That’s what I said last month, and I stand by it. Important point: Owning a car won’t be illegal. Everyone will still buy cars, and they’ll sit in our driveways. The difference is they’ll be able to drive themselves and eventually won’t have steering wheels.

Stephen McBride
Operations Research Bit
2 min readNov 28, 2023

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Within our lifetimes, humans manually driving will be so socially unacceptable, few will do it.

Time for a story…

When a good friend of mine was young, her parents used to sit in the pub all day drinking.

The kids had to be out of the pub by 8 p.m. So the parents would tell my friend and her siblings to sit in the doorway outside and wait (sometimes for hours) until they were finished drinking.

Welcome to Ireland in the 1990s.

Can you imagine doing this today? There’s no way in hell! You’d be ostracized and swiftly reported to child protection services.

One day, driving a car will be as frowned upon as leaving your kids outside in the cold while you skull back pints of Guinness.

Almost 43,000 Americans were killed in car crashes last year.

Self-driving cars can eventually save 99.9% of these lives.

Robo-taxi leader Waymo just did a study with reinsurance giant Swiss Re (SSREY). It found Waymo’s cars are already 4X safer than human drivers — and they’re getting safer as they get smarter.

When this becomes widely known, the robots will take over driving. Presidential candidates will make this a major talking point in their campaigns.

The robo-taxis cars are coming, and it’s going to be awesome.

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This post first appeared on the RiskHedge blog at https://www.riskhedge.com/post/am-i-a-blind-optimist ***

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