The Convergence Ecosystem in Mobility
How IoT, DLTs and AI are disrupting the transportation and logistics industries
Lead Author: Vangelis Andrikopoulos
Author: Lawrence Lundy-Bryan
- Contributors
- Executive Summary
- The Convergence Ecosystem
- The Mobility Market
- Definition and first principles
- Market Size and Segmentation
- Customer Needs & Expectations
- Market Trends
- Market Drivers
- Market Restraints
- Value Chain
- Mobility Convergence Ecosystem
- Data Collection
- Authenticate, Validate & Secure
- Data Transport & Routing
- Data Marketplaces
- Process, Analyze & Automate
- Conclusions
Contributors:
Chris Ballinger, CEO and Founder at MOBI: Mobility Open Blockchain Initiative
Sebastien J.B. Henot, Business Innovation at Renault, SF, MOBI member
Dele Atanda, Founder & CEO at MetâMe Labs
Lucy Yu, Director Public Policy at FiveAI
Manos Polioudis, Powertrain Engineering Manager at ARRIVAL
Arno Laeven, Blockchain Lead at Shell
Justin Benson, UK Head of Automotive at KPMG
Christoph Domke, Director — Mobility 2030 (Automotive & Transportation), Global Strategy Group at KPMG
Ben Fousler, Associate Director, Transport Technology at KPMG
Georg Jürgens, Director Industry Solutions at Spherity
Riley O’Neil, Director of Transportation Policy at Twelve Tone Consulting
Thomas Cocirta, Mobotiq.com
Oliver Risse, CEO & Founder at Floatility
Adam Cohen, Mobility Researcher, Transportation Sustainability Research Center at the University of California, Berkeley
Rahul Sonnad, Co-founder & CEO at Tesloop
Boyd Cohen, Co-founder at IoMob Tech
Executive Summary
Global mobility market size is expected to grow at a CAGR of 91.32% from $0.5 billion USD today to $2.3 trillion USD in 2030. Innovation occurs predominantly in vehicles, business services and operations and less so in infrastructure. Consumers are moving away from the traditional ownership model towards multimodal and shared mobility as a service. New streams of data are unlocking value and introducing data-driven business models. Distributed ledger technologies(DLTs), Artificial Intelligence, and IoT converge to facilitate vehicle-to-vehicle and vehicle-to-infrastructure communication and economies.
- Machine to machine economy.
Vehicles become computers on wheels, powered by software. Electrification, automation, and connectivity are the main drivers and new streams of data are being unlocked that become more important than the vehicles themselves. OEMs track vehicles’ parts provenance and history on the blockchain. Vehicles can act as autonomous agents and access services such as energy, tolls, parking (micropayments).
- New data streams, created and captured by IoT sensors and software.
Data-driven business models are introduced which shift the value chain towards software companies. Personal and AI data marketplaces powered by DLTs incentivize participants to share and monetize their data that are used to train autonomous vehicles. Users can own, manage and exchange their data as they see fit.
- Multi-modal Mobility-as-a-Service platforms.
Users can access with their self-sovereign identity, that offers first-to-last mile services are likely to prevail. Blockchain provides self-sovereign identities that enable users to have a streamlined and personalized end-to-end experience.
Part 1: The Convergence Ecosystem
From Blockchain-enabled Convergence
In late 2016, we published a paper titled: ‘Blockchain-enabled Convergence’ outlining our investment strategy. The paper was the result of over three years’ experience researching, investing and building blockchain-based businesses. Our insight was that blockchains are not just a secure ledger for cryptocurrencies and other digital assets, but that they represented something more transformative: a decentralised data infrastructure. Infrastructure that could solve technical and market problems across a variety of emerging technologies like artificial intelligence, autonomous robotics, the Internet of Things, 3D printing and augmented and virtual reality.
From IOTA, SEED, and Sovrin, to Fetch, Ocean Protocol and Haja Networks
Over the two years we have partnered with and invested in IOTA, a foundation building Internet of Things infrastructure with a new type of decentralised data structure. Botanic and the SEED Vault foundation it founded, creating a platform for developers to publish trusted software bots. Evernym, a company using the Sovrin Network and Protocol to establish self-sovereign identity. Fetch, a startup building an emergent intelligence protocol combining distributed ledgers with machine learning. Ocean Protocol, who are developing a decentralised data exchange protocol to unlock data for AI. Finally, Haja Networks who are looking to build protocols enabling data and database interoperability. Each of these investments has been strategically chosen because they are a complimentary piece of decentralised infrastructure required to create the Convergence Ecosystem.
The Outlier Ventures thesis: The Convergence Ecosystem
In the Convergence Ecosystem, data is the core asset. Collected by the Internet of Things and software, data is authenticated, validated and secured using distributed ledgers, consensus and other decentralised technologies. When needed, data is transported and shared before ending up in marketplaces to be packaged up and sold. Finally, it is processed, analysed and automated using a range of technologies including distributed computation, decentralised machine learning and smart contracts. This entire data flow is coordinated and incentivised using crypto-assets, crypto-currencies and nascent crypto-commodities designed to incentivise behaviours for people, machines, devices and agents to the benefit of the overall ecosystem. New emergent governance models will have differing levels of decentralisation and automation depending on the values of the community. Some will value censorship-resistance above all else. Others will value self-sovereign identity or equalitarian wealth distribution. Communities can use traditional governance structures like corporations or newer structures like decentralised organisations or decentralised autonomous organisations (DAOs).
Convergence across industries
It is clear that this convergence framework is not limited to a specific market such as financial services or manufacturing. This framework and its impact and implementation will vary depending on the dynamics of particular markets. For example, the healthcare industry has very different economic, social, cultural and technological dynamics and drivers that will shape how the Convergence ecosystem will manifest. The particulars of the value chain will influence more than the technologies themselves how best to adapt to the transformation. For example, if data becomes publicly accessible on blockchains and sold in marketplaces, how will that impact businesses predicated on the capture and hoarding of proprietary data to train machine learning algorithms? The transformation brought by these converging technologies will lead to new revenue opportunities, cost savings, but most importantly new business models across all industries.
Part 2: The Mobility Market
What do we mean by mobility?
Mobility is the ability to move people and goods freely and easily.
Before assessing any market it is important to understand exactly what we consider to be the mobility industry. We decided to avoid the existing transportation or logistics markets because they are ill-suited to the changing use of different modes of transport. For example, a drone can be used for commercial or leisure purposes, the same is true for cars. These same vehicles may carry both people and goods, so the traditional transportation and logistics markets are blurring.
In our assessment of the changing mobility market, we went back to find principles. First principles of mobility apply both to the physical and digital world. Mobility serves humanity’s need to move people and goods from point A to point B in a convenient, cost-effective, secure, timely and sustainable way.
Air, water, land, space, cable, and pipeline are the main media or modes used for mobility. To fulfill the aforementioned needs, humans innovate in infrastructure, vehicles and business operations & services that are different for each mode.
The mobility market is forecast to grow at a CAGR of 91.32% from $0.5 billion USD today to $2.3 trillion USD in 2030.
Estimates for the size of the mobility market vary widely depending on the methodology used. The challenge in forecasting growth is that mobility infrastructure is heavily dependant on macroeconomic factors and political motivations. A slowdown in the global economy will lead to less infrastructure spending from the public sector which in turn impacts vehicle spending or a change in government in a particular country can dramatically impact the prioritization of mobility infrastructure.
- That said, it has been forecast that globally there is a need for infrastructure spending to increase to $94 trillion by 2040.
- The global commercial vehicle market size is estimated to expand at a CAGR of 7.1% in the next 7 years.
- Most venture capital will be poured into operations, services and vehicles.
What customers want from mobility providers is changing
Personalization
- Customers prefer customised mobility options based on their individual and lifestyle preferences.
- Customers expect to have the same or better experience even if they do not own the vehicle.
- Vehicle is expected to behave like their other personalised devices such as their smartphone, tapping into their favorite media, settings, data for in-vehicle experience.
Security
- People expect to have the ability to carry their ID including their personal data & preferences to allow seamless access to any mobility service.
- Security along with auditability and transparency are paramount.
Automation
- Users expect payments and transactions for access to vehicles, parking, tolls, in-vehicle services usage, charging to be automated and streamlined.
Diversity
- Car-sharing — Customers rent unattended vehicles usually for a short period.
- Ride-sharing — Sharing private vehicles for usually short rides with others going towards the same direction.
- Ride-hailing — On demand access to drivers with their private vehicles.
Key market trends
Key market drivers
Key Market Constraints
The closed mobility value chain today
The open mobility value ecosystem of tomorrow
Part 3: The Convergence Ecosystem in Mobility
The mobility sector has a burning platform
The transportation and logistics industries are having an existential crisis. Electric vehicles and lithium battery costs are falling quickly; autonomy software is improving at a rapid pace and ride-sharing platforms are leading customers to question the need to own cars. These three trends: electrification, autonomy, and access-over-ownership are reshaping every part of the industry and moving the industry into a new era of integrated mobility. This is the concept of a seamless transit experience incorporating multimodal, public and private transport. As the transport value chain expands to become the mobility value ecosystem, the old way of doing business won’t continue to work.
The Convergence ecosystem promises a new era in transportation and logistics. It is widely accepted that transport is changing and the industry must adapt. The Internet and mobile technologies are changing the way consumers and businesses access and buy transportation services while on-demand services and autonomy will challenge the fundamentals of ownership. It’s clear that we are moving towards an increasingly complex economy where software is eating the world. Previously airlines only competed with airlines; car makers with car makers; and Apple just made mobile phones and laptops. However a new era of what we are calling ‘Open Mobility’ is upon us: movement is decentralised, multimodal, automated, it aspires to be increasingly sustainable. Elon Musk’s OpenAI initiative is an attempt of open collaboration to address current monopolies.
Electric vehicles, automation technologies, and alternative mobility solutions like ride-hailing are forcing automotive manufacturers (OEMs) and transportation providers to rethink their business models. After being in stasis for decades, the market is now in flux as players jockey for position as a new an integrated mobility value ecosystem emerges, bringing all modes of public, private and commercial transport together. This flux is forcing collaboration and partnerships that would have been unimaginable five years ago.
The era of open integrated mobility is upon us
An integrated open mobility ecosystem goes beyond the traditional automotive industry and brings together bikes, trains, planes, ships and newer transport types like drones and innovations like Hyperloop. As the personal transportation market moves toward access rather than ownership, the same assets can be used for commercial and consumer purposes, blurring the lines between logistics, public transit, and private transport. Uber has already experimented with grocery deliveries; Mobike and Ofo dominate bike-sharing in China; Citymapper, a UK mapping startup, is running a bus service in London. Traditional market boundaries have blurred. There are no separate consumer, public or logistics markets. There is a single integrated mobility market; yet no single company can deliver transport services without widespread collaboration and interoperability between and across them all.
Without fundamentally rethinking our approach to infrastructure for this emergent integrated mobility landscape, we will face a tragedy of the commons. Without shared infrastructure and a collaborative approach, siloed operating systems and data will limit the transformational impact of multimodal mobility. The consumer will have to navigate a range of different systems as they move from a car to a bike to a plane. Businesses will not be able to fully utilise their assets. Smart cities will remain only a dream. However for all parties to rely upon any one entity to control this system would be to submit to a monopoly that would gain from increasing data and intelligence advantages, becoming almost impossible to remove.
We need a mobility ecosystem based on shared infrastructure in which resources, data, and value can be exchanged seamlessly. The Convergence ecosystem is a valuable framework for understanding how this decentralised, multimodel, automated, and sustainable infrastructure can be designed and built.
The future open integrated mobility ecosystem
Data Collection
Sensors measuring the external environment are often bundled together under the umbrella term the ‘Internet of Things’; and they include all sensors in smartphones and wearables such as gyroscopes, accelerometers, and proximity sensors as well as hundreds of others sensors across the smart city environment. It is estimated that the amount of data created annually will reach 180 zettabytes (one zettabyte is equal to one trillion gigabytes) by 2025 up from 4.4 zettabytes in 2013 and an average person anywhere will interact with connected devices every 18 seconds (nearly 4,800 times a day).
The Internet of Things
We define the Internet of Things or “IoT” as the interconnection of identifiable connected devices into mobility’s Internet infrastructure. The concept includes any ‘thing’ that has a sensor and transmits data over a network, including a vehicle or a part of it, such as its engine, users’ devices, charging stations, parking lots. This allows for distributed intelligence, automation, and streamlined processes.
Vehicles become autonomous economic agents. Value will be derived from the broader aggregation of data.
Requirements for adoption in mobility
- Standardization of vehicle-to-vehicle & vehicle-to-infrastructure wireless communications via low power wide area e.g. Narrowband-IoT
- Machine-to-machine value exchange network enabling automated allocation of resources
- Improvements in energy sources and power management in IoT sensors and edge devices — zero-power electronics
Mobility applications
- People, goods, and vehicles are equipped with sensors turning them into IoT nodes that produce and capture data. This allows for vehicle-to-vehicle, vehicle-to-infrastructure, and vehicle-to-anything communication making vehicles economic independent machines.
- Data captured from IoT enables real-time traffic maps more efficient routing and reducing congestion.
- Vehicles can be remotely monitored and maintained by uploading software upgrades.
Case Study: FOAM
The FOAM Proof of Location protocol empowers a permissionless and autonomous network of radio beacons that can offer secure location services independent of external centralized sources such as GPS through time synchronization.
“We are excited to contribute to the development of a decentralized internet of mobility. FOAM will support the Mobility Open Blockchain Initiative (MOBI) through the development of geospatial blockchain protocols and standards for location encoding, map UI, and proof of location. We are eager to play a part in the next step of mobility.”
— Ryan King, CEO, FOAM
Software, operating systems and applications
We use the term ‘software’ as a producer of data broadly to capture all personal, vehicle and infrastructure data produced through the interaction with databases, operating systems, applications, and APIs.
While sensors embedded in hardware will capture the external environment, software, operating systems and applications capture a constant feed of data from internal processes such as in-transit interfaces and mobility-as-a-service platforms.
Requirements for adoption in mobility
- Maturation of mobility-specific operating systems and APIs (see CarPlay, Android Auto, OpenCar)
- Improvement of mobility-specific App stores and in-car infotainment (See SmartDeviceLink, Opencar)
- Development and maturation of more appropriate in-car user interfaces such as voice control and gestures and HMI safety regulations
Mobility Applications
- Proprietary operating systems built for vehicles equipped with artificial intelligence algorithms act as the vehicles’ brain. This enables autonomy, connectivity, and automation.
- Multimodal mobility as a service allows users to seamlessly find the most suitable route depending on their needs.
- User Interface provides consumers with in-transit entertainment and applications (Web browsing, messaging, social media, AR/VR). Value is captured from the collection and production of consumers’ data.
Projects to watch
Authenticate, Validate & Secure
Blockchains and distributed ledgers fit into the Convergence framework here at the distribution layer. Without these decentralised technologies, authentication, validation, and security would be provided by a third party without the characteristics provided by blockchains such as increased external transparency, provenance, tamper-evidence and censorship-resistance.
Distributed ledgers and blockchains
Often the terms “distributed ledger” and “blockchain” are used interchangeably, but a blockchain is a particular type of a distributed ledger which is simply an asset database that can be shared across a network, structured like a chain of blocks. When we talk of blockchains, we are referring to a specific type of data structure that is cryptographically linked together in a linear sequence of blocks, each of which contains a record of transactions.
Distributed ledgers and blockchains provide a mechanism for the transaction, verification, and storage of digital assets such as digital twins of vehicles, OEM parts and user credit for Mobility-as-a-service platforms on distributed ledgers.
Requirements for adoption in mobility
- Shared mobility market infrastructure delivered via consortia models (see MOBI)
- Higher transaction throughput for m2m payment use cases (see, Xain)
- Enhanced privacy controls such as luminosity in Ethereum Swarm or zero-knowledge implementations
Mobility Applications
- Individuals and organizations can participate without permission to share their resources and monetize their assets such as their idle vehicles.
- Vehicle verification information can be time stamped and accessed via a blockchain solution.
- Original equipment manufacturers can streamline their supply chain and monitor the provenance of their products. IBM & Maersk are already rolling this out with TradeLens in the supply chain industry.
Identity and reputation
Blockchains introduced a system where transactions from individuals could be validated publicly in a decentralized manner. Identity on a blockchain is an area of increasing focus due to a surge in fraud, identity theft, and increasingly sensitive data becoming digitized.
Through self-sovereign identity, an individual will be able to authenticate or verify themselves without having to pass on their documents. Users can access their or third-party-owned vehicles and mobility services while keeping their anonymity.
Requirements for adoption in mobility
- Development of blockchains ability to adhere to regulations eg GDPR
- Maturation of self-sovereign identity to shift control of personally identifiable information to individuals or agents
- Standardization of anti-money laundering and know-your-client processes on blockchains
Mobility Applications
- In an integrated mobility environment, users have a portable identity enabling a seamless experience across different modes of transport.
- Users and vehicles own and manage their own identity to benefit by having a global user account(“single sign in”) that allows them to access mobility assets and services.
- Vehicles and users can use their self-sovereign identity to get identified and verified while remaining anonymous or pseudonymous.
Case Study: Sovrin
Sovrin is a decentralized, global public utility for self-sovereign identity. Self-sovereign means a lifetime portable identity for any person, organization, or thing. Having a self-sovereign identity allows the holder to present verifiable credentials in a privacy-safe way. These credentials can represent things as diverse as an airline ticket or a driver’s license.
Storage and data integrity
Blockchains will be used as on-chain pointers to off-chain data and implement an access control list to control and monitor data access. Today’s implementations are utilising decentralised databases and distributed file storage to store data “off-chain” in a way that ensures data integrity. Infrastructure nodes could be used for “off-chain” storage to allow vehicles to have more space.
Transactions between vehicle-to-vehicle, vehicle-to-infrastructure, and vehicle-to-user can take place “off-chain” and settle in specific intervals to avoid overloading the “on-chain” ledgers. The link between the blockchains (on-chain) and decentralised storage (off-chain) is still to be defined.
Requirements for adoption in mobility
- Symmetric distribution of different vehicles’ storage capabilities
- Development of infrastructure nodes by governments and corporations to facilitate off-chain storage
- Standardization of recording mobility-related data adhering to universal jurisdictions
Mobility Applications
- Participants and vehicles share their extra storage resources in exchange for value and exclusive deals.
- Local copies of the global blockchain permit near-immediate access to information recorded on the blockchain.
- Vehicles and platforms store data for optimisation and betterment of services.
- Events and transactions are time-stamped and stored securely for more accurate insurance offerings and secondary market sales.
Decentralized consensus
Consensus can be defined as the process through which every system within the connected network agrees upon an event within the network. The “event” can be a simple transaction, or a relatively sophisticated smart contract function being triggered such as transfer of vehicle ownership or the record of a mobility service purchase.
Blockchains provide a reliable solution for solving the Byzantine Generals problem in an open, anonymous network. They allow the majority of the distributed entities within a network to come to an agreement on what information is accurate and enforce algorithms that replicate the data across every entity.
Requirements for adoption in mobility
- Development of appropriate consensus mechanisms to balance security & expenditure of computational resources eg PoW, PoL, PoS
- Development of protective mechanisms for single nodes that disagree
- Standardization of time between transactions’ initiation and confirmation for different use cases eg charging, monitoring
Mobility Applications
- Certain consensus mechanisms (PoW, PoS) facilitate trust and allow unknown vehicles, users, and other nodes to participate in the network.
- Vehicles get added to the network, turn into nodes that run and maintain it while increase security and reduce operating costs.
- All vehicles are instantaneously and automatically up-to-date with all the latest information, updates and statuses of all other vehicles.
Projects to watch
Data Transport & Routing
After data has been authenticated, validated, secured and stored it will need to be transported for use it needs to be ‘transported’. The technologies of this layer are less mature than the layers below but will become ever more critical as blockchains and DLTs proliferate if we are to avoid the same data silos that exist today in the Web 2.0 era. It is at this layer where interoperability protocols are developing for messaging, value, data and state.
Data transport and routing refers to the development of a suite of new protocols for Web 3.0 that provide services such as connection-oriented communication, reliability, flow control, and multiplexing. With the Internet Protocol Suite this includes protocols such as TCP, UDP, and DCCP.
We expect to see a variety of new protocols such as mix network packet routing, secure tunnel switching, and other cryptographic tools to provide increased privacy controls for network participants.
Requirements for adoption in mobility
- Widespread deployment of full anonymity tools like stealth addresses and IP-obfuscating tools
- Standardization of peer-to-peer authentication and validation
- Improvement of economical micro-transactions
Mobility Applications
- Traffic control is being performed by vehicles by peer-to-peer real-time communication.
- Users access autonomous vehicles interface to send messages securely over the networks.
- Vehicles can purchase charging services, parking, energy(from other vehicles) and get paid by users via Mobility-as-a-service platforms.
Value interoperability
Value interoperability refers to the ability for value to move across blockchains. The most straightforward example for an interoperable transaction would be one in which an individual transfers a cryptocurrency on one blockchain in exchange for cryptocurrency on another, for example, Bitcoin exchanged for Litecoin or XRP. The interledger Protocol (ILP), Polkadot, AION, and Cosmos are all working on making this a reality.
Fleet operators could enable their vehicles to communicate with vehicles running on different blockchains and exchange value. Users can access different multimodal mobility-as-a-service platforms that might be operating on different blockchains and leveraging different tokens.
Requirements for adoption in mobility
- Maturation and widespread adoption of atomic cross-chain swaps to facilitate cross platform token compatibility
- Value routing protocol development enabling liquidity to be shared across exchanges seamlessly
- Development and usage of decentralized exchanges
Mobility Applications
- Users have access to Mobility-as-a-Service platforms by using the same token to access a wide range of services(multimodal services).
- Users and vehicles verification can be facilitated without sharing sensitive information.
- Vehicles can pay for access to a charging station in the native token of one type of station and receive the resource in another type of charging station.
Data interoperability
Data interoperability allows data to move across databases. Today, incredible amounts of data are stored on the private servers of a relatively small amount of organisations. The internet’s client-server architecture makes data-sharing inconvenient, while privacy and data protection laws limit the cases where it can be done legally. Even if this were not to be the case, there is no rational economic incentive for individuals to do anything other than giving away their data. Drivers and fleet operators are incentivized to share and monetize their data via mobility data marketplaces.
Requirements for adoption in mobility
- Development of data sharing standards adhering to all data protection and privacy legal frameworks
- Cultural shift within the industry that data is better shared and big than private and small
- Sharing data must bring a higher return on investment than holding data
Mobility Applications
- Vehicle-to-vehicle data sharing across different blockchains and platforms becomes seamless, fast and secure.
- Users can find the best route by accessing multimodal mobility services.
- Vehicles can share data across networks that allow them to coordinate efficiently.
- Participants such as OEMs, users, insurance companies, charging nodes enjoy lower costs, increased transparency and collaboration.
Case Study: Haja Networks
State channels and communication
State communication protocols provide a mechanism to limit the number of settlements a blockchain must perform by enabling off-blockchain communication channels. State channels are a scaling solution to the inherent performance limitations of blockchains. Layer 2 solutions are occurring across networks including the lightning network on Bitcoin and Plasma and Raiden and Celer for Ethereum.
In a mobility scenario, these ‘state channels’ are basically a two-way discussion channel between users transacting on mobility services platforms, or between a user and a service (an autonomous vehicle).
Requirements for adoption in mobility
- Maturation of balance proofs to reduce settlement load.
- Development of appropriate state channels to cater for different use cases eg monitoring, charging, mobility-as-a-service
- Solutions to latency challenges as assets are stored across blockchains and state channels
Mobility Applications
- Mobility-as-a-service network transactions happen off-chain reducing costs and increasing speed.
- Transactions between vehicles, users, and infrastructure are streamlined.
- Vehicle-to-vehicle-to-infrastructure micro-transactions take place off-chain, reducing the load on the main blockchain.
Projects to watch
Data Marketplaces
Data has been collected, validated and transported; now it needs to be used. Before it is processed, analysed and automated, marketplaces are emerging to allow the trading, buying and selling of data and digital assets. These marketplaces are made possible because of the distributed ledgers, consensus mechanisms and interoperability protocols at the lower levels. It is only because data has been unlocked lower down that it can be traded further up the stack. We will see the emergence of a whole host of new types of marketplaces beyond just today’s cryptocurrency exchanges. New marketplaces will enable the sharing of IoT data, AI data, personal data as well as other digital assets like non-fungible tokens (NFTs) and even a new class of automated software agents.
Artificial intelligence data marketplace
With the emergence of deep learning as the most useful machine learning technique for a range of AI applications like computer vision that enables navigation of autonomous vehicles and natural language processing that facilitates in-transit user interfaces, data has become like digital oil. Just like IoT data, or any data for that matter, data for AI algorithms tend to be accumulated by the largest companies. Decentralised AI data marketplaces will reduce, and eventually remove, the competitive advantage of hoarding private data by enabling anybody to monetize data. It allows all participants and fleet operators to train their autonomous vehicles increasing the overall value of the ecosystem and set higher standards.
Requirements for adoption in mobility
- Maturation of secure off-chain computation methods to allow model training without revealing the data itself (e.g. TrueBit)
- Sharing and transacting data on marketplaces must bring a higher return on investment than holding data
- Development of checking mechanisms to ensure accuracy, integrity and validity of data
Mobility Applications
- Access to AI data especially labelled training data opens up the dataset for autonomous driving enabling a more competitive marketplace.
- Users and vehicles own, manage and have the ability to monetize their driving data by selling on the marketplace. This has implications for participants in the value chain that currently benefit most from selling driver data.
- Insurance companies can get access to far more data in order to improve their own modelling which should enable far more effecient pricing of risk.
Case Study: Ocean Protocol
Personal data markets
After peer-to-peer payments, control of personal data has been one of the most talked about applications for blockchains. This is related to but separate from self-sovereign identity, in the sense that once an individual controls their own identity, they can choose who can have access to it. This choice puts the individual in the position of the seller and the party who wants access to the data as the buyer.
Consequently, mobility services and fleet operators are incentivized to provide the best service, while taking into consideration data privacy. Users can choose the most suitable and secure mobility providers as they control their own data.
Requirements for adoption in mobility
- Maturation of data anonymization tools allowing usage without revealing sensitive data e.g. secret contracts and zero-knowledge proofs
- Development of decentralized person data marketplaces in order to adhere to legal frameworks eg GRDP — right to be forgotten
- Development of checking mechanisms to ensure accuracy, integrity and validity of data
Mobility Applications
- As people interact with vehicles, Mobility-as-a-service and other services they leave traces of physical data that are being captured to a greater than ever extent. Once captured and digitised, people have access to their self-sovereign ID and personal data wallets.
- Users can trade data on the marketplace with insurance providers, OEMs, fleet operators, Mobility-as-a-service providers and other participants.
- Mobility-as-a-service providers, OEMs, and insurance companies can provide personalised experience to the user by accessing their personal data in a secure and anonymous manner.
Internet of Things data markets
IoT data is already being captured and collected in vast quantities by sensors on vehicles, infrastructure and users’ devices, but the sprawl of devices has created a fragmented ecosystem. On the consumer side, operating system providers like Apple, Google, and Amazon are attempting to leverage their dominant positions in smartphones and retail to sell more devices to collect more data.
IoT data marketplaces incentivize fleet operators, OEMs, and users to share and exchange their data on those marketplaces. This ultimately increases the overall value of the ecosystem.
Requirements for adoption in mobility
- Maturation of data anonymization methods to allow transaction and usage without revealing sensitive data eg personal identity
- Development of decentralized person data marketplaces in order to adhere to legal frameworks eg GDPR
- Development of checking mechanisms to ensure accuracy, integrity and validity of data
Mobility Applications
- Autonomous electric connected (ACE) vehicles produce and capture vast amounts of data through LiDARs, cameras, GPS, radars and other sensors that can be packaged up and sold in marketplaces.
- Insurance companies, fleet operators, Mobility-as-a-service providers can purchase that data and provide personalised services.
- Normalisation, anonymisation, and processing of car generated data protects privacy and maintains consent.
- OEMs and fleet operators can perform condition monitoring, fix and over-the-air upgrades for their vehicles in real-time.
Digital asset markets
Unlike traditional physical assets or money, distributed ledger-based crypto-tokens can be programmable. This gives them more flexibility and variety than their physical counterparts.
Cryptocurrencies, or tokens designed to be a medium of exchange, are already reasonably well-defined. Crypto-assets are tokens intended to be a store of value: digital assets which are created, bought, licensed, rented and sold in decentralised mobility peer-to-peer marketplaces.
Requirements for adoption in mobility
- Maturation of smart contracts to facilitate automated transactions on peer-to-peer decentralized digital asset marketplaces
- Maturation of tooling and development of cross-blockchain standards for non-fungible tokens (NFTs)
- Standardization of IP rights and content creators (see Kord by JAAK)
Mobility Applications
- Vehicles and their parts have unique identical digital twins (see Spherity) providing more transparent provenance and improving supply chains. This facilitates seamless online purchases streamlining ownership transfer.
- The used-vehicle market can become much more efficient as digital twins capture ongoing sensor data and combine with machine learning tools to value vehicles in real-time.
- OEMs, insurance, energy and mobility-as-a-service providers can own manage and transact digital assets such as insurance packages, energy for electric vehicles, maintenance kits and mobility services on the marketplace.
Projects to watch
Process, Analyze & Automate
Now we get to the top of the ecosystem: the process, analyse and automate layer. This is where data is transformed into actions and insight using traditional and distributed computing techniques, as well as newer types of computing such as quantum computing. It is at this layer where blockchains and artificial intelligence blur and it becomes clear they are intertwined and interconnected. Both smart contracts and machine learning offer differing levels of automation and decentralisation depending on the type of input data and level of trust the use case demands.
Smart contracts
Smart contracts are programmable “if this, then that” conditions attached to transactions on the blockchain. If situation ‘A’ occurs, the contract is coded to have an automated response ‘B’. By adding this simple concept to blockchains, contracts cannot be forged, changed, or destroyed without an audit trail. This is because the ledger distributes identical copies of that contract across a vast network of nodes, for verification by anyone at any time.
Contracts and agreements between fleet operators, automotive and original equipment manufacturers, service providers and users can be coded into the blockchain streamlining processes, increasing security and transparency.
Requirements for adoption in mobility
- Maturation of smart contracts offering dispute frameworks specifying arbitration procedures
- Development and standardization of formal verification and authentication tools (see Tezos)
- Smart contracts need to adhere to an international commercial arbitration court (see Mattereum)
Mobility Applications
- Autonomous vehicles manage micropayments with other vehicles and infrastructure nodes such as charging stations, parking lots, toll stations and mobility services users.
- Smart contracts enable us to know which participant was using a vehicle or service at any given point. Consequently, new business models arise such as Mobility-as-a-service and pay-per-mile insurance.
- Vehicles and services are interoperable with other vehicles and platforms and can seamlessly interact in an automated manner.
Distributed computation
Computation can be described as “the action of mathematical calculation”. Distributed computing refers to computing whereby a complex problem is broken down into more simple tasks. These simple problems are distributed out to a network of trusted computers that could be on vehicles, the infrastructure or users’ devices to be solved in parallel. Then the solutions to these simple problems are combined in such a way to solve the main problem at hand.
In mobility distributed and edge computing is more suitable than centralized cloud computing as it increases security and safety.
Requirements for adoption in mobility
- Development of 5G services to minimize latency of distributed computation results
- Widespread deployment of infrastructure nodes that will provide computation resources
- Standardization of limits in provision of distributed computational resources to avoid interruption of processes eg AV navigation
Mobility Applications
- Vehicles, users, and infrastructure nodes are incentivised to provide computational resources by being rewarded with a token that can be used to have access to other services in the network.
- Mobility-as-a-service providers can leverage participants’ computational resources to provide effective and optimised service.
- Infrastructure nodes and users can provide computational resources to free up vehicles’ resources for Artificial Intelligence algorithms that facilitate navigation for autonomous vehicles.
Decentralized machine learning
Machine learning is a field within computer science and more specifically artificial intelligence that focuses on enabling computers to learn rather than be explicitly programmed by humans.
Machine and deep learning techniques can transform raw data into actionable knowledge; converting voice input into text output in voice-to-text programs that can be used in in-transit user interfaces or turning LIDAR input into a driving decision for autonomous vehicles.
Requirements for adoption in mobility
- Development of algorithms that require minimum computational resources
- Development and maturation of application specific integrated circuits suitable for mobility
- Development of 5G services to minimize latency of distributed computation results
Mobility Applications
- Vehicles gather raw data from all the IoT sensors such as LIDAR, camera, radar, GPS, wheel encoder, ultrasonic sensors and leverages decentralised machine learning to process and uses it as guidelines to optimise for best traffic management, safety, utilisation and navigation.
- Mobility-as-a-service platforms process data gathered from users to optimise the recommendations and provide personalised services.
- Predictive algorithms facilitate fraud detection, congestion and collision avoidance of autonomous vehicles.
Case Study: Fetch AI
Projects to watch
Conclusions
Unlocked data becomes more valuable than the vehicle itself making blockchains a necessity.
- Global mobility market size is expected to grow to US$0,7 billion in 2022 and by 2030 up to US$2,3 trillion, while 60% of the world’s population will live in cities.
- Customers move away from the traditional ownership model towards sustainable multimodal mobility as a service, including shared services and regulators push for sustainable mobility.
- Vehicles become computers on wheels, powered by software which accelerates growth. Electrification, automation, and connectivity are the main drivers.
- Self-sovereign identity protects users and vehicles’ data allowing vehicles to act as autonomous agents and access services such as energy, tolls, parking.
- Unlocked data becomes the primary source of value driving new data-driven business models. Blockchain-powered AI and personal data marketplaces allow participants to train their autonomous vehicles and users to own, manage and exchange their data as they see fit.