Untangling skill and luck [Mauboussin]

In the months following my most recent post about performance, I’ve been noodling on one key aspect of the challenge: if we take a more outcome (rather than output)-based approach to evaluating performance, how do we separate outcomes caused by luck and outcomes caused by skill?

I started off reading Annie Duke’s “Thinking in Bets” which have been sitting in my queue and received good feedback…